On the NBA: Even Purple and Gold Fade

The NBA of recent memory traffics in uncertainty, perhaps more so than ever before. Fans are being sold on the promise of entirely new teams full of rosters of unknown young men, surely preparing to go invade the newest nearby Cheesecake Factory, and somehow, this has worked. Marketing departments have begun to understand that selling a roll of the dice seems significantly easier than trying to preach slow, steady progress to fan bases already on the brink of riot, leaving teams like the New Jersey Nets and Golden State Warriors extolling the virtues of Jordan Farmar and Louis Amundson, if only for a summer. Those teams secure (or stubborn) enough to stick to the plan better have good reason for doing so. This offseason’s most prominent example of such, the Orlando Magic, had the incoming primes of both of its best players, Dwight Howard and Jameer Nelson, to which to look forward, a fine reason for standing pat, sitting tight or whichever weird position-dependent expression you like. With no significant acquisitions (if a man has changed teams five times in the last year, his acquisition defines insignificant), the Magic stood tall as an example of the anti-Triumvirate, a collection of people who’ve actually played with each other for more than All-Star games and international competitions. On the West Coast loomed its tormentor and more frightening parallel, the returning champions; though moves were made, the Lakers similarly scoffed in the face of the Summer of LeBron, adding depth for general edification and not as a part of a misguided arms race. As has been common knowledge for a couple of years, the West belongs to the Lakers, and those punks that jump up at the chance to threaten Phil Jackson’s awkwardly trumped up, but ridiculously impressive fourth three-peat will be beaten down. Unless, of course, things are a bit messier in LaLa Land.

In the most literal sense, the Los Angeles Lakers towers over its competition. Where other era-definingly brilliant squads have generally been built around transcendent talent at the pivot, Mitch Kupchak built a forest of a Lakers team, one that seemed omnipresent thanks to its sheer size and skill, leading wayward men into the branches never to be seen again. When teams want to get big, they do so as a response to this amassment of behemoths, praying that undersized forwards (and everyone is undersized when matched up against L.A.) can use craft and prayer to somehow make their shots enter the airspace above the skyscrapers. That is only the strength of the Lakers’ embarrassment of riches, completely ignoring the dual presences of Kobe Bryant and Phil Jackson, two men who know how to win better than just about anyone. Per usual, this team remains favored among all to emerge from the mire in June, greedily clinging to its third straight, sending its gigantic sage off into the sunset with his 12th ring.

Ignoring all tempting references to Hollywood endings, though, the Los Angeles Lakers that NBA fans have finally learned to respect immensely, even if hoping for Kobe Bryant’s quick and (assumingly) fitting downfall, will not take the court anytime soon, if ever, this season. Us writers, a notoriously plump and lazy lot, love the indomitability of a perennial like the Lakers; teams like them make us look cynical but smart every year by ripping out the hearts of upstarts in the early summer annually, negating the need for any kind of “research” or “work”. The Lakers’ placement atop this year’s influx of Superteams, therefore, doesn’t surprise anyone jaded enough to still read the expert polls with eyes rolled, but the team’s performance out of the gate will shock and appall because it hasn’t gotten better enough to excuse two of the more significant injuries in the NBA: the weary knees of the venerable Kobe Bryant and the hilariously short-sighted Andrew Bynum. While teams like the Portland Trailblazers and Houston Rockets must endure caveat after caveat in season previews by guys tired of making trendy picks undermined by some giant’s broken bone, those same writers stopped noticing that this team is just that: a veteran outfit desperately hoping that it can keep this jumble of loose sockets and drained knees rollicking along for a few more years. The Triangle can only do so much, especially for a team that seemed to be going in the worst direction offensively last season; without Kobe’s occasional game-winning robberies via fadeaway 16-footers and the “Oh my God, I can’t see anything”-type interior defense, the Lakers does not seem like a powerhouse swatting flies away from the crown. No, the jeopardy is much greater, the stakes much higher. Though no one wants to discuss it, the Lakers may have found itself in the midst of the Celtics and Spurs of the world: trying to recapture greatness for “one last run”.

Last runs aren’t supposed to be preceded by back-to-back titles, but neither are they supposed to begin with two of the team’s three best players nursing knee injuries and wondering if they’ll ever regain their “true” form. That is the even sadder truth: no matter how great Pau Gasol is or how badly Jackson may want this ring, too much may have already been lost to reasonably expect a title. Celtics fans find themselves already crossing their fingers, praying for some sort of fountain-of-youth/hyperbaric chamber solution to that 2001 All-Star team’s ills, and that is with a budding superstar in tow in Rondo. The Lakers’ future rides on the stability of two knees that doctors expect to fail in the near future, and its present dominance has been spearheaded by a shooting guard who has played 1,219 games over the course of 14 NBA seasons. I’m not guaranteeing failure here, just bringing up the very notion of it, somehow foreign not just to the purple and gold contingent, but to the rest of us too self-impressed and indolent to keep an eye out for warning signs.

The 2010-2011 Los Angeles Lakers will still likely vie for a title; when has it not? But people have to understand that that is not enough. Being inured to something doesn’t mean that it will always be, a shame given how beautiful and graceful the Lakers offense can make basketball look at times. The way the team plays the game of basketball at its best will always draw in believers, and maybe we’re all just being led off the trail by a worried, but poised Jackson, trying to alleviate a bit of the pressure off of his team that’ll need some time. But that time is running short. The injuries, the internal worrying, the gift-wrapped Western Conference title from pundits‒ the requisite omens have already arrived. Instead of expecting continued dominance, appreciate this Lakers team for what it is. Because no one ever knows when “one last run” has already passed.

Featuring philosophizing on league-wide issues, ‘On the NBA’ is the new Red94 general NBA column.  Recent posts can be accessed via the sidebar.  Follow Red94 on Twitter and Facebook for new post updates.

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Interesting piece of writing. I fully expect Nov and Dec to be unkind to the Lakers. But I don't believe there is enough certainty in the Western Conference to expect possible early season stumbles to leave the Lakers receding far into the pack. All 3 Texas teams should get a good leap. And Durant's team could as well. But no one else in the West, on paper, threatens to get to Christmas with single digit losses. Even the Texas teams run the risk of stumbling a bit out of the gate.

All that said...this regular season could look a lot like the 2008-09 Western Conference race.

I completely agree with this article. LA's likely going to be behind the eightball come January or even the all-star break if Kobe and Bynum aren't at least close to 90%. This team didn't even look dominant for much of the 1st half of last season and they'll struggle even more if they don't have 2o of their best 3 and most important players healthy.

It's foolish to assume with that a team with as many issues as LA is facing would somehow be a shoe in to win this year's title after coming off of two late season appearances which only added to the fatigue that this team is naturally facing because of Kobe's age (career-wise) and Bynum's knees.
Can they do it? Yeah. Would it be a surprise for anyone who's made a serious effort to analyze their situation heading into this season? Most definitely. Although the level of surprise may vary.

LA's fans should be pulling for their team. They have a chance to do something that few teams have done before. However, they should also realize that their team may need some incredible amount of luck at some point during the season to capture the #1 seed out West or in the later rounds of the playoffs to pull it off. If you think they were pushed to the brink last season, you're in for something special if they do pull off the 3-peat this year.

I agree with your assessment, so in fact this article is geared at that relatively small subsection of people who have bet their life savings that the Lakers will win the title.

"I’m not guaranteeing failure here, just bringing up the very notion of it ..."

Let me test my reading comprehension here and make an attempt to summarize:

"The Lakers might not win the title this year, don't consider them a lock."

Gee, thanks. Whatever fans are out there that believe the Lakers to be a lock, you are not going to convince them otherwise. For the rest of us who have a semblance of a brain and some grasp of reality, the reinforcement that nothing is set in stone is greatly appreciated.

I take the "havn't" like a MAN. The others are BS, "ju-co" alum (or certificate holder).

How amusing there are still cavemen attempting to kill the messenger.

I hear Geico is holding an open audition for you and yourn.

Is this commentary an illustration of how NOT to compose comprehensive prose?

Or is it just me?

I havn't seen this many run-on sentences, dangling & misplaced modifiers since I TURNED in my first book report in 3rd GRADE.

Either go back to ju-co for a creative writing refresher course, work shop it or RESIGN yesterday.

*haven't
*comma used in place of "and"
*use of ampersand
*not spelling out "third"
*"ju-co"
*"work shop"
*one sentence paragraphs

You had seven errors in a four sentence post. Perhaps you should try proof-reading your own writing.

Why does this just come off like the middle child craving attention?

Eh, if Bynum gets hurt and Yao recovers reasonably well, I think the Rockets frontcourt will be better. (Scola + 24min Yao) > Gasol Right?

The lakers had to face kristic, fesenko and amare before they saw a team with a reasonably well built front court. And when they did, it took them 7 games and a Kendrick Perkins injury to win. I'm just not that wowed by the lakers 4-5

I think people assume that when you use stats you apply them like a caveman would use a club instead of like a mathematician that was intelligent enough to devise the stats in the first place. They aren't just looking at a combined stat and making decisions. That would be the equivalent of saying "since rock beats scissor and scissor beats paper, I will choose rock to battle paper". It's not that simple. Just like "skill" and "heart"...their relative importance depends on the level of skill. Heart isn't that important when the skill level is very low. You can put a number on anything, just the model will get increasingly complex if you want to combine the things you're looking at. The smart thing to do if a perfect model isn't available is exactly what the Rockets are doing: looking in parallel at a variety of stats, observations, conversations, etc.

The supporting cast is almost always responsible for any star's success in anything. I totally agree with you Rahat....

As to the purple and gold fading, I agree with Jacob as well. The Lakers do not have enough young talent to offset aging athletes who comprise the Laker juggernaut. As hard as winning a championship is, I don't think that they will accomplish it this year. Unless, of course, God is a Laker fan.....

It's funny how many people forget about the San Antonio Spurs. One year the Spurs are indomitable, with a team that can beat any opponent at their own game. Then suddenly they're trying to scrap for one last finals appearance with the same team.

Things look inevitable in hindsight, but Game 7 of the Finals was an improbable Laker win.

Gee, I can't help but wonder "why are some people predicting gloom and doom" for the Los angeles Lakers?. For a team that just finished back to back championships and to be declared finished, and haven't played a regular season game yet.makes me wonder if a lot of this isn't wishful thinking. Atleast wait until the season start, you might really get your feelings hurt......

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  1. [...] worrying about Kobe Bryant‘s knee? Kobe can’t hit anything in the preseason, and one Rockets-focused blogger wonders if, between the messed-up knees of Kobe and Andrew Bynum, “too much may have already been [...]


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