A reader, Sir Thursday, has conducted an analysis of sorts of the Rockets’ schedule:
I’m going to split the other teams into the league into 5 categories depending on how likely we are to beat them:
Easy wins (we should win 100% of these):
Sacramento x3 (1-0)
Toronto x2
Washington x2
Charlotte x2 (1-0)
Detroit x1
New Jersey x1Expected score: 11-0
Current score: 2-0Favoured (I’d like to win 75% of these):
Phoenix x4
Minnesota x4
Golden State x3
New Orleans x3
Milwaukee x1
Cleveland x1Expected score: 12-4
Current Score: 0-0Even (50%):
Memphis x4 (0-1)
Utah x3
Indiana
Boston
New York
Atlanta (1-0)Expected score: 6-5
Current score: 1-1Underdogs (25%):
Denver x4
San Antonio x4 (1-1)
Portland x3 (1-0)
PhiladelphiaExpected score: 3-9
Current score: 2-1Games we’d be lucky to get anything out of:
OKC x4 (0-2)
Dallas x3
LA Lakers x3 (0-1)
LA Clippers x3 (0-1)
Chicago
Miami
Orlando (0-1)Expected score: 0-16
Current score: 0-5Projected record: 32-34
Current record: 4-7If previous years are anything to go by, we’ll need around 35 wins to make the 8th seed. That means we’ll need to pick up an extra three games from somewhere. Any ideas where those might come from? We’re already doing reasonably well in the ‘underdogs’ section…
I’ll try to keep this updated as the season goes on so we can keep track of how we’re doing against expectations. Hopefully that will start with a win today!
