The Kubler Ross Model: Acceptance

We’re going to be ok.  I went through the first four stages yesterday, and I think talking things out over the podcast really helped as well.  This is all going to be ok.  Yesterday was a very bad dream and we are going to get through this.  Together.  We got through the Steve Francis era.  We survived The Trevor Ariza era.  Oh wait…

You know how when someone has a bad breakup, or is spurned, etc., they get over it by vilifying the other person?  Or usually what happens is, the person’s friends start the vilification process for them: “he was a loser anyway, you can do way better!”  I’ve begun convincing myself that Bosh never held genuine interest in the Rockets to begin with and was only using them to coax the max out of Miami.  Who knows if that’s true, but it has made me feel significantly better.  Such are the tactics which must be employed during times of such grief.  Understand that for a solid five hours yesterday afternoon, the Houston Rockets had the best starting lineup in basketball.  Fifty years from now, tell that to your grandkids.  When you tell them about the Matt Bullard-Carlos Rogers-Walt Williams frontline of 2000, the Kelvin Cato “10 block game”, and that Zan Tabak actually went on to be pretty decent, tell them that for five or six glorious hours on July the 11th, the Houston Rockets had the best starting lineup in basketball.

Chris Bosh spurn photo forrestwalker_zps50b15fa9.png

The grey is not me, folks.  The grey is not me.

But today is a new day.  The Rockets can come out from this with a better team than the one they fielded last year.  But time now is of the essence.  They have until tomorrow to make use of the cap space cleared in dealing the contracts of Jeremy Lin and Omer Asik.  If that window expires without a signing, they can retain Parsons and have access to all of their exceptions, including the sizable midlevel.

There are complex permutations through which Morey can work.  He’ll have massive trade exceptions generated from the Asik and Lin trades (though they can’t be combined).  He still owns the Pelicans pick.  You can bet good money they spent the night working the phones trying to put something together.  This can be done, but it will be tough.  The time crunch imposed by the Parsons window infinitely complicates matters.  I ain’t mad at ya, but really bro, couldn’t you have held off a little bit longer?

Luol Deng doesn’t seem interested.  Trevor Ariza at this point might be your best bet.  But rather than overpay a marginal talent, I think they’re trying to make use of their space by talking to teams trying to dump big contracts.  They can still do this post-Parsons, but then they can only take back the size of each trade exception (in addition to the players dealt), an amount close to half of the near $15 upon which they sit right now.  They are scrambling to make use of that space.  If you thought Eric Gordon could again be healthy, would you take a flier there?  I think the risk ratio there is preferable to the upside of Parsons + the midlevel.  Who can you really even get for the midlevel?  Paul Pierce won’t come for that amount, I don’t think.  And with as much as is made of large trade exceptions, how many examples in history can we think of when they were actually used for profit?  I honestly think its better to just take a flier with the space and keep Chandler than to let it burn.

One thing is clear: they have to match on Parsons.  The Rockets simply cannot enter next year with their team completely gutted.  There’s no one in 2015 worth waiting for and also, we saw how that worked out for us this year.  Do you really want to waste another year of Dwight Howard’s prime?*

Of all the options, (do nothing; flier + Parsons; Parsons alone and later use TPE; Parsons + MLE; overpay Ariza + Parsons, etc..), it is my belief that a flier + Parsons represents maximum use of the resources available.  Parsons + the MLE is the likeliest.  If the team does nothing, letting Parsons walk as well, they might lose their local television deal.  Oh wait.  Too soon?

A final note, before the actual final note signified by the asterisk next to Howard:  A lot of tweets filled my timeline with outrage directed towards Morey.  That’s not deserved.  I can never blame a man for dreaming big and swinging for the fences.  He put us in position to form a juggernaut and has us in position to build a 60 win team.  The man had a vision and sometimes those don’t work out.  But I can never cast stones at a man who dreams big.

It can be surmised that perhaps he overplayed his hand in the Parsons situation.  That is fair-game for second guessing.  But this gamble altogether?  I can’t blame him.

*Howard: people bring up the Lillard shot, and I’ll be honest, it didn’t really hurt that much.  I mean that sincerely.  There was shock, a little bit of pain, but that was nowhere near the top on my list of worst sports memories.  Why?  The team had exhibited so many flaws over the course of that series, primarily due to coaching, that I was convinced they would get trounced by San Antonio in the next round regardless.  I saw winning as house money.  What hurt though was seeing Dwight Howard.  Understand that a Hall of Fame center is the most rarest of breeds in professional sports, maybe only rivaled by a dominant left handed pitcher.  When Dwight erased Nic Batum on a drive late in overtime in one of the road games that series, recovering off a switch, the euphoria quickly became despair.  How much more do we have of that?  Every last one of these years is beyond precious and cannot be wasted.  There are those, most of you, in denial, claiming Howard is better than ever.  But big men of his type do not age well, at all.  It’s a historical fact.  What makes the Bosh spurn so, so, so much more painful was that had we pulled it off, it would have represented a very real window in the heart of Howard’s two-year prime.  If the team can’t recover for next year, it’s another season lost.

Follow me on Twitter for regular meltdowns.

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Total comments: 41
  • rocketrick says 1 month ago

    Well reasoned response. Thanks. Yep, I have the feeling that they will match CP only if they found on better option. Still then, it is a tough pill to swallow.


    Not really, Chandler Parsons is a high character person (much like Jeremy Lin) but a much better fit with the current Rockets roster. Sure, it would have been preferable to re-sign Parsons to around $10 million to allow more cap space but it is what it is.

    Best thing is Parsons is not allowed to go Unrestricted next summer now that he has a 3-year deal.

    And he has tough competition with Trevor Ariza.

    One of Ariza or Parsons will eventually be traded.

    May the best man win!
  • dbd says 1 month ago

    Because it is a bad contract and there are still other avenues to consider and pursue before locking ourselves into that deal. Further, Cuban's money and salary cap space are tied up in this Parsons deal. His hands are tied in trying to pursue other free agents until we either match or relinquish Parsons.

    Well reasoned response. Thanks. Yep, I have the feeling that they will match CP only if they found on better option. Still then, it is a tough pill to swallow.

  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    Because it is a bad contract and there are still other avenues to consider and pursue before locking ourselves into that deal. Further, Cuban's money and salary cap space are tied up in this Parsons deal. His hands are tied in trying to pursue other free agents until we either match or relinquish Parsons.

  • rocketrick says 1 month ago

    Never play a poker but I knew definition of poker face.
    Maybe I am naive, just tell me why they did not match his contract yet. This is a simple question, don't be offended.


    I already answered that question. That is the Rockets policy since Leslie Alexander has been the Owner. To wait until the end of the 3-day deadline before announcing their decision.

    Why?

    I can only speculate as a fan, but I assume it's because the phones are burning to see what other deals are out there that fit under the CBA rules. The Rockets do have options either way, but personally, I believe their best move is to take advantage of the Bird Rights rule and match for Parsons and along with the lottery pick from the Pelicans for Asik just defer the next move until a time to be determined in the near future that is advantageous for the Rockets. That's how the game is played in the GM's office with the Owner's backing.

    The Rockets are fortunate to have Leslie Alexander as team owner and Daryl Morey as the GM.

    Which is why I keep renewing my high priced season tickets going forward.
  • dbd says 1 month ago

    Never play a poker but I knew definition of poker face.

    Maybe I am naive, just tell me why they did not match his contract yet. This is a simple question, don't be offended.

  • rocketrick says 1 month ago

    Check Leslie's spending for last many years and see how much he spent on luxury tax.
    I am not sure why they are waiting to match Chandler. To put Cuban on his toe?


    Leslie Alexander has paid the luxury tax in the past, 1 season and truthfully not that much. Of course the CBA was much different then than it is now. Hell, I remember when Michael Jordan signed that "unbelieveable" $25 million contract at that time. It is so much different now with the money because of the media rights, specifically Television deals.

    As to why are the Rockets "waiting to match Chandler". Sounds like you must have never played that game called Poker. You should look it up on google when you have some spare time.
  • dbd says 1 month ago

    Check Leslie's spending for last many years and see how much he spent on luxury tax.

    I am not sure why they are waiting to match Chandler. To put Cuban on his toe?

  • rocketrick says 1 month ago

    I think it is too early to say we are the same as the team end of last year. Parsons situation isn't clear yet and I am sure current is worst than last year for the time being.

    Yes. We could get better but that is in theory for now.

    Parsons's contract is very tough to swallow. I knew nothing about NBA salaries and contracts but his 15 mil/yr cap number will definitely a bad deal for next 3 year. The more I think about this, I admire Cuban's canning ability to screw his enemy. He knew it is a tough pill for Morey, he knew Leslie doesn't like luxury tax.


    Wow, so you knew that Mark Cuban knew that Leslie Alexander doesn't like luxury tax!

    Really!

    And just where did you get your inside information?

    You are correct, at this moment there is uncertainty about whether the Rockets will or will not match the offer sheet for Chandler Parsons. I fully expect they will.

    Everyone will know in about 14 1/2 hours. The Rockets won't announce until the very last possible minute as is their usual policy in these matters.

    Even Woj over at Yahoo has tweeted that the Rockets will "likely" re-sign Parsons although there is no confirmation. If Woj doesn't know, for sure you don't know. I don't know. But based on how the salary cap works, I honestly will be very surprised if the Rockets don't match unless they have another move up their sleeve that nobody knows about.
  • dbd says 1 month ago

    I think it is too early to say we are the same as the team end of last year. Parsons situation isn't clear yet and I am sure current is worst than last year for the time being.

    Yes. We could get better but that is in theory for now.

    Parsons's contract is very tough to swallow. I knew nothing about NBA salaries and contracts but his 15 mil/yr cap number will definitely a bad deal for next 3 year. The more I think about this, I admire Cuban's canning ability to screw his enemy. He knew it is a tough pill for Morey, he knew Leslie doesn't like luxury tax.

  • rocketrick says 1 month ago

    Maybe I didn't explain it right so there you go.

    What about Bledsoe? Maybe Monroe is someone you sign and flip later? Maybe when it gets late Pierce will take a reasonable offer? Aminu can definitely rebound but can he play defense? Andersen, Humphries or Adrien could be serviceable bigs that might accept short term contracts. I don't know, what do you all think?


    Bledsoe is restricted and Phoenix is all but certain to match any offer sheet especially since Dragic becomes an unrestricted free agent next summer which is probably why they did the sign and trade for Isaah Thomas from Sacramento. Tells me the Suns expect to lose Dragic next summer and may try and move him by the Trade Deadline in February 2015.

    The Rockets no longer have the cap space to go after Greg Monroe.

    Pierce just signed with Washington. That really is surprising to me that he would end up there and not in Clipper land. Probably because the Clippers didn't have as much salary cap space and Pierce decided more money and staying in the East was the better choice. Washington should be a playoff team this year. Just unusual for someone like Paul Pierce to end up with that sort of a team this late in his career.

    Assuming the Rockets match for Parsons, Aminu is redundant with both Parsons and Ariza on the same roster.

    Reports from Woj over at Yahoo point to Birdman Anderson ending up back in Miami. Adrian might be a possibility. Humpries probably not the right fit for this roster but who knows at this point.
  • Steven says 1 month ago

    I'm surprised he left WSH if the money were equal. He probably thought he'd get more touches in Houston without Beal /Wall.

    Money isn't equal. No local taxes to play for the Rockets, DC had a city income tax of 8.5%.
  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago I'm surprised he left WSH if the money were equal. He probably thought he'd get more touches in Houston without Beal /Wall.
  • Cooper says 1 month ago Ariza deal does decline over time and the wiz offered him the same money so I guess the idea every FA Hates Houston and Harden and Howard doesn't hold a lot of water.
  • Cooper says 1 month ago Okafor for 1yr 5mill or so would be fine if assuming his back is good. He's probably the best big guy left.
  • rockets best fan says 1 month ago

    @TTDN

    I think the level of disappointment for some is at the level of despair. I'm disappointed too, but am not without hope. Okafor is abad disparate option to me

  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago what about paying Okafor a hefty 1 year deal? At worst it's an expiring. I know he had back problems but if he could stay on the floor he'd keep us alive without Howard on the floor when he sits.
  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago If we go big with Harden at the 1 we'd be pretty big.
  • Cooper says 1 month ago Looks like we got ariza, hope they still match parsons. Have them split time at the three and play a little 2/4 depending on matchups.
    Also likely daniels is coming back which is nice.
  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago We got Ariza for 4/32. I hope it's front loaded so it's more tradable a few years from now. Also Parsons might still be matched.
  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    2MQzCOq.gif

    :lol:

    There's still plenty of available players. Morey's going to start pulling rabbits out of his.....hat. It's not over yet, guys.

  • feelingsupersonic says 1 month ago Maybe I didn't explain it right so there you go.

    What about Bledsoe? Maybe Monroe is someone you sign and flip later? Maybe when it gets late Pierce will take a reasonable offer? Aminu can definitely rebound but can he play defense? Andersen, Humphries or Adrien could be serviceable bigs that might accept short term contracts. I don't know, what do you all think?
  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago Ok. I must have misunderstood you. My bad.

    On another note, It looks like we're courting Ariza. I hate going after him since he was in a contract year and I don't expect those numbers to hold up. I hope it's a 1 or 2 year deal but if we lose him to WSH and MIA gets Deng who's left? Carter went to Memphis. Millers going to Denver or Cleveland. Young went back to LALA. Morrow is off the market. Can we live with Aminu? I'm not sure. We have to match Parsons now.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 month ago I'm sorry timetodie I must have not made it clear, no worries. I totally understand the doom and gloom and the resulting second guessing that happens when fans are feeling down and are wondering where it all went wrong. What I have very little tolerance for are the people who come to our forum with other agendas because they may not be Rockets fans, I have little to no patience right now for those who come to troll honest Rocket fans having a rough time.
  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago The gloom most of us feel is because we thought we had bosh and were going to be awesome. Now we are the same or worse than last year. I think we will make moves to improve us but compared to the fantasies about destroying the rest of the league with Bosh it's a bit disheartening. It's still kind of raw. If you want to be super happy go ahead. If you cannot understand us, we sure as hell can't understand why you're happy with no bosh and no Melo.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 month ago I agree rockets best fan. We still have one of the top NBA teams and right now it's a good time for Rockets fans even though the new fans and guys in their 20's don't always see that. I cannot understand the gloom by some of the forum members but this trollers coming in with pointless negative commentary is what I find annoying. I commending you on staying out of the mud so far.


    Sounds like Morey might get some pieces off the Bulls transaction. Hopefully Morey works out some short contracts.
  • rockets best fan says 1 month ago

    @JG

    I agree............everyone seems to have forgotten we still have a good team. while I'm not in favor of bringing Parsons back...if they do we still have last years starting lineup. that's not a bad thing

  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    I'm not implying he is going to be any kind of elite PG in this league. I am implying he has the kind of game that will compliment our roster and philosophy. Is he a rookie that needs seasoning, coaching, practice, and experience? Of course. I still say there is a lot to like there. Maybe his ceiling is Shannon Brown--for a second rounder that's not too shabby.

    For the record, I always thought Selby was overrated.

  • uojoe82 says 1 month ago Whoa lets put the nick johnson cool aid down for a sec? Does the name Josh Selby ring a bell? It shouldn't because he's not in the league despite being the 2012 summer league MVP.

    NJ has done some nice things so far but let's dig a little deeper. The summer league rotation for the rockets features no one that will make the team except NJ. Because of that NJ is being featured. Hes putting up decent numbers but let's calm done. Last year everyone was high on Cannan and he contributed nothing. If NIck Johnson is the heir apparent to lin then you've got problems. Please keep in mind lin has an abundance of offense talent and he can be inserted in any starting lineup and give you twenty points. I don't see NJ ever being able to do that. And grooming him to be the PG? Please. His handles are suspect at best, and he's going to be harassed by NBA pgs during the regular season. Love the optimism though. Oh, Melos people just told the rockets to move on.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 month ago Great stuff johnnygold. The fact is we didn't hit a home run like the past two summers but Morey will maneuver, moves will be made, the core will improve and the Rockets will be a top 5 team again like Jeff Van Gundy recently said. Still a great time to be a Rockets fan!

    Let's wait and see what happens on the court.
  • shuga says 1 month ago

    We have now gone from overpaying Lin to overpaying Parsons, and are now putting our faith in a rook and 2 sophomores who barely saw PT at the NBA level. How quickly our fortunes have changed.

  • Forthelin says 1 month ago

    Chalmers. Mario Chalmers. He will do it for you. He's the one.

  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    I love the optimism JG. I have been watching Johnson, and he has been pretty impressive. He's had a quite a few highlight plays in the summer league. Also plays tenacious D, and seems to somewhat be able to handle PG duties when asked to. I wish he was just slightly bigger, but he is definitely one of the better athletes on our team.

    I think he is likely being groomed for a Patrick Beverley role. Against other PG's his size is fine. I know he ran the offense for his team in Arizona quite often. He oozes confidence. There's lots to like and he can grow into his role with us. Can you imagine us using Bev, Canaan, and Johnson as our 3 PG's plus Daniels as the back-up SG and still running to another 50+ win season? I can.

    Also, let's all think about how much fun the 2 Miami games are going to be this season....I can't wait.

  • txtdo1411 says 1 month ago

    I love the optimism JG. I have been watching Johnson, and he has been pretty impressive. He's had a quite a few highlight plays in the summer league. Also plays tenacious D, and seems to somewhat be able to handle PG duties when asked to. I wish he was just slightly bigger, but he is definitely one of the better athletes on our team.

  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    And the forgotten man, Terrence Jones....or as I like to call him, "Swoop".

  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    Oh hey, check out this guy. Isaiah Canaan. Droppin' 43 points in the D-League.

    I know everyone's bummed, but let's not forget the wisdom of Stephen Stills. If you can't be with the one you love, love the one your with.

  • thejohnnygold says 1 month ago

    Did somebody say solid role players? Anyone keeping up with Nick Johnson? No big deal, just put up a triple double in his last game and another spectacular dunk. What's that, we just opened up a roster spot at PG? Interesting....

    Article

  • The Duke of Earl. says 1 month ago I totally agree. We can't be waisting D12 prime. We need to start filling out the roster with solid role players
  • Cooper says 1 month ago

    If the Asik trade to the pellies has not yet happened, maybe we should work a quick offer of Asik, T. Jones, and a draft pick to Minnesota for Love? Even if he wouldn't do a sign and trade, a successful year should convince him to extend with Houston... Maybe this won't meet trade restrictions, but it would represent two starters and a pick in exchange for Love. Any comments?

    Minny already owes pek a bunch of money at center. Jones and a pick could get us a good starter but not an all star.
  • Red94 says 1 month ago

    would gladly gladly glady take taj.

  • bob schmidt says 1 month ago

    If the Asik trade to the pellies has not yet happened, maybe we should work a quick offer of Asik, T. Jones, and a draft pick to Minnesota for Love? Even if he wouldn't do a sign and trade, a successful year should convince him to extend with Houston... Maybe this won't meet trade restrictions, but it would represent two starters and a pick in exchange for Love. Any comments?

  • timetodienow1234567 says 1 month ago What about Taj Gibson for that pick and another first 2017. If the Bulls were to want Melo that badly it could work.