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@  SadLakerFan : (27 May 2015 - 07:55 AM) Somewhere, JR Smith is thinking "WTF?!" Howard avoids a 2 because Bogut dodged the elbow. The cynic in me says that the NBA is hoping for more viewers for game 5 and perhaps even a game 6.
@  Losthief : (27 May 2015 - 04:40 AM) nba is a business, more games=more money!
@  JY86er : (27 May 2015 - 02:15 AM) interesting how subjectively NBA applies its own rules.
@  RocketMan : (26 May 2015 - 11:46 PM) NO SUSPENSION! Glad that's over with.
@  SadLakerFan : (26 May 2015 - 08:02 PM) The difference to me is that Horford's elbow was to the shoulder; I don't think Horford should have gotten a flagrant2. Dwight unfortunately hit the face of Bogut. Silver may cut him a break in the hopes of having something to show on TV before the finals start on June 4. Frankly, I don't think the Hawks will win tonight.
@  RocketMan : (26 May 2015 - 04:59 PM) I think the fact that Bogut was being a jerk just before is the saving grace.
@  RocketMan : (26 May 2015 - 04:58 PM) But then again Randolph was a PUNCH, not backhand slap in immediate reaction to being roughed up.
@  RocketMan : (26 May 2015 - 04:56 PM) Best comparison would have to be Zach Randolph from last year... he was not ejected, but was suspended for game 7.
@  RocketMan : (26 May 2015 - 03:41 PM) They had time to review it. They will be hesitant to upgrade when they took so long in the first place to look at it.
@  JY86er : (26 May 2015 - 08:38 AM) Horford didnt get suspended. Maybe NBA give Howard a break also.
@  SadLakerFan : (26 May 2015 - 05:25 AM) There's no question in my mind Dwight is going to be suspended. You could argue he's facing away, and the hand was open, but based on what we've seen this season, he's gone.
@  Mario Peña : (26 May 2015 - 04:59 AM) It's obvious Harden has taken another step this postseason. The dude is going to be even better next year. Amazing.
@  Willk : (26 May 2015 - 04:13 AM) I have a bad feeling that Howard is going to be suspended. Hope not though
@  SadLakerFan : (26 May 2015 - 03:48 AM) The value of James Harden's rookie card just went up by a dollar.
@  cointurtlemoose : (26 May 2015 - 03:46 AM) James Harden is good at basketball.
@  SadLakerFan : (26 May 2015 - 03:34 AM) Ten point lead three minutes left. McHale can prove himself now.
@  cointurtlemoose : (26 May 2015 - 02:20 AM) Klay Thompson needs to stop what he's doing...
@  jorgeaam : (26 May 2015 - 02:15 AM) What a shame that didn't count
@  jorgeaam : (26 May 2015 - 02:14 AM) Yeah but I'd say that they get much better looks when they're trying harder on offense, rather than just letting Harden go one on one and create something
@  majik19 : (26 May 2015 - 02:06 AM) well great shooting really helps (now we've cooled off).


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#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

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Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

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