Jump to content


Toggle shoutbox Shoutbox Open the Shoutbox in a popup

@  JY86er : (28 April 2015 - 01:51 AM) Well that explains why my cousin is not texting me back.
@  jorgeaam : (28 April 2015 - 01:44 AM) Wow, Atlanta lost again today vs Brooklyn, series tied at 2.
@  cointurtlemoose : (27 April 2015 - 05:31 AM) But serious response: has Ariza had that assignment in the past? Cause I forget. Luckily their wings wouldn't outsize Terry/Harden
@  cointurtlemoose : (27 April 2015 - 05:28 AM) majik - I'm still in denial, thinking happy thoughts. No room to think about elite PGs dicing us up......
@  majik19 : (27 April 2015 - 04:23 AM) just thinking about the clippers - if JJ Barea can do that... what is Chris Paul going to do?
@  08huangj : (27 April 2015 - 04:01 AM) I was really looking forward to see Cuban's reaction of a sweep right at the Mavericks home court though.
@  08huangj : (27 April 2015 - 04:00 AM) The Rockets had a good fourth quarter only because Smith was on fire.
@  majik19 : (27 April 2015 - 03:57 AM) just did absolutely nothing well after the 1st quarter. Missed everything, didn't rebound, and definitely didn't play defense.
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 03:57 AM) Hahaha did anyone see Brewer stealing the ball away from Jefferson before the clock ran out?
@  08huangj : (27 April 2015 - 03:54 AM) This loss doesn't matter. The Rockets can finish things at home next time.
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 03:50 AM) I love Corey Brewer, he just keeps hustling
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 03:37 AM) Time for Johnny Gold's prediction of Smith hitting a game winning 3 to become true
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 03:36 AM) Josh Smith turning into Kyle Korver
@  cointurtlemoose : (27 April 2015 - 03:33 AM) Well at least Johnson is getting some playoff minutes......
@  SadLakerFan : (27 April 2015 - 03:14 AM) Man, how big a disaster was Rajon Rondo?
@  JY86er : (27 April 2015 - 02:11 AM) This game is over if the Rockets (again) decide to hurry back on defense in transition.
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 01:46 AM) 3 quarters to go
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 01:32 AM) Dwight spinning from a defender into a lob is a thing of beauty
@  Mario Peña : (27 April 2015 - 01:23 AM) So annoying, Reggie whiner doing colour commentary.
@  jorgeaam : (27 April 2015 - 01:17 AM) Let's go Rockets!

Photo

Draft Analytics


  • Please log in to reply
No replies to this topic

#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,177 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

ST
  • 0




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users