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@  thejohnnygold : (21 January 2018 - 03:15 PM) That was a nice win last night. WE need to know we can beat the W's come April/May.
@  DenverRocket : (19 January 2018 - 08:46 PM) Ridiculous!! Afflalo only got 2 games for actually swinging at Bjielica.
@  Mario Peña : (18 January 2018 - 01:00 AM) I can’t believe Ariza is getting a two game suspension!
@  Mario Peña : (18 January 2018 - 12:59 AM) Yeah, I always preferred this sight not only aesthetically but most of all the community here.
@  thejohnnygold : (08 January 2018 - 02:44 PM) Meh...I never enjoyed any of the others...I'll stay here...even if it is a bit of a ghost town.
@  rocketrick : (08 January 2018 - 01:59 PM) Ok, should all of us just transition to another site about now?
@  slick shoes : (12 December 2017 - 01:21 PM) Seems like we had enough trouble sending him anywhere this past summer lol
@  redfaithful : (12 December 2017 - 01:03 PM) According to the article send Anderson somewhere without taking money back
@  slick shoes : (11 December 2017 - 09:58 PM) What do we have to give up to make it work financially though?
@  redfaithful : (11 December 2017 - 05:22 PM) Wow, this: https://www.theringe...ets-free-agency
@  DenverRocket : (10 December 2017 - 05:36 PM) Yep, did you see that 4th quarter/stretch small ball line-up that stifled the Blazers and allowed Harden and CP3 to do their thing? Awesome defense!!
@  thejohnnygold : (09 December 2017 - 03:21 AM) It makes me so happy :)
@  DenverRocket : (07 December 2017 - 09:39 PM) Don't whisper too loud, but All Of A Sudden, The Rockets Are Dominant On Defense, Too
@  slick shoes : (28 November 2017 - 07:33 PM) Looks like JB will get another swing at interim head coach. Hope things fare better for him there than here.....
@  slick shoes : (27 November 2017 - 09:39 PM) Wow! What is going on in Memphis?!
@  thejohnnygold : (23 November 2017 - 05:56 PM) Also, Chris Paul is a wizard
@  DenverRocket : (23 November 2017 - 05:15 PM) Great defense, great depth. Loving it.
@  redfaithful : (23 November 2017 - 09:19 AM) No Anderson, no Gordon, no problem demolishing the Nuggets... this team is good
@  thejohnnygold : (13 November 2017 - 11:35 PM) That's good news for us and for you!
@  slick shoes : (13 November 2017 - 08:09 PM) CP3 is rumored to be back Thursday...

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#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

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Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

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