Jump to content


Toggle shoutbox Shoutbox Open the Shoutbox in a popup

@  thejohnnygold : (19 April 2018 - 02:20 PM) This scoop shot right here!
@  thejohnnygold : (19 April 2018 - 03:42 AM) That might be the best scoop shot I've ever seen
@  DenverRocket : (16 April 2018 - 04:08 AM) At least CP3 can only get better! Also, if our 3pt shooting comes back, it won't be close.
@  thejohnnygold : (16 April 2018 - 03:41 AM) Phew!
@  thejohnnygold : (16 April 2018 - 01:57 AM) When did Capela get that Euro-Step?
@  Mario Peña : (08 April 2018 - 05:40 PM) I don’t mind the loss to the Thunder last night. This Rockets team needs to be anticipating teams going for the jugular and Harden and co. need to fight through playoff levels of physical play.
@  rocketrick : (24 March 2018 - 01:43 PM) Walk for a Rocket Championship seems so empty while teenagers are truly and courageously Walking for Their Lives Today.
@  DenverRocket : (23 March 2018 - 05:06 PM) Brandan Wright released apparently
@  thejohnnygold : (22 March 2018 - 02:21 PM) Harden looks unstoppable right now. Really enjoying the way he has matured.
@  slick shoes : (21 March 2018 - 04:05 PM) Great win last night against the Blazers. Was good to see us take a punch in the mouth and stand our ground. A nice long homestand with 3/5 of the teams in tank mode should provide some nice rest for our starting group. Hopefully Ariza and Anderson can find their groove in the mean time as well.
@  slick shoes : (19 March 2018 - 07:12 PM) was hoping we'd have a large enough lead going in to the 4th last night that CP and James would get to rest the last 12 but we took our foot off the gas....
@  thejohnnygold : (18 March 2018 - 12:21 PM) I'm sure they have some plans for rest down the stretch...hopefully.
@  Mario Peña : (17 March 2018 - 08:09 PM) Durant out for two weeks perhaps too, hope James takes the opportunity to rest some himself.
@  slick shoes : (14 March 2018 - 06:05 PM) Curry out for multiple games plus Thompson out for two weeks makes that two game lead just a little more comfortable.
@  Mario Peña : (11 March 2018 - 06:12 PM) That loss hopefully contained lessons for this Rockets team. Teams will take away the three as much as they can in the later rounds of the playoffs.
@  rocketrick : (08 March 2018 - 05:54 PM) Oh Yeah, The winning streak up to 17 now and with a very tough road game on Friday against....
@  rocketrick : (08 March 2018 - 05:53 PM) Addition of Joe Johnson after the Trade Deadline and how that could impact our Team in the Playoffs
@  rocketrick : (08 March 2018 - 05:47 PM) I'm here to read and comment not to write articles
@  rocketrick : (08 March 2018 - 05:46 PM) New ownership
@  rocketrick : (08 March 2018 - 05:46 PM) Our bench

Photo

Draft Analytics


  • Please log in to reply
No replies to this topic

#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,309 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

ST
  • 0




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users