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@  thejohnnygold : (20 August 2014 - 04:52 AM) That article is a nice change of pace :)
@  Buckko : (20 August 2014 - 01:14 AM) http://probasketball...am-usa/related/ About Harden being the leader for team USA.
@  rockets best... : (17 August 2014 - 07:23 PM) good find Buckko
@  Buckko : (17 August 2014 - 05:35 PM) One for Covington too http://www.ridiculou...houston-rockets
@  Buckko : (17 August 2014 - 05:34 PM) http://www.ridiculou...ets-next-season
@  Buckko : (17 August 2014 - 05:34 PM) Great article on Troy Daniels
@  Buckko : (17 August 2014 - 04:49 PM) Harden stat line 18/5/5/2/2 with 2 TOs and 11-11 from the line.
@  Willk : (17 August 2014 - 01:12 AM) harden's passing is unbelievable tonight
@  Cooper : (15 August 2014 - 03:31 AM) yeah the injury aspect is overrated they're gonna play somewhere might as well be with top notch coaches, players, and training staffs.
@  feelingsuper... : (14 August 2014 - 11:31 PM) Players could get hurt at any time and they play all summer. On Team USA they have the best courts, coaches and trainers so to me it's pretty clear that I'd rather have Harden on USA than playing the Drew.
@  jorgeaam : (14 August 2014 - 11:30 PM) Well, last year there was smoke in the arena because of a short circuit, so the game wasn't played, but yes, that game included the Wolves too
@  rockets best... : (14 August 2014 - 11:00 PM) Cousins hurt at team USA's practice today. how many injuries will it take before the NBA looks at a review of policy?
@  RollingWave : (14 August 2014 - 08:27 AM) Isn't this the second strait year the Wolfs play in Mexico? I think the NBA i setting them up to move there lol
@  jorgeaam : (14 August 2014 - 02:53 AM) So the Rockets will be playing a game in my country, Nov 12 in Mexico City against the Wolves
@  Adi1008 : (14 August 2014 - 02:35 AM) Here's the NBA schedule: http://i.usatoday.ne...eam_by_team.pdf
@  thejohnnygold : (13 August 2014 - 07:01 PM) ...and that's how the NBA generates ratings :)
@  jorgeaam : (13 August 2014 - 06:15 PM) So from what I read in a B/R article, it seems we are facing the Lakers on opening night
@  txtdo1411 : (13 August 2014 - 02:15 PM) We were able to survive while Asik missed those 34 games last season. We did that without Dorsey on the roster. We aren't necessarily relying on Dorsey, but if he can contribute that is a huge plus.
@  RollingWave : (13 August 2014 - 07:05 AM) Omer Asik last year, after refusing to play for half of the year, had nearly 50% more minutes on the floor than Joey Dorsey's ENTIRE NBA CAREER to date. (958 vs 634) Dorsey's also 2 years older than Asik, BTW.
@  RollingWave : (13 August 2014 - 07:02 AM) your losing nearly 5000 minutes of play from 3 guys and replacing them with a guy who missed 25+ games in 2 of the last 3 years, 2 completely unknown Rookie, and a guy who is 30 year old and yet to have 1 good season in the NBA.

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#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

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Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

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