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@  thejohnnygold : (03 December 2016 - 05:48 AM) Looking at the structure of the deal I think we match it...unless Morey is concerned about messing up team chemistry.
@  DenverRocket : (03 December 2016 - 12:44 AM) Signed. 4yrs, $37 million. We have 3 days to match.
@  DenverRocket : (01 December 2016 - 05:24 PM) D-Mo close to signing Nets offer sheet according to Woj https://t.co/AGtJj532y0
@  Jatman20 : (29 November 2016 - 03:35 AM) D-Mo took bad advice from his agent. We shall see how it plays out. If he gets multiple deals or works things out with Houston.
@  Jatman20 : (29 November 2016 - 03:33 AM) D-Mo still ends up having to prove himself for one yr for about slightly less than what Houston offered for one yr.
@  Jatman20 : (29 November 2016 - 03:31 AM) probably break even financially....because t everyone loses
@  Jatman20 : (29 November 2016 - 03:30 AM) I agree Slick Shoes. He could probably play in one European for about $2 mil for what amounts to 20 something games....and then play for another European team for about the same for about 26 games. Rockets & D-Mo
@  slick shoes : (23 November 2016 - 07:30 PM) I don't know that we would get anything in return for DMo at this point. He will have to play to prove that he can physically be out there and prove that he has actual value.
@  Jatman20 : (22 November 2016 - 02:32 PM) Nov 22: Ennis can be traded Nov 23: D-Mo deadline to be traded.....for what it's worth.
@  slick shoes : (21 November 2016 - 08:27 PM) End of tweet: "Still no progress." Dude feels burned. I don't blame him.
@  DenverRocket : (21 November 2016 - 07:58 PM) I saw yesterday (somewhere, I think Calvin Watkins) a tweet saying that Rockets have had positive discussions with D-Mo's agent.
@  slick shoes : (21 November 2016 - 05:35 PM) Wiltjer is back from D-League!
@  DenverRocket : (17 November 2016 - 04:16 PM) Good interview with Thabeet for those interested: http://theundefeated...-to-the-league/
@  slick shoes : (09 November 2016 - 07:01 PM) "We have to commit to defense," said Jeff Bzdelik, the assistant coach charged with guiding Houston on that end, "or we're just a .500 team that runs up and down a lot." Hey, someone gets it!
@  thejohnnygold : (09 November 2016 - 05:53 PM) Zach Lowe has a solid article detailing the good and the bad for Houston. LINK
@  slick shoes : (05 November 2016 - 01:18 PM) Well,Ii don't feel so bad about the Rockets not being able to beat the Lakers on opening night now.
@  thejohnnygold : (04 November 2016 - 08:46 PM) thirded
@  majik19 : (04 November 2016 - 06:06 PM) I second slick shoes - please accept!
@  slick shoes : (04 November 2016 - 06:04 PM) "ESPN sources say Houston's latest offer to Donatas Motiejunas is a multiyear deal that starts at a fully guaranteed $7 million in Year 1." Please accept, D-Mo!
@  Jatman20 : (04 November 2016 - 01:23 AM) I guess Caps & Nene didn't do so bad. Thompson is killing Boston without Horford.

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#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

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Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

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