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@  Mario Peña : (10 February 2016 - 04:19 AM) The invisible defense is in full effect.
@  majik19 : (09 February 2016 - 09:23 PM) with the bizarro Rockets, we'll probably somehow win tonight
@  slick shoes : (09 February 2016 - 03:15 PM) GS will enjoy a nice 30 point cushion for the majority of the game and after clearing both benches, our 2nd unit will make things "respectable" again.
@  Sir Thursday : (07 February 2016 - 05:16 PM) Still a depressing loss though :(.
@  Sir Thursday : (07 February 2016 - 05:16 PM) I thought the defence looked a lot better once we put a proper big man in rather than playing Ariza at the 4. Ariza was consistently late on the rotation against the pick-and-roll, but genuine big men tend to have better instincts about snuffing that sort of thing out. I think Harrell and Capela did a good job when put in that role.
@  DenverRocket : (05 February 2016 - 02:38 AM) I thought we'd seen the worst of it this season, but that Q1 ranks up there with it!
@  slick shoes : (04 February 2016 - 06:54 PM) DMo is back from the D-League. Might see some big minutes from him tonight.
@  Sir Thursday : (03 February 2016 - 11:51 PM) TJ was in a car accident on the way to the airport according to Feigen. Hope it wasn't anything too serious...
@  Cooper : (03 February 2016 - 09:49 PM) Crowder would be great
@  slick shoes : (03 February 2016 - 07:33 PM) I read that too but can't imagine what they could offer in return other than draft picks (which we have none of for this years draft).
@  majik19 : (03 February 2016 - 06:50 PM) Calvin Watkins said something about a potential Dwight Howard to Boston trade... but haven't seen any other details on that.
@  slick shoes : (02 February 2016 - 03:38 PM) the point: it seems you have missed it lol
@  thenit : (02 February 2016 - 06:23 AM) well its not really a snub when you aren't deserving
@  thejohnnygold : (02 February 2016 - 12:13 AM) Hopefully he is more concerned about our W's and L's right now than another All-Star game. His body could use the rest and I'm guessing he will be glad to kick back and enjoy watching from home.
@  slick shoes : (01 February 2016 - 09:45 PM) I wasn't really asking if YOU thought he was a snub. I was wondering how Dwight feels about it.
@  thenit : (30 January 2016 - 03:45 AM) Honestly D12 is like the 8th best big man in the west.
@  DenverRocket : (30 January 2016 - 03:25 AM) Kanter has killed us since D12's hissy fit (whether justified or not, he needs to put a lid on it!)
@  slick shoes : (30 January 2016 - 12:58 AM) has anyone seen any mention of DH12 being an all star snub? because I haven't. I wonder how he feels about that.....
@  slick shoes : (29 January 2016 - 07:48 PM) DMo will make his return tomorrow with the RGV Vipers. Not that it really makes any difference.....
@  majik19 : (28 January 2016 - 03:32 AM) pretty embarassing defensive performance. Offense was doing okay until they quit in the 3rd. How did we beat this team again?

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#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

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Posted 17 November 2012 - 02:02 AM

I've been following some work done by a poster on Cavs: The Blog in which he uses regression analysis to determine which if any of the physical measurements of draftees available before a draft correlate with success at an NBA level. Here is an introduction to his methodology, and he put up the first post in the series yesterday.

Now, I find this interesting because it seems like the sort of thing the Rockets would be all over. There are clearly some strong correlations between certain physical tools and NBA success, but they are not necessarily the ones that GMs would have traditionally slathered over. Somehow I imagine that it would be much harder to obtain the sorts of proprietary statistics that Morey and co. favour from College ball given how fragmented the scene is, and the alternative is this sort of thing.

His post about point guards is one that we had a stake in over this past offseason with the signing of Scott Machado (admittedly, we didn't actually draft him, but given that we've picked him up as a rookie I feel like it's justified to include him in this conversation). According to draftexpress.com, Machado posted a 3/4 court sprint time of 3.23 seconds, which places him just outside the core group of <3.2s upperclassmen PGs that this analysis predicts will do well in the NBA. If Machado's performance matches up with the regression, you would expect him to contribute around 1 OWS next year. For comparison, that's somewhere between John Lucas and Beno Udrih, both of whom are competent but unspectacular. I'd take that over Douglas based on how he's played so far though!

Anyway, I thought this post and the series as a whole seems like a really insightful piece of analysis and that it was worthy of a wider audience. What do the rest of you think?

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