So what's the verdict on McHale? Can he coach? Is he the best coach for this team?
The western conference is stacked with great coaches. Popovich, Rivers, and Brooks are great coaches with extensive playoff (and championship) experience. Terry Stotts and Jeff Hornacek have taken teams that were in the lottery last year and have them in the thick of the playoff race. Carlisle has a championship ring and has won several playoff series. I'm not sure about D'Antoni but he's won playoff series before and the fact that the Lakers aren't the worst team in the West given there roster and injuries this year has to be respected.
The Rockets have arguably 2 of the best 10 players in the league. That means that most nights they have the 2 best players on the court when the game starts. The Rockets recently went 8-2 in February and of the 10 games, only against the Clippers it could be argued that the Rockets didn't have the 2 best players. And they lost. They also lost to the Warriors (Curry, Harden, Howard, not sure who the best 2 are).
What I'm asking is that with this roster shouldn't they have a better record? If they end up in the 4-5 playoff match-up there's a good possibility that they don't make it to the second round (especially if the opponent is the Clippers). A first round exit is the same result as the previous season. That would have to be considered as a major failure given that they added the best center in the league.
Playoffs come down to coaching, knowing when to coach and when not to coach (overcoaching), and late game execution. The Rockets late game failures are well known and documented. Can we count on McHale to manage the last 2 minutes of the game? Or will he sit back and let Harden go into iso mode? Can Mchale draw up plays? Will he run plays for the hot hand (even if its not Harden)? What will he do if teams resort to Hack-A-Howard and D12 struggles at the line?
An inexperienced (playoff) coach can rely on a floor leader (PG) to execute plays at the end of the game. Unfortunately the Rockets do not have a playmaker/floor leader at the PG position. I think that Lin has that potential, but his relegation to the bench and recent slump/struggles will make him obsolete at the end of games coming down the stretch and into the playoffs. Beverley is a very limited player and his deficiencies are going to be a weakness in the playoffs. The west is loaded with All-Stars at the PG position and in the playoffs these PG's are going to be able to rest on the defensive end since Beverley's role on offense is to dribble past half court and pass to Harden then find a spot behind the 3 point line.
Lin has all the skills and qualities to be a good PG. Maybe not All-Star but the next tier down. Instead of using the regular season to develop him McHale has slowly reduced his role as the playoffs get closer. This is fatal for a player that feeds off confidence.
For as great as McHale is for big men I think he is horrible for PG's. Goran Dragic and Kyle Lowry have both experienced there best seasons 2 years removed from McHale. This has to be a concern. Coaches often get accolades for being able to develop talent. But shouldnt they get criticized when good players regress? Lin's time with the Knicks gave us a good indication of the player he could be. He came to the Rockets and he's regressed 2 years in a row. If he isnt traded this summer I can only imagine what his role will be. Think of his position on the team prior to the 2012-13 season (pre-Harden trade). He was the face of the team and started 82 straight games. This season (pre all-star break) he bounced around as a starter and legitimate 6th man of the year candidate. Now he is a role player getting 15-18 minutes a night. Whats happening? Why is Lin the only player who gets benched when he doesnt play well to start. Parsons, Harden, and even Beverley get 35-40 minutes of playing time even when they struggle.
I constantly see posts from people saying the Rockets should've kept Dragic or Lowry. But lets not kid ourselves thinking that the Dragic or Lowry we see today would be the same Lowry or Dragic under McHale.
In conclusion this season and how the playoffs end will be a great indicator of if McHale is the right guy. If the Rockets dont make a long playoff run then I think McHale isnt the right guy. There are better coaches (who are unemployed) out there. I'm not confident in McHales ability at all and pray that the Rockets dont see the Clippers in round 1.