My perspective is that while there are teams that the Rockets should play predominantly small ball against, there are also teams that Houston should double down on low post defenders. Multiple strengths will allow them to dominate teams with radically different game plans. I know I've harped on this before, but I think it bears repeating. Teams like Indiana and Memphis are built to pound smaller teams inside.
The Heat were a better team than the Pacers on paper last season, but forcing their small lineups to defend larger players paid dividends over the course of the series. It took Battier a long time to regain his shooting stroke after being bullied down low trying to guard David West. Yes, the Pacers lost ground at times because they couldn't go small as well as Miami, but their strength pushed a better team to the limit. Memphis was able to take it to the Spurs in the first round a few years back because they were able to dominate them down low.
The Spurs took that as a wake up call, and built their team accordingly. The Spurs and the Thunder are a model I believe the Rockets can mimic and improve upon. In recent years, both teams have built a bruising defensive two-man post presence. Perkins-Ibaka and Duncan-Splitter have proven to be very solid defensively, though both Perkins and Splitter leave much to be desired offensively. Beyond this two person tandem, though, each team has grown even more skillful in playing small ball.
Both teams chewed through opponents during the past two regular seasons. Both were represented in the Western Conference Finals a year ago, and I have little doubt that both would have met again this past season were it not for Westbrook's injury. The Spurs were able to oust teams like the Grizzlies and the hobbled Lakers in a total of eight games, in part because they were able to negate the strengths of the Gasol-Howard and Gasol-Randolph front lines. But San Antonio was also able to dispatch the upstart Warriors' quick outside shooting squad through small ball. The Thunder wrecked the Lakers during the last Bynum-Gasol season. Both team were only defeated when they ran up against Miami, and LeBron is a crazy man who does unspeakable things on the basketball court.
If the Rockets are to reach the Finals and have a legitimate shot at a championship, I think it is imperative that Houston does not become a one-trick pony. Teams are getting better at learning the weaknesses of a team and exploiting them. Teams with two strong bigs get exploited from deep. Small ball teams get pounded down low. In my mind, it makes much more sense to be able to do both as opposed to all in on one strategy.
RBF ended his post with a question: How much more do I need to see?
In my head, there are four types of teams in the NBA right now. There are teams that are best when they go big, teams that excel when playing small, teams that can do both relatively well, and teams that just stink at everything.
I'm not super worried about that last group. I want to see multiple games against the Indiana/Memphis type big teams. I want to watch a few games against the Heat and Warriors' small ball sets. But most importantly, I want to observe what happens when the Rockets play against the Thunder and the Spurs. Those teams have been working towards the kind of dual approach that I think Houston has a chance to improve.
Maybe the experiment will fizzle out before I get a chance to see these games. Maybe Morey will receive an offer he deems worthy of shipping out Asik. Maybe Asik will stick around long enough to prove in these games that it won't work. But until I have seen the tandem fail against teams like Memphis, Indiana, San Antonio, and Oklahoma City or watch Asik shipped out, I will continue to optimistically believe there is hope.