In hindsight, the Rockets’ 2012/13 season was a blissful respite from the injury plague. Mostly healthy throughout the regular season, they were able to exceed expectations on the way to a playoff berth no-expected. This year the bug is back and putting a damper on the franchise’s most promising season in years, with several players struggling to fight off niggles. But even in times such as this, it should only take one look at gaping hole in the Chicago’s point guard rotation to have the Rockets counting their blessings. Thanks to the absence of Derrick Rose, the Bulls have dropped from being a title contender to being part of the morass of mediocrity that is the middle of the Eastern Conference. It’s an object lesson that someone always has it worse than you.
Form:
Rockets: WWLWL.
Two good wins against Golden State show what they can do when their are on their game, but Sunday’s loss against Sacramento shows what happens when their not, particularly with injuries sapping the squad of its depth.
Bulls: LLWLL.
An atrocious run of recent play makes it seem as though the wheels are coming off in Chicago. They’ve been losing games to the dregs of the Eastern Conference – Milwaukee, New York, Toronto and Orlando are not teams you want to see beating you at the moment. They can’t score the basketball – in those four losses their highest point total was a measly 82! Their only recent win was a 1 point victory eked out in the final seconds against the Bucks, which would do little to raise their spirits.
Injuries:
Rockets: There are niggles all through the Rockets lineup. Lin and Parsons are both suffering from back spasms, Jones has the flu, Harden is struggling to overcome the ankle sprain he picked up on Sunday, Smith dislocated a finger guarding DeMarcus Cousins and Asik has a bad case of the trades.
Bulls: No Derrick Rose for Chicago. They may also be without his replacement in the starting lineup, Kirk Hinrich, who has been suffering back problems of his own. Thanks to these injuries the Bulls have been forced to start second year player Marquis Teague and draft in DJ Augustin to plug the hole.
On Offence:
- This is a team coached by Tom Thibodeau, so you know that the Bulls will make scoring as difficult as humanly possible for opponents. Especially with Harden and Parsons limited by injuries, they are going to have a tough time against the pair of defensive juggernauts that are Luol Deng and Jimmy Butler.
- Joakim Noah is one of the best in the league at defending the pick-and-roll. According to mySynergySports, the 0.76 PPP he allows when defending the roll man is good for 8th best in the league. I guess it’s a good thing the Rockets don’t rely on the pick-and-roll as much as most observers would like! Interestingly though, he is not as good at defending the post, where he allows 1.02 PPP. Perhaps this is a game where it actually makes sense for Dwight to post up more than usual.
- The Bulls’ other excellent defensive big man, Taj Gibson, has the opposite set of strengths to Noah. He is ranked 19th in the league in at defending post ups (0.69 PPP), but allows 0.96 PPP against the roll-man. When Gibson is in the game, the Rockets need to focus on spreading the floor and drawing him out of the paint by running the pick-and-roll.
On Defence:
- The Bulls have had such difficulty finishing around the basket that Coach Thibodeau has had them working on layups in practice. Hopefully the presence of Howard looming around the basket will continue to make it difficult for them to score in the paint.
- One of the things that’s making it difficult for the Bulls to score is that are not a very good three point shooting team, with their record currently standing at only 32.2% on the year. This should be a boon for a Rockets defence that has frequently struggled to shut down opposing three point shooters. They do, however, need to keep an eye on Mike Dunleavy, the Bulls’ lone sharpshooter of note who is knocking down 38.7% on the year.
Rotation Spotlight:
Luol Deng (6’8″ SF, Duke)
Deng has been Chicago’s Mr. Dependable for years now, shouldering insane minutes burdens while gluing together the Bulls’ rotation. He has been the league leader in MPG for two years running, and Thibodeau values his contributions so highly that he’s going to be up there again this year despite the emergence of Jimmy Butler, who theoretically could split time with him at the SF position. He’s primarily there for his defensive tenacity, but still manages to put up 19 PPG thanks to an ability to score in a variety of ways. He’ll be a fringe candidate for an All-Star berth again this year (it would be his 3rd).
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