TubiTV Just Hit 200 Million Users – Here’s Why
10 Perfect-Score Shows Buried on Prime Video Right Now
While the NFL Playoffs might steal the spotlight this Sunday, the NBA also presents a compelling lineup of games, including several matchups between playoff hopefuls:
- Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks
- Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic
The $3.99 Streaming Service With 500+ Oscar Winners Nobody Knows About
Cancel These 3 Subscriptions Before November 1st – Here’s Why
Additionally, teams like the Oklahoma City Thunder, Boston Celtics, and the ascending Sacramento Kings are set to play on Sunday as well.
Is there a better occasion for laying down some NBA wagers?
Here’s an analysis of the wagers I am considering for Sunday as we approach the midpoint of the 2024-25 NBA season.
NBA Betting Performance Overview
- Season record for 2024-25: 107-106-4 (-2.18 units)
- Cumulative record (since the 2021-22 season): 1117-1051-26 (+35.92 units)
Explore Peter Dewey’s NBA betting history here (including futures). You can also track my daily betting picks on BetStamp here.
Top NBA Picks Today
Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Paolo Banchero OVER 23.5 Points (-115) – 0.5 unit
- Brandon Miller OVER 17.5 Points (-130) – 0.5 unit
- Tyrese Haliburton OVER 26.5 Points and Assists (-105) – 0.5 unit
- Josh Hart OVER 9.5 Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit
- Milwaukee Bucks +4 (-112) vs. New York Knicks – 0.5 unit
- Quentin Grimes OVER 2.5 Assists (-166) – 0.5 unit
Paolo Banchero OVER 23.5 Points (-115) – 0.5 unit
After returning to the Orlando lineup on Friday, Paolo Banchero tallied 34 points, hitting 11-of-21 shots and 5-of-8 from three-point range in just under 27 minutes against the Milwaukee Bucks. Even though Orlando only scored 106 points, Banchero’s volume shooting was evident.
Banchero may still be under a minutes restriction on Sunday, but with teammates like Jalen Suggs and the Wagner brothers sidelined, he might need to maintain a high shot volume for Orlando to stay competitive.
So far this season, Banchero is averaging 29.8 points over six games, having scored 24 or more in four of those contests (including three where he scored 31 or more). I’m banking on a standout performance from Banchero, given he’s one of the few offensive options left for Orlando.
Brandon Miller OVER 17.5 Points (-130) – 0.5 unit
Charlotte Hornets’ wing Brandon Miller is performing solidly in his second NBA season, averaging 21.2 points per game with a shooting accuracy of 40.3% from the field and 35.6% from three-point range.
Despite wishing for a higher field goal percentage, the former No. 2 overall pick is taking an impressive 18.3 shots per game—more shots than the point total set for him this Sunday.
Over his last 16 games, Miller has surpassed 17.5 points 14 times, averaging 24.4 points during this period. Facing one of the weaker defensive teams in the league, Phoenix, which holds the 22nd spot in defensive rating for the season, I’m confident in betting on Miller, especially after the Hornets had a longer break due to postponed games in Los Angeles.
Tyrese Haliburton OVER 26.5 Points and Assists (-105) – 0.5 unit
Indiana Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton has shown a notable difference in performance between home and away games this season, but recent trends suggest improvement on the road. Here’s a snapshot of Haliburton’s last five road performances:
- @ Brooklyn: 23 points, 8 assists, 5-of-12 FG, 4-for-7 3P
- @ Miami: 33 points, 15 assists, 13-of-21 FG, 6-for-13 3P
- @ Boston: 31 points, 7 assists, 11-of-19 FG, 1-for-6 3P
- @ Boston: 19 points, 9 assists, 6-of-13 FG, 3-for-8 3P
- @ Golden State: 16 points, 12 assists, 6-of-11 FG, 2-for-7 3P
Haliburton has exceeded the 26.5 points and assists mark in all these games, and he’s been surpassing this number in seven of his last eight games, and eight of his last 10 overall.
Facing the top seed in the East, the Cleveland Cavaliers, might seem daunting as they rank 11th in defensive rating. However, given Haliburton’s recent form, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him continue this strong run on Sunday.
Josh Hart OVER 9.5 Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit
For those looking for a reliable bet in basketball, consider Josh Hart’s rebounding totals.
The Knicks guard has excelled at rebounding this season, averaging 9.2 rebounds per game from 15.9 rebound chances and securing an impressive 3.1 contested rebounds per game.
Lately, Hart’s rebounding has been even more prolific. He’s grabbed at least 11 boards in nine of his last 10 games, averaging 12.6 rebounds during this stretch. Now facing a Bucks team that ranks 20th in rebounding percentage and 23rd in opponent rebounds per game, Hart is a solid bet in this category.
Milwaukee Bucks +4 (-112) vs. New York Knicks – 0.5 unit
Despite a strong performance in December, the Knicks only have a slender 3.5-game lead over the Bucks for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they have found it tough going with a challenging schedule in January.
Not only has New York struggled against top-tier teams, but its bench depth is one of the weakest in the league, largely due to coach Tom Thibodeau’s reluctance to utilize his reserves extensively this season.
The Knicks are 0-5 against the top two teams in each conference this season (Cleveland, Boston, OKC, and Houston).
In those five games, New York has been outscored by 76 points (an average margin of defeat of 15.2 PPG).
— Tommy Beer (@TommyBeer) January 11, 2025
Over the 9 games they’ve played since Christmas, the Knicks bench is averaging under 17 points per game in just 11 minutes a night
The lowest in the league, by far, in each category
Every other team in the NBA is getting more than 24 PPG from their reserves during this stretch
— Tommy Beer (@TommyBeer) January 11, 2025
With Miles McBride likely to play on Sunday, this might slightly bolster the Knicks’ bench, but it’s still not sufficient to justify favoring them in this matchup.
The Bucks have a 4-3 record against the spread as road underdogs this season, and New York’s victories this month have only come against the struggling Utah Jazz and Toronto Raptors.
I believe the Bucks have a real chance to upset in this game, particularly if the Knicks fail to find their rhythm offensively. Over their last 10 games, the Knicks have dropped to 12th in offensive rating (during that period) after previously holding the No. 1 spot in the NBA in offensive rating earlier this season.
Quentin Grimes OVER 2.5 Assists (-166) – 0.5 unit
With key players like Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving sidelined again on Sunday, guard Quentin Grimes is expected to have an expanded role in the Dallas offense.
Over his last seven games, which included two starts, Grimes has been playing 29.3 minutes per game for coach Jason Kidd. This increased playing time has resulted in a boost in scoring (16
Similar posts:
- NBA Best Bets & Predictions Today: Josh Hart, Kings vs Celtics, Paolo Banchero Highlights!
- NBA Top Picks Today: Bet on Jokic, Butler & More – Must-See Predictions!
- NBA Cup Showdown: Top Bets & Predictions for Kyrie Irving, Jalen Suggs Today!
- NBA Best Bets: Top Predictions & Prop Bets for Luka Doncic, Karl-Anthony Towns Today!
- NBA Top Picks Today: Bet on Jokic, Miller & Big Games – Celtics vs Thunder!
Mike Johnson is a passionate news writer with a keen interest in current events. With over a decade of experience in journalism, he has a talent for uncovering the stories that matter most. Mike’s insightful articles and in-depth analyses have made him a trusted voice in the industry. He thrives on staying ahead of the news curve, providing readers with timely and relevant information. Whether it’s breaking news, politics, or social issues, Mike’s dedication to the craft ensures that his readers are always well-informed.