NFL MVP odds shifted dramatically this weekend after Drake Maye delivered a historically perfect performance. The New England Patriots quarterback threw 5 touchdowns against the Jets while Stafford’s Rams await their Week 17 matchup. Maye just narrowed the massive gap in what’s become the tightest race heading into the final week.
🔥 Quick Facts
- Drake Maye completed 19 of 21 passes (90.5%) for 256 yards and 5 touchdowns in dominant Week 17 win
- Maye’s performance ranks as No. 1 game of 13,700+ games played this century according to analytics
- Matthew Stafford still leads MVP odds at -230, with Maye at +180 according to DraftKings
- Patriots defeated Jets 42-10 in blowout to clinch playoff positioning
Drake Maye’s Historic 5-Touchdown Performance Shakes MVP Race
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Drake Maye put on an absolute clinic against the New York Jets in Week 17. The second-year Patriots quarterback completed an astonishing 19 of 21 pass attempts, spreading 5 touchdown passes to 5 different receivers without recording a single interception. His 256 passing yards featured 1.28 EPA per play—the highest figure in recent analytics databases.
With just 2 incompletions all game, Maye orchestrated six touchdown drives in just six possessions. The 42-10 blowout victory showcased complete offensive dominance. Analytics experts immediately flagged this performance as generational, comparing favorably against the most efficient games recorded over the past two decades.
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The Patriots clinched an AFC playoff spot with the decisive win. Maye’s leadership and execution on every snap reinforced why he belongs in the MVP conversation, even as the betting odds told a different story.
Matthew Stafford Remains MVP Favorite Despite the Maye Momentum
Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams still holds the MVP favorite status entering the final week. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Stafford sits at -230 odds to win the award. The 37-year-old veteran is pursuing his first-ever MVP recognition after having never placed higher than 8th place in previous voting.
The Rams face Atlanta on Monday Night Football in Week 17. Stafford’s performance in that matchup could prove decisive in what has become an extraordinarily tight race. His consistent excellence throughout the season positioned him as the betting favorite, but recent events have narrowed the margin significantly.
Updated MVP Odds After Week 17 Games
| Quarterback | Team | Current Odds |
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | -230 |
| Drake Maye | New England Patriots | +180 |
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | +2500 |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | +3500 |
The second-tier favorites see massive gaps between the top two and everyone else. Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence both carry long odds as the focus remains entirely on the Stafford-Maye battle. The distance between Stafford’s odds and Maye’s reflects the extraordinary nature of what happened in Week 17.
Final Week Storylines: Everything Comes Down to Week 18
This has evolved into an unprecedented MVP race in 2025. The final week of the regular season will determine whether Maye’s historic individual performance can overcome Stafford’s season-long consistency. The Rams’ Monday night game provides one final chance for Stafford to extend his lead before voting begins.
Two quarterbacks carry the weight of this decision. One represents an exceptional veteran seeking his first MVP. The other is a second-year sensation showing generational potential. Patriots fans and Rams supporters both have reason for optimism heading into Week 18, when the MVP award will ultimately be decided.
Can Drake Maye’s Momentum Override Matthew Stafford’s Season-Long Consistency?
The fundamental question now becomes whether voters will reward the entire body of work or the explosive finishing moment. Stafford has led the Rams all season with stability and production. Maye has shown explosive growth, threatening to overtake the favorite with a single dominant performance.
Historically, MVP voters tend to favor comprehensive seasons over individual games. However, the margin between Maye’s odds moving from +300 to +180 demonstrates real momentum shift among professional bettors. The final week carries maximum drama as the Patriots and Rams position their quarterbacks for complete statements before the vote.
Michael Brown is a seasoned sports journalist bringing years of experience covering professional athletics and sporting culture. With a keen eye for breaking stories and player dynamics, this veteran journalist delivers in-depth analysis and exclusive insights from the world’s biggest sporting events. His passion for the game shines through in every story, keeping fans connected to the action both on and off the field.