Arsenal comes into North London derby as clear favorites over Tottenham on Nov. 23, 2025. The Gunners remain unbeaten in their last 6 meetings with Spurs. Betting markets have Arsenal at 71% win probability with odds of -244. The match kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET at Emirates Stadium.
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🔥 Quick Facts:
- Arsenal unbeaten in last 6 head-to-head matches (W5, D1)
- Arsenal favored at -244 moneyline odds with 71% win chance
- Arsenal is 4-0-1 in their last 5 league games
- Gabriel Magalhaes injury forces Piero Hincapie to start at center back
- Mohammed Kudus returns to Tottenham lineup after injury
What Happened with Arsenal’s Recent Dominance?
Arsenal has completely taken over this rivalry in recent years. The Gunners won three straight North London derbies before drawing the most recent match on November 16. That’s their longest winning streak against Spurs since 1989.
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Over their last 6 fixtures, Arsenal compiled an impressive record of 5 wins and 1 draw. They scored 8 goals across those 5 recent league games. Tottenham, meanwhile, has won just 1 of their last 6 derbies. The odds heavily favor Arsenal to extend their unbeaten run today.
“Arsenal are on their longest winning streak against Tottenham this century. They’ve lost just one of their last eight fixtures against Spurs.”
Statistical Breakdown and Head-to-Head Analysis
The historical numbers tell a lopsided story. Since 1909, Arsenal leads the all-time series 84-62 with 52 draws. That’s 197 matches played between these bitter rivals. More recently, Arsenal holds a 16-12 advantage over Tottenham in overall head-to-head wins.
| Statistic | Arsenal | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Last 6 Meetings (W-D-L) | 5-1-0 | 0-1-5 |
| Last 5 League Games | 4 Wins, 1 Draw | Mixed Form |
| Goals Scored (Last 5) | 8 Goals | Fewer Goals |
| Betting Odds | -244 (71%) | +200 (13.3%) |
| Draw Probability | Approximately 15.7% | |
These numbers explain why Arsenal sits as such heavy favorites. The betting market reflects Arsenal’s dominance and superior recent form. They’re backed at 2/5 odds in most sportsbooks.
Team News and Injury Impact
Arsenal faces a setback with Gabriel Magalhaes ruled out through injury. Piero Hincapie steps in alongside William Saliba at center back. Noni Madueke and Gabriel Martinelli are back on the bench after injury issues.
Tottenham gets good news. Mohammed Kudus returns from injury and comes into the starting lineup. Joao Palhinha and Rodrigo Bentancur anchor the midfield. The Spurs lineup shows a defensive 5-back formation, prioritizing defensive stability against Arsenal’s attacking threats.
What Bettors Should Watch For
- Arsenal’s attacking prowess—they scored first in all 13 games this season and won those matches
- Gabriel’s absence affecting Arsenal’s defensive stability in set pieces
- Kudus’s return and fitness level for Tottenham’s midfield balance
- Over 2.5 goals looks strong—both teams play attacking soccer in derbies
- Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals at 5/6 with some sportsbooks
Can Tottenham Actually Pull Off The Upset?
Here’s the real question. Tottenham is only given a 13.3% chance to win straight up. The Spurs haven’t beaten Arsenal in 6 derbies. Their last win came way back in 2022. So what would need to happen?
Tottenham would need Arsenal to have an off day without Gabriel in defense. Hincapie is capable but just getting settled. Spurs would also need Kudus to provide immediate attacking spark. Even with all that, most experts favor another Arsenal win or draw. The Gunners are simply in a different class right now. Will Arsenal’s unbeaten streak reach seven games today?
Sources
- FlashScore – Head-to-head match statistics and form data
- Sports Gambler – Current betting odds and predictions
- BBC Sport – Confirmed team news and confirmed lineups
Michael Brown is a seasoned sports journalist bringing years of experience covering professional athletics and sporting culture. With a keen eye for breaking stories and player dynamics, this veteran journalist delivers in-depth analysis and exclusive insights from the world’s biggest sporting events. His passion for the game shines through in every story, keeping fans connected to the action both on and off the field.