NFL playoff picture: Seahawks control NFC’s No. 1 seed with two weeks left, here’s what Broncos and Patriots must do to catch them

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By: Michael Brown

The NFL playoff picture is taking dramatic shape with just two weeks remaining in the regular season. The Seattle Seahawks have claimed the NFC’s No. 1 seed with a 12-3 record after their incredible comeback against the Rams. Meanwhile, in the AFC, the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots are locked in an intense battle for the top spot, both sitting at 12-3 with one final push ahead.

🔥 Quick Facts

  • Seattle Seahawks hold the NFC’s No. 1 seed at 12-3 after beating the Rams in dramatic OT fashion
  • Denver Broncos (12-3) lead the AFC race but face uncertain tiebreaker scenario versus Patriots
  • New England Patriots (12-3) have 47.5% chance to clinch AFC’s top seed per CBS Sports projections
  • Only two weeks remain before postseason begins with high stakes for all contenders

Seahawks Storm Back to Claim NFC’s Top Spot

The Seattle Seahawks made the most dramatic statement of Week 16 by overcoming a 16-point deficit against the Los Angeles Rams to win 38-37 in overtime. This victory wasn’t just significant for clinching a playoff berth. It propelled them to the NFC’s coveted No. 1 seed position, giving them the conference’s only bye week.

With their 12-3 record, the Seahawks control their destiny heading into the final stretch. They face the Carolina Panthers in Week 17 and conclude with a critical matchup against the San Francisco 49ers. According to multiple sources, winning out secures them the top seed outright.

The Seahawks’ path features an interesting dynamic. Both the Chicago Bears (11-4) and 49ers (11-4) are nipping at their heels. If Seattle stumbles even once, either team could jump ahead in the race.

AFC’s Top Seed Battle Intensifies Down the Stretch

The AFC championship race has emerged as one of the season’s most compelling storylines. The Denver Broncos and New England Patriots both carry identical 12-3 records into Week 17, creating unprecedented drama at the conference’s summit.

The Broncos hold the slimmest of advantages in tiebreaker scenarios, but that could shift dramatically. Denver faces the Kansas City Chiefs and has the Jacksonville Jaguars coming up. The Patriots meanwhile will take on the Buffalo Bills, another playoff contender fighting for positioning.

According to CBS Sports’ latest projections, the Broncos have a 47.5% chance of landing the AFC’s No. 1 seed, while the Patriots trail at a lower probability. However, as many analysts note, one loss could swing everything depending on results across the league.

Wildcard Race Heats Up Across Both Conferences

Seed Position Team Record
NFC #1 Seattle Seahawks 12-3
NFC #2 Chicago Bears 11-4
NFC #3 Philadelphia Eagles 10-5
AFC #1 Denver Broncos 12-3
AFC #2 New England Patriots 12-3
AFC #3 Jacksonville Jaguars 11-4

Beyond the top seeds, the playoff bubble remains incredibly volatile. The Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers both sport 11-4 records and are fighting for wildcard positioning. In the AFC, the Buffalo Bills (11-4) hope to secure home playoff games as the season enters its final two weeks.

The wildcard round configurations can still shift significantly. Multiple teams remain on the playoff bubble with realistic elimination scenarios based on unexpected results.

Clinching Scenarios for Week 17 and Beyond

Week 17 represents the final opportunity for several franchises to secure their postseason berths before the regular season concludes. The Philadelphia Eagles need just one more victory to clinch an NFC East title. Meanwhile, teams like the Green Bay Packers enter decision-making territory where specific results trigger advancement.

The Chicago Bears can clinch a playoff berth with one additional win or even with strategic losses from ahead of them. Every game matters as coaches manage remaining strength during a season’s final stretch.

“The race for the No. 1 seed is going to go down the wire, and right now, the computer views the Seahawks as the heavy favorite.”

CBS Sports, Playoff Picture Analysis

Will the Seahawks, Broncos, or Patriots Claim Their Division Titles?

As December enters its final week with Christmas behind us, the NFL playoff picture showcases everything fans love about football’s closing stretch. Destiny remains unwritten for nearly every contender still in the hunt. Can the Seahawks hold off the Bears and 49ers for NFC supremacy? Will the Broncos finish ahead of the Patriots despite identical records? And which teams currently on the bubble will punch their tickets during the field’s final opportunities?

Watch: 2025 NFL Playoff Picture Breakdown

YouTube video

Sources

  • ESPN – Updated AFC and NFC standings with clinching scenarios for Week 17
  • NFL.com – Official playoff picture probabilities entering Week 17
  • CBS Sports – Projected playoff bracket with simulation analysis

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