Jump to content


Toggle shoutbox Shoutbox Open the Shoutbox in a popup

@  redfaithful : (05 September 2015 - 10:48 PM) Llull line from today loss to Serbia: 30MIN 1-10PG, 0-5 3PG, 4-4FT 6AST, 1TO, 4REB, +/- -11
@  Losthief : (03 September 2015 - 02:27 AM) this dude's gun fired and all he got a misdemeanor at bush lol: http://abc13.com/new...ush-iah/815795/
@  Losthief : (03 September 2015 - 02:26 AM) theres more articles all over, but the jist is houston (and texas) doesn't really arrest for it, they just recommend you leave it in your car when they catch it. So seems dwight got lucky he was in texas and not cali or the NE.
@  Losthief : (03 September 2015 - 02:22 AM) honestly we should just be glad they caught it...
@  Losthief : (03 September 2015 - 02:21 AM) response: http://nymag.com/dai...n_airplane.html
@  Losthief : (03 September 2015 - 01:42 AM) one bullet left in the chamber is diff than fully loaded and ready to go. Still stupid...but not like he was prepared for a shooting spree.
@  jorgeaam : (02 September 2015 - 09:33 PM) http://www.tmz.com/2...t-get-arrested/
@  jorgeaam : (02 September 2015 - 09:33 PM) So according to TMZ (I know, I know) Dwight Howard had an incident last month in which he took a loaded gun into an airport, but he was allowed to give it to a friend to take it back and wasn't arrested.
@  jorgeaam : (31 August 2015 - 10:45 PM) The Los Angeles Rockets, lol
@  redfaithful : (31 August 2015 - 09:51 PM) Seems that Chuck is also on his way to the Clippers.
@  slick shoes : (24 August 2015 - 06:14 PM) ill just leave this here...
@  slick shoes : (24 August 2015 - 06:14 PM) http://www.timeandda...04&font=cursive
@  timetodienow... : (21 August 2015 - 07:20 PM) At least in my opinion.
@  timetodienow... : (21 August 2015 - 07:20 PM) I love having Terry. But the main factor was that New Orleans will NOT compete for a championship this year and the Rockets will.
@  jorgeaam : (21 August 2015 - 03:57 AM) Things that make me like the JET even more
@  jorgeaam : (21 August 2015 - 03:57 AM) Jason Terry said that he turned down a more lucrative deal from New Orleans in order to return to Houston.
@  clydesmoustache : (19 August 2015 - 08:32 AM) A year ago who would have thought I would be so happy to have Jason Terry on my team. Welcome back JET! Hurry up October!
@  cointurtlemoose : (19 August 2015 - 04:45 AM) Terry I love yooouuuuuuuuu
@  jorgeaam : (19 August 2015 - 02:38 AM) Yay Terry is back!
@  majik19 : (15 August 2015 - 09:33 PM) and i thought these shouts were limited to some number of characters!

Photo

The keys to the Houston Rockets' season: #2 the Dwight Howard maintenance plan or, how i learned to stop worrying and embrace Clint Capela


  • Please log in to reply
4 replies to this topic

#1 Red94

Red94

    Senior Member

  • Administrators
  • 1,414 posts

    Posted 31 July 2015 - 03:19 AM

    New post: The keys to the Houston Rockets' season: #2 the Dwight Howard maintenance plan or, how i learned to stop worrying and embrace Clint Capela
    By: Rahat Huq

    Clint Capela was the greatest postseason revelation in Rockets history since Rudy T. invented the concept of the modern day stretch 4, sliding Robert Horry up into Chucky Brown's spot in the lineup.  Okay, maybe not.  But anyone who watched this team last year, from the regular season into the playoffs was equally in shock over Capela's insertion into the postseason rotation, and subsequent contributions.  Like, this guy played like a total of seven or eight minutes the entire year and then promptly went nuts in the real games, catching lobs and blocking shots like he didn't know what was at stake.  Because, as Forrest Walker put it later, Capela literally didn't know the difference or that there was any difference from the regular year.

     

    But of course, the Dwight Howard maintenance plan is primarily about its namesake, Dwight Howard.  There isn't really much left to debate over its efficacy: Howard came back fresh and dominant after sitting out over half the year last season.  And there isn't much room for debate, probably, over its necessity: there's nothing more important to Houston's title hopes than a fresh and spry Dwight Howard; perhaps no force in the league more disruptive than a healthy Dwight Howard.  And there's historical precedent: see The Dwyane Wade Maintenance Plan (2014-2015) (Heat rest Wade for half the year), also see The Tim Duncan Maintenance Plan (2010-2015) (Spurs rest Duncan for half the decade).  But would Howard be willing to comply?

     

    Keeping Howard fresh, of course, doesn't mean sitting him out half the year like what happened last season.  It just means limiting his minutes, and holding him out of back to backs, and meaningless affairs against the dregs of the league.  While Houston somehow got by with just Motiejunas in Howard's absence last season, they should be well equipped this year due to the expected emergence of the aforementioned Capela.  In a perfect world, I'd split the two centers' minutes evenly at 24 minutes a game each, giving Capela all the minutes he can handle in the back to backs.  That would keep Howard rested and fast-track Capela's development for Houston's future.  Thanks to Capela, Houston can enjoy 48 minutes of rim protection, and maybe as equally important, 48 minutes of the same offensive sets due to Capela's surprising ability, displayed last postseason, to catch on the roll and finish at the rim.

     

    What's best for the team's aspirations, though, may not be best for Howard's pecuniary interests, particularly in what is essentially a contract year due to Howard's ability to opt out of his contract.  2016 will be Howard's last chance at a mega payday, just in time when half the league is expected to be armed with buckets of cash.  This is where self-awareness is key, at least when weighed against the temptations of personal ambition.  Can Dwight be convinced that rest is what's best for his body, and that he can't sustain the pounding of the regular 82-game gruel?  Or will he come into camp, motivated to prove he can still play big minutes and perform at a high level, like in his younger years?  I wouldn't blame Dwight at all if the latter statement is an accurate description of his immediate frame of mind.  Who here could fault a man, one not yet even 30 years old, for wanting more and not settling in the prime of his earning potential?  If Howard's recent past is any indication, it might be likely he'll push once more before giving in - he convinced himself he could be effective in the post, when that wasn't necessary, and really wasn't good for his game or for his team.  But who here can even say with any degree of surety that a minutes restriction is what's best for Dwight?  It may be best for the Rockets to hedge their bets, but what if he actually can stay healthy?

     

    Another consequence of the Dwight Howard Maintenance Plan: less individual output, more uncertainty on the market, and greater leverage at the bargaining table in 2016 when Houston will need every penny in its purse, and by extension to keep Dwight for less, when it makes its push for Kevin Durant.

     

    In the next installment, I'll discuss the most important factor heading into the Rockets' season: Ty Lawson


    • 0

    #2 majik19

    majik19

      Junior Member

    • Members
    • PipPipPip
    • 265 posts

      Posted 31 July 2015 - 03:49 AM

      I would argue that it is actually best for Dwight to limit his minutes:

      1) Helps him stay healthy. With the available cap space next year, the only way he doesn't get a max if he isn't healthy. I have no doubt about this.

      2) Keeps him fresh for playoffs, when he can dominate and make a great "last impression" on other teams

      3) Will probably keep him more efficient as well - his per-36 numbers will probably be better (for the stat-savvy teams)

      4) It probably doesn't hurt his chances at making the Allstar team or even an All-NBA team (though it would take him out of the running for DPOY and such). 


      • 0

      #3 jz13

      jz13

        Newbie

      • Members
      • Pip
      • 7 posts

        Posted 31 July 2015 - 02:12 PM

        A Tim Duncan like plan is what Howard needs:

         

        1) Limit his typical rotation minutes.  Something like 6-6-6-8 would be ideal.  This will allow him to play the most important minutes of any basketball game - the start and finish of each half.  It's also plenty of minutes to build chemistry with the new Harden/Lawson driven offense.

        2) Flex his minutes up and down.  When we play the real contenders (Warriors, Spurs, Clips, Thunder, Memphis, Cavs, Atlanta?, Bulls?), flex up.  It's psychologically important for the post season to beat these teams during the regular season.  When we play the bottom tier, flex down. 

        3) Take spot games off, especially some back to backs.

        4)  Be prepared to throw in the (Howard) towel early.  When there's a 20 point deficit in the second half, sit him.  Pop does this with his aging stars all the time.  The improved odds of the comeback with Howard on the floor aren't worth the grind.  

         

        McHale's a real competitor - it's not in his nature to do this.  It's going to take a convincing Morey spreadsheet to show him the likely statistical outcome for both the regular season and playoffs.


        • 0

        #4 thenit

        thenit

          Advanced Member

        • Members
        • PipPipPipPip
        • 671 posts

          Posted 01 August 2015 - 04:09 AM

          Problem with limiting his minutes in a contract year when he hasn't turned 30 yet for his one last big contract, I just can't see him being happy playing 25-28 minutes. I think he will want minimum of 30+


          • 0

          #5 Losthief

          Losthief

            Junior Member

          • Members
          • PipPipPip
          • 473 posts
          • LocationHouston

          Posted 01 August 2015 - 05:48 AM

          Well he's going to the USAB mini-camp (Olympics) which he skipped in 2012 for back surgery. Can take this one of two ways. A) He's in denial/oblivious of needing to restrict his minutes or B ) He is actually recovered/healthy.

           

          Now...outside of the last couple of years with the back and knee he has been a stud physically both in health and athleticism. He's not yet 30. I'm willing to take a wait and see approach as to whether or not he can be healthy for a full season. His back got messed up which he then played through which probably hurt his knees. (I went the opposite hurt knees to back, but those two things are definitely connected compensation wise). So.....I'm scared is A) but hoping its B ). Good news is that even when fully healthy and in his prime the dude only played roughly 30-32  minutes a game during regular season (Orlando)...so...getting him to buy into a 30 or less minute restriction might not be impossible even in a contract year.


          Edited by Losthief, 01 August 2015 - 05:49 AM.

          • 0

          LoSTHieF

          I'd Rather Be Lucky Than Skilled





          1 user(s) are reading this topic

          0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users