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@  majik19 : (13 October 2015 - 09:09 PM) Apparently we claimed Arsalan Kazemi off waivers from the Hawks today... yet another undersized (6'7") power forward for Morey's cupboard.
@  Mario Peña : (10 October 2015 - 01:12 PM) If your part if the Red94 Fantasy Basketball League check the thread to vote for the date and time for the draft event. Thanks y'all!
@  jorgeaam : (07 October 2015 - 08:47 PM) Guys we need 1 more owner for the Red94 fantasy league, if interested please comment on the post in the fantasy basketball thread
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 06:50 PM) Kobe ranked one spot higher than Ariza? Is this based on legacy or...??
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 04:13 PM) It was hard to keep up with both the Astros and Rockets at the same time. Should be interesting on Thursday with the Texans and Astros on simultaneously.
@  Mario Peña : (07 October 2015 - 04:09 PM) It was fun to have the Rockets on last night! Right now I'm watching the Celtics versus Milan and Alessandro Gentile is impressive.
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Well, thinking twice about it, I'd rather have him score less and have the team as a whole do better. Lawson should take a lot of his load off
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Loving that, hope he hits 30 PPG this year
@  thejohnnygold : (06 October 2015 - 06:15 PM) Someone is feeling confident :) : LINK
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 05:54 PM) 10 Teams done, will need 2 more
@  Mario Peña : (06 October 2015 - 02:35 PM) Alright guys, if anyone is interested in joining the Red94 fantasy basketball league we could use one more player to get us to 10 teams (or three to get us to 12 teams). Just check the thread in the Fantasy Basketball forum. Thanks!
@  thejohnnygold : (05 October 2015 - 06:23 PM) I use leaguepass here in Austin with no problems...
@  skip 2 my lou : (05 October 2015 - 03:14 PM) Hey fellas, I'm a rocket fan but I live in the heart of Dallas. Does anybody know if I buy NBA Leaguepass if it's too close to be subject to blackouts?
@  Losthief : (02 October 2015 - 02:24 AM) tks jg
@  thejohnnygold : (29 September 2015 - 05:16 AM) FYI, it was media day today. Interviews are up at NBA.com
@  slick shoes : (23 September 2015 - 06:37 PM) kind of late in the day but NBATV is broadcasting classis Rockets games all day today.
@  SadLakerFan : (16 September 2015 - 04:37 AM) Man, as a Laker fan, I'm learning how little you care about the off season when your team sucks. Anyway, a quick moment to remember Moses. Still remember watching the 81 team as a kid - losing record, NBA Finals. I would have cried w/joy if they could have beaten the Celtics.
@  jorgeaam : (15 September 2015 - 08:30 PM) http://bleacherrepor...ist-after-crash
@  jorgeaam : (15 September 2015 - 08:30 PM) So to celebrate his new contract, Montrezl Harrell saved someone's life on monday
@  thejohnnygold : (14 September 2015 - 04:36 PM) A good article from Blinebury talking about when Hakeem and Moses used to play in the park. LINK

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The state of the Houston Rockets as of January 9, 2015


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#1 Red94

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    Posted 09 January 2015 - 02:02 PM

    New post: The state of the Houston Rockets as of January 9, 2015
    By: Rahat Huq

    It's been a while since we last spoke, so I certainly appreciate you all's patience.  The site required some backend maintenance which required my attention, but thankfully that problem has been fixed.  In the meantime, after two meaningless wins against the Lebron-less Cavs and what appeared to be some high school team from the New York area, the Rockets have sort of licked their wounds to recover from their first truly rough patch of the season.  In the aftermath of the Josh Smith signing, Houston now sits at fifth in the Western Conference, just one win ahead of the sixth seeded Clippers.  It still seems like just yesterday that the Rockets were staring directly at Golden State in vying for the top seed in the Conference.  Sigh.

     

    It's pretty irrefutable, I think, to anyone who had been watching the games that bringing in Smith destroyed the team's chemistry, directly leading to their downward spiral in the standings.  The team looked lost, Smith was ineffective, and Motiejunas got thrown off his rhythm.  Still, even before these past two wins, I would contend that the move was a no-brainer and that the losses were a necessary cost to success.  Simply put, you can sacrifice some wins in December if it means integrating high-level talent for the end cause.  Ironically, things played out both exactly how I had feared, and how I had hoped would be the best-case scenario.  Recall my discontent upon the news that the team had promised Smith a starting role.  I wanted Smith, but thought supplanting Motiejunas would shatter the latter's usage and confidence.  That outcome played out, and the team suffered, having wasted one of their most dangerous weapons.  But now, Daryl Morey and Kevin McHale have Smith but can also say they fulfilled their promise of letting him start.  They won't be expected to reinsert Smith into the starting lineup upon his acclimation to the team, would they?  As long as the team keeps winning, in light of the disastrous early results, I can't see Smith and his agent expressing any discontent.

     

    On Motiejunas: it will seem like hyperbole because it isn't being mentioned, but he has to be one of the most prized assets in all of basketball, and certainly untouchable from the Rockets' perspective.  A sub-25 year old 7-footer on his rookie scale contract with high efficiency post ability, defense, passing, rim protection, solid work ethic, and the prospect of rediscovering his range...that is like, as rare as it comes.  For instance, would you include Motiejunas in a trade for Goran Dragic?  I don't think anyone sane would and outside of the absolute premiere talents in the league, I wouldn't include him in a deal for anyone.  I made the joke repeatedly last year that were he on the Spurs, you'd expect him to have like Pau Gasol's career trajectory or something.  That's even more applicable now.  But the big question is how the team uses him moving forward, for present purposes.  I'm not going to get into the disturbing fact that Motiejunas would either be rotting away on the bench still or traded for a conditional second round pick had McHale not been forced into playing him due to Terrence Jones' injury, because that won't serve us any purpose.  But he's clearly become the team's second best offensive option, above Dwight Howard postups which, by the numbers since last year, were always the worst option.  Will they utilize him?  The Rockets were cruising to a victory over Chicago earlier this week, with Motiejunas roasting Joakim Noah, but mysteriously stopped going to him late in the game when things fell apart.  Why?  D-Mo shouldn't just be an afterthought the way Michael Jordan used to establish Luc Longley in the post in 1st quarters "just to get him going."  If he's rolling like he was, you have to keep going to him like he's one of the best options on the team.  And if he can do that to former DPOY Joakim Noah, Motiejunas can give anyone in this league the business.

     

    I still don't know what to make of Patrick Beverley.  I've proclaimed at times that he's the perfect starting point guard next to Harden, but this usually comes after a hot shooting stretch.  If he isn't giving you shooting, it's a tough pill to swallow, even with the defensive tenacity.  I realize the five rebounds per game are Herculean and have incredible aggregate impact, but to the naked eye, it far too often feels like I'm getting nothing when the shot isn't falling.  An anecdote applies: I'm 29 and am not old enough to have seen Ralph Sampson play.  But I remember when asking someone about Ralph's game, his reply being that while he averaged close to 20 and 10, it was by way of giving 40 and 20 one night and then 0 and 0 the next.  That's how I kind of feel with Beverley's shooting, where he'll go like 7-10 on 3's one game and then 0-6 the next, instead of a steady 2-5 nightly, en route to his glossy 39%.  I fully realize that his consistency can easily be deduced by simple statistical calculations, but that's not my purpose here.  I wouldn't be writing this at 7AM before work unless I could criticize without providing any proof.

     

    The Beverley situation is pertinent because the guard will get paid this summer, likely not to the degree that that statement required italicization on my part, but enough to put a dent into Houston's cap sheet.  It would be one thing if he could kind of create something off the dribble every now and then, but that's not the case.  You're either getting a wide open three pointer, or hoping for an offensive rebound, at this point, and I'm not entirely sure that's the best way to go about trying to win a championship.  That could work if Dwight was Shaq to Harden's Kobe, but he clearly is not.

     

    That's all the time I have for now.  Thanks for reading.


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    #2 Mario Peña

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    Posted 09 January 2015 - 04:47 PM

    Let's turn our attention to Dallas. So as far as playoff positioning, which may mean very little relative to match ups, it should be noted that the Mavericks play 17 of their next 20 against the Western Conference (of the top ten teams in the West they have played the least, 17 whereas most of the other ten teams have played 20 or more and some 24 or 25, the other two of the ten that have played less than 20 games against Western teams are Portland and the Clippers with 18 and 19 respectively) and 9 of their next 12 on the road to which it should be added that they have been good on the road though the competition hasn't been the toughest.

     

    In addition to Dallas being in a position to fall back to the pack I believe Portland's schedule begins to get a little more difficult and that mixed with an uptick in minor injuries may cause them some challenges though Aldridge and Lillard look even more amazing if possible. Also in my opinion I'm not convinced (not that it matters) that Memphis continues its regular season success as the season goes on and I am saying this barring any big wing upgrade they make in which case Memphis could skyrocket. So much going on what an amazing season!


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    How sweet it is!

    #3 thejohnnygold

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    Posted 09 January 2015 - 04:59 PM

    Oh come on, Rahat.  Don't focus on the negative.  Instead of pointing out that we are a mere 1 game ahead of LAC in the standings why not point out we are 1 game away from sole possession of 3rd and only 4.5 games behind GS for first.  Let's be honest, we don't want first in the likely scenario that OKC takes that spot by April.

     

    I agree with you and have been preaching the same about Motie's value.  Rockets fans should get used to seeing him because he is going to be here for a while.  I disagree that McHale would have let him rot/Morey traded him without the Jones injury.  It may not have happened the way it did, but it was coming.  D-Mo is getting recognition league-wide.  Good for him.

     

    I disagree a bit with your view on Beverley.  He's no Dragic, but he is also more than a spot up 3 point shooter.  Outside of the things we all know about, I think one of his most unheralded skills is his ability to control his foul rate.  He uses fouls like trump cards.  He plays them when he wants to.  I think it is safe to say he uses about 3 fouls per game to stop a break away and save momentum.  Think about that.  He is guarding NBA PG's--most of which are foul drawing specialists--and has about 3 fouls a game that he can use intentionally--when he wants to--and still not worry about fouling out or playing soft D.  Amazing.

     

    I am not sure about Bev's salary situation.  Hoopshype shows the Rockets have a qualifying offer of $1,181,348 on the table for Bev next season.  I'm pretty sure Morey's going to exercise that option.


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    #4 timetodienow1234567

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    Posted 09 January 2015 - 05:22 PM

    JG you missed rahats point about offense. Your defense of Beverley focused on his ability to avoid fouls on defense....
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    Why so Serious? :D


    #5 Rahat Huq

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      Posted 09 January 2015 - 05:44 PM

      Another ability he has is that he doesn't turn the ball over, and plays within his limits. That shouldn't go overlooked and is extremely valuable. That being said, it would be nice to get something proactive on the offensive end.
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      #6 thejohnnygold

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      Posted 09 January 2015 - 05:45 PM

      JG you missed rahats point about offense. Your defense of Beverley focused on his ability to avoid fouls on defense....

       

      I did not miss his point.  I addressed it first before moving on to the foul avoidance.  I have defended Bev's offense more than once before and did not feel compelled to do it again.  I am surprised that people who watch him play night in and night out don't see it.  Again, he's not an offensive savant, but he has skills and abilities beyond jacking threes.  To me, a lot of Bev's contributions don't have columns on the stat sheet.  I think we would miss them more than people realize if he leaves/gets replaced.

       

      Check this out--and against Dragic no less.

       


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      #7 NorEastern

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        Posted 09 January 2015 - 06:05 PM

        D-Mo is one of the top five rim protectors in the NBA, filtering of course on players that actually frequently have to protect the rim. In addition he puts up stellar numbers on defense against mid-ranged shots and threes. He is averaging 15.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per 36 over the last 15 games.

         

        In addition he just turned 24. Given that true bigs develop slower than any other position one would estimate that he is 3-4 years away from reaching his prime. Yeah, pretty much untradable except for a premier asset.

         

        Also of interest is that Dwight can opt out of his contract in the summer of 2016, when the BIG money is available because the cap will increase ~$20M. That also is when D-Mo will be up for an extension. Expect the Rockets to retain either D-Mo for big money or Howard for huge money. My bet is on D-Mo right now.

         

        The PG position on the Rockets is certainly a conundrum. Bev does not provide much of what most teams require of a PG. In addition, playing next to Harden forces a PG to become a spot up shooter. I do not expect Bev to command much more than $3M as a free agent this summer. And I expect the Rockets to sign him. The one wildcard here is if Dallas fails to resign Rondo. Ellis is sort of a Harden lite.

         

        Other interesting issues abound. Smith had a mediocre game against the Knick scrubs. I find it a bright spot that he did not jack up 14 shots. And what is up with Jones? My understanding is that he is still not running or jumping. That IMHO pushes his return back to February. It would be doubtful that he can do more than crack the rotation before playoffs.


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        #8 Cooper

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          Posted 09 January 2015 - 06:34 PM

          The clips bench makes our bench at the beginning of the year look like an all star team and they have no more trade pieces. Cp3 is due to miss 10-20games, and Blake doesn't look quite right. Don't see any real danger in getting jumped by them. To me the 3-4spot would be great with as good a matchup you can hope for in the west. 


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          #9 cointurtlemoose

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            Posted 09 January 2015 - 06:53 PM

            I think you gotta keep Beverley. His consistent perimeter pressure (huge), his rebounding, his hustle, and his good (albeit streaky) shooting are a decent number of assets for one guy. Plus, like JG said, he just does good things on the court that you can't quantify. I see him as the clear leader of the team, camaraderie-wise. We talk about chemistry upheaval with Smith, but if Beverley left, even if we replaced him with an objectively better PG, I think bigger chemistry issues would come.

             

            So I think you keep him, but in the ideal world, I think you supplement him with a second unit creator/scorer PG. It was kind of the role I was hoping for Canaan, but since that seems to not be happening, idk, maybe a guy like Isaiah Thomas? Phoenix would part with him 10x faster than they'd even think about Dragic. Terry's been good for us, but I just don't think he can be our second unit PG come Spring/playoffs.


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            #10 clydesmoustache

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              Posted 09 January 2015 - 10:46 PM

               I see him as the clear leader of the team, camaraderie-wise.

               

              I couldn't agree more with the importance of this aspect. He is always the guy getting in a teammates face to congratulate them when they hit a big shot (or in some players case a free throw). He also seems to have both of our Stars respect when they miss a defensive assignment or have a brain fade.

               

              DMO for Dragic is still tempting for me if Dragic was signing long term on a Lowry type of deal. I still wouldn't do it with Black gone and not knowing what you are getting from Jones. I know PG is the most diluted position but with Dragic is there a debate that we are the best team in the NBA? Our offense looks stale when Harden is cold, not getting calls or not on the court. A solution in these instances could be to consistently feed DMO but will we do it? Will our offense let DMO have 15-20 shots? Also with Bev coming off the bench surely his tenacity will only increase as he has more fouls to give. Anyway DMOs ascendancy has been remarkable to me. I nearly fell out of my seat when JG said awhile back that DMO could be a top 5 post player. That is Nostradamus like prophecy now. So now I am contradicting myself especially when also considering DMO's rim protection. Tempting but yeah no deal.

               

              I haven't looked at the stats but it seems like teams have been using "Hack a Dwight" less this year. Has there been a rule change or are they just waiting for the playoffs? Last year it was a killer to our offensive flow and that was with a more consistent offense.


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              #11 Losthief

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              Posted 09 January 2015 - 10:47 PM

              here's ric buchars take on us chasing a pg: http://bleacherrepor...ame-point-guard(video after the link)

               

              Why i would love a dragic trade, one for D. Will (his first mention) scares the crap out of me. He does bring a interesting point up about bev being the 3rd guard in a ideal 3 guard rotation, so we would want/need a bigger pg who could play some sg. Dragic fits, so does Bledsoe from the suns, who else would fit that idea out there that would be worth the pellies pick?

               

              p.s. I like bev, but would take dragic as i'm a big proponent of letting harden spend a bit more time off the ball cause he could be a better version of kyle korver as someone who bends the defense so effectively. Also, from me watching games Harden as a set 3pt shooter is about twice as deadly as off the dribble, and the dude is awesome off the dribble. Also he never gets to shoot  corner 3s where he's currently shooting 57 percent from both corners (above the break he's only 34 percent).

               

              He also shoots 37 percent on catch and shoot 3s which is the highest (but only gets them 12 percent of the time).

               

              This is a good shot chart...a better one would include more corner 3s imho.

              112614_HardenMap.gif

              ****this chart is older (so theres more red probably now beyond the arc, but it still shows he lack of corner 3 attempts, and i liked having both years back to back).

               

              from the article (found here: by zach harper: http://www.cbssports...storic-numbers)

               

              He'll (harden) never take a lot of corner 3's for this Rockets team because he's initiating so much of the offense from the top. But he's also responsible for making that initial pass that starts a chain reaction of ball movement that leads to these open 3's. He sucks the defense in perfectly with his dribble penetration and then the opponent's resistance begins to crumble.

               

              I think a penetrating and good passing point guard could allow one of our best corner 3 shooters (harden at 57 percent) the opportunity to take and make them. I don't see this as a bad thing even though it does take the ball out of his hands occasionally.


              Edited by Losthief, 09 January 2015 - 10:52 PM.

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              LoSTHieF

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              #12 timetodienow1234567

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              Posted 09 January 2015 - 10:50 PM

              If DMo continues to improve, he could be targeting max money. I mean Splitter got 9 per and Hibbert got 14. Favors got 12. So if he gets more minutes and proves he's good, a bad team will overpay and can we afford to have him at around 15-18? With the new cap increase prices will rise accordingly.

              Now I don't know how good he'll become but it makes the question interesting.
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              Why so Serious? :D


              #13 Sir Thursday

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              Posted 09 January 2015 - 10:53 PM

              One thing about Beverley that really frustrates me - he is easily our worst entry passer. Other guys on the team sometimes struggle to find a good angle for the pass and don't throw it, but he will try to force it in anyway and often end up giving it away. At times it feels like every time he tries to pass it in to the big man there's a turnover. It's unfortunate given that we now have two legitimate offensive weapons in the post that it would be good to be able to get consistent service to. If he could just apply as much attention to that facet of the game as he does to his defensive duties I think it would improve the team's play quite a bit.

               

              ST


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              #14 NorEastern

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                Posted 10 January 2015 - 01:42 AM

                One thing about Beverley that really frustrates me - he is easily our worst entry passer. Other guys on the team sometimes struggle to find a good angle for the pass and don't throw it, but he will try to force it in anyway and often end up giving it away. At times it feels like every time he tries to pass it in to the big man there's a turnover. It's unfortunate given that we now have two legitimate offensive weapons in the post that it would be good to be able to get consistent service to. If he could just apply as much attention to that facet of the game as he does to his defensive duties I think it would improve the team's play quite a bit.

                 

                ST

                For some reason I cannot fathom the entry pass to D-Mo seems much less fraught with danger than the one to Howard. It seems like D-Mo is getting a better seal on his defender. In addition he does not need the ball near as deep as Howard does. D-Mo can somehow get to the post easily when he receives the ball 12 or more feet from the basket. I guess he is better at backing down the defender while dribbling. It could also have something to do with his footwork. D-Mo seems to cover a lot of ground when he makes his move to the basket.

                 

                Any thoughts?


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                #15 Celedhring

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                  Posted 10 January 2015 - 02:14 AM

                  D-Mo has a much more polished post up game than Howard ever had...I'd say D-Mo is more closer to Olajuwon in terms of moves than Howard who principally depends on his strength and atheleticism to even make his post up game work.  His post game is pretty basic to put it mildly. 

                   

                  Going back to Donatas as the starting PF was the correct move, and put Josh Smith as the PF backup because he's a one year player..we don't know if the Rockets can afford him next year but he sure is playing his way out of anything resembling a max contract.  He's had what..2-3 good games ? And one of them was his very first game with the Rockets.   It's no accident that the Rockets resumed winning when they put D-Mo back in as the starter at PF.

                   

                  And D-Mo is a MUCH better passer than Howard to boot.

                   

                  And I'm not particularly impressed with Josh Smith at this point, but maybe he'll eventually acclimate to the Rockets' system and then he might blossom.  That's a big "maybe".  But that man is NOT a good 3 pt shooter at all and I cringe every time he hoists a 3 pt shot.

                   

                  In the long term, I'd prefer D-Mo over Howard especially with the spate of injuries that Howard has suffered since leaving the Magic and he's been playing in the NBA since leaving high school so he has alot of wear and tear on him.  


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                  #16 Losthief

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                  Posted 10 January 2015 - 02:53 AM

                  As much as Dmo has improved and become even a really good defender....Dwight is ungodly at that end. Just saying...unless/until that starts slipping not an easy decision between the two even with Dmo's offense ability. (and dmo for sure is the better passer). That said...I think Dwight opts in at this point instead of opting out exactly for the health reasons you said. He made the knee thing sound a bit chronic with his comments, and I'm assuming the Houston staff knows more about that than anyone. So, I see him taking his 2 more years of money but I could be just hoping.

                   

                  edit: Some article (it was tom habstroh's video) I was reading about Dwight's DPOY candidacy pointed out we are at 94.4 with Howard and 101.8 with him on the bench. That's huge.


                  Edited by Losthief, 10 January 2015 - 02:57 AM.

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                  LoSTHieF

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                  #17 Cooper

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                    Posted 10 January 2015 - 03:56 AM

                    They should offer max money over a short term if he chooses to decline his option giving them the ability to keep dmo without clogging the cap for an extended period. If someone wants to pay him the a long max let him go, it might hurt losing him but its going to end up as a bad deal.


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