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@  YaoMan : (23 October 2015 - 04:49 PM) Zach Lowe seems to think the Rox are the biggest threat to GSW: http://grantland.com...-16-nba-season/
@  cointurtlemoose : (23 October 2015 - 04:36 PM) Hey if yall want a good podcast to listen to, find the Dunc'd On Basketball Podcast on Itunes, Rahat just did a Rockets preview with the host.
@  majik19 : (13 October 2015 - 09:09 PM) Apparently we claimed Arsalan Kazemi off waivers from the Hawks today... yet another undersized (6'7") power forward for Morey's cupboard.
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@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 06:50 PM) Kobe ranked one spot higher than Ariza? Is this based on legacy or...??
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 04:13 PM) It was hard to keep up with both the Astros and Rockets at the same time. Should be interesting on Thursday with the Texans and Astros on simultaneously.
@  Mario Peña : (07 October 2015 - 04:09 PM) It was fun to have the Rockets on last night! Right now I'm watching the Celtics versus Milan and Alessandro Gentile is impressive.
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Well, thinking twice about it, I'd rather have him score less and have the team as a whole do better. Lawson should take a lot of his load off
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Loving that, hope he hits 30 PPG this year
@  thejohnnygold : (06 October 2015 - 06:15 PM) Someone is feeling confident :) : LINK
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@  Mario Peña : (06 October 2015 - 02:35 PM) Alright guys, if anyone is interested in joining the Red94 fantasy basketball league we could use one more player to get us to 10 teams (or three to get us to 12 teams). Just check the thread in the Fantasy Basketball forum. Thanks!
@  thejohnnygold : (05 October 2015 - 06:23 PM) I use leaguepass here in Austin with no problems...
@  skip 2 my lou : (05 October 2015 - 03:14 PM) Hey fellas, I'm a rocket fan but I live in the heart of Dallas. Does anybody know if I buy NBA Leaguepass if it's too close to be subject to blackouts?
@  Losthief : (02 October 2015 - 02:24 AM) tks jg
@  thejohnnygold : (29 September 2015 - 05:16 AM) FYI, it was media day today. Interviews are up at NBA.com
@  slick shoes : (23 September 2015 - 06:37 PM) kind of late in the day but NBATV is broadcasting classis Rockets games all day today.
@  SadLakerFan : (16 September 2015 - 04:37 AM) Man, as a Laker fan, I'm learning how little you care about the off season when your team sucks. Anyway, a quick moment to remember Moses. Still remember watching the 81 team as a kid - losing record, NBA Finals. I would have cried w/joy if they could have beaten the Celtics.
@  jorgeaam : (15 September 2015 - 08:30 PM) http://bleacherrepor...ist-after-crash

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Mathamatical breakdown of why Kobe's 31 points on 25 shots last night was not efficient


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#1 Mason Khamvilay

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Posted 30 October 2014 - 04:23 PM

Last night, a lot of Kobe fans got pretty excited about the 31 points he scored on 25 shots. I think it's nothing short of miraculous that he came back from that career-threatening Achilles injury the way he has. You have to take your hat off to a man even haters can't deny is one of the hardest working players of this generation. You never see him at parties or weddings, although I'm not sure anyone invites him because I heard only paid staff showed up to his kids birthdays, but if no one likes him it's because he's all business (which is a good and bad thing sometimes). His "killer-instinct" doesn't have an off-switch. No man, woman, or child within his vicinity is safe from his venomous nature, the "Black Mamba" will strike you with spiteful words like it's game 7 of the NBA Finals when it's just the first game of the regular season. On the surface he always looks chill, but this man doesn't know the meaning of chill. Anyway, you get the point. 

Obsessive-compulsive disorders aside, an efficient 1st option should have at least a 55% true shooting percentage, and Kobe's career TS% is 55.5% so he usually qualifies. However, in this particular game his TS% was 52.5%, and I will explain how I calculated that. 

 
He had 25 shots, and if you include the shooting fouls (7 for 7 from the line) he essentially had 28 shots (every shooting foul is equivalent to taking a shot--an extremely efficient shot for good free throw shooters like Kobe). Now, add up the points he scored (31) with the shoots he took (28), and lets call that number 'X' (59). Divide the amount of points he scored by 'X' and you will have his TS% for that game--31 points on 28 shots is 52.5%TS. 
 
So, long story short, Kobe was not efficient this game. For contrast, you can use this neat little graph I found to see where the TS% other players in the league typically stand. Now, I'm going to shut up before the masses of Kobe fans who take criticisms towards Kobe to the heart track me down and murder me in my sleep. 
 
 

 


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#2 thejohnnygold

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Posted 30 October 2014 - 06:44 PM

Actually, his TS% for that game would be 55.2%.  Here is the formula: LINK  Personally, I disagree with the use of the .88 free throw coefficient, but that's how they do it.  I read why once, but all I remember is thinking, "that's dumb".

 

In contrast, Harden busted out a 41.6 TS% last night.   :o  (he did pair it with 10 assists)

 

I appreciate what you are going for--Kobe fans are the epitome of fan-atical.  I think they are right to be happy to see Kobe doing Kobe things again--I know I enjoyed it in our game against them.

 

By the way, according to that chart, Kobe is fairly efficient given his high usg rate.  In fact, no one with a usg rate that high had a higher efficiency.


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#3 Mason Khamvilay

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 01:37 AM

Jacking up a higher volume of shots to the detriment of your efficiency rate is not something to brag about.

Edited by 2016Champions, 31 October 2014 - 01:37 AM.

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#4 thejohnnygold

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 06:44 PM

Jacking up a higher volume of shots to the detriment of your efficiency rate is not something to brag about.

 

Nobody said it was.  Just reading the chart that you posted.  Not everyone can be Kyle Korver.  Just saying that, by your own standards, Kobe was efficient (the chart shows about 57%) and did so at a high volume--I call that impressive.  Doing that with little help, as a first option, and with opposing teams game-planning against you?  Impressive.


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#5 timetodienow1234567

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 06:48 PM

It's impressive, unless he's the reason he has such little help...
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Why so Serious? :D


#6 thejohnnygold

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Posted 31 October 2014 - 06:52 PM

It's impressive, unless he's the reason he has such little help...

 

That's a different discussion  ;)

 

The basketball part is impressive.  The max contract and bad rep--not as much.


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#7 Mason Khamvilay

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Posted 02 November 2014 - 01:53 AM

Nobody said it was.  Just reading the chart that you posted.  Not everyone can be Kyle Korver.  Just saying that, by your own standards, Kobe was efficient (the chart shows about 57%) and did so at a high volume--I call that impressive.  Doing that with little help, as a first option, and with opposing teams game-planning against you?  Impressive.

 

My mistake. I should have used the actual formula instead of trying to figure out the formula myself, I have a bad habit of doing things the hard way. Kobe was actually reasonably efficient. 


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#8 thejohnnygold

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Posted 02 November 2014 - 02:58 PM

My mistake. I should have used the actual formula instead of trying to figure out the formula myself, I have a bad habit of doing things the hard way. Kobe was actually reasonably efficient. 

 

That's fine--I had to look the formula up as I was curious.  I'm more talking about the chart you posted, seemingly to show that Kobe was not good compared to his peers, which actually shows he is pretty good compared to his peers.  This chart:

 

 

The fact is, only 4 players show any real separation from Kobe's TS% (LBJ, Durant, Harden, and Curry) and, when accounting for the effect of higher usg%'s, Kobe's is quite impressive.  No player has a higher TS% with a usg% that high.

 

Nobody is arguing that Kobe isn't a volume shooter and could be more efficient--of course he could.  That's not him, it's not his game, and I've made my peace with that.  The bottom line is he has inefficiently won 5 rings.  What's the computation for that?

 

I dig efficiency measures, but there is more to this game then a calculator can compute and there is more to this game than any formula can predict.  Judge Kobe's efficiency scores all you want--the bottom line is Kobe is, and was, an amazing basketball player.

 

Just for context, that would be 15 straight years in the playoffs and he put up some very good numbers (LINK) that included a ton of clutch shots that can be viewed here:

 

 

These aren't all in the playoffs, but many are and these don't include all the shots he made down the stretch of tight 4th quarter games.  For the record, I have zero love for Kobe--ZERO--however, having watched him play I have 100% respect for his game.  The guy has been nothing short of amazing....that jerk!  :angry:


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