On superstar equity, more on “the current path”

Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey spoke with Sports Illustrated’s Rob Mahoney earlier in the week about the team’s offseason, particularly the James Harden extension.  Said Morey, on the extension:

“Even through trade, those deals are often made to teams that the player wants to go to. It was a pretty easy analysis in that you need the [top-tier] player no matter what and you want to be able to signal to those players across the league that if you’re in Houston, at any given moment, the team’s always going to try to take care of you—whether it be with money or a top team you’re playing with.”

In conjunction with my thoughts from last week, however, while a “signal” to top players is certainly a direct outcome of the extension, the more significant function is that retaining Harden in the first place is a necessary condition to luring another star.  Essentially, it is of little use to have players think highly of how one treats its stars when one does not have a star to begin with.  Thus, to build upon what I wrote last week, Houston relinquished its remaining flexibility to enter the weird stage of their history in which they’re now in: not really contending and not really seeming to have a clear plan towards contention.  Just sort of hanging around, but being fun, you could call it.  And as I said in the piece last week, there isn’t necessarily anything wrong therein, at least from a business perspective.

Morey hasn’t completely broken from his ideological roots, however, as the team is still playing hardball with Donatas Motiejunas, smartly allowing the market to dictate price.  They did this, famously, with Carl Landry, and then Kyle Lowry, and then Chandler Parsons, and most definitely did not do this with Moochie Norris, and Maurice Taylor, and Matt Maloney [during the previous regime].  You can afford to risk goodwill with the Motiejunas’ of the world, but Harden is a different equation.  If he’s upset, or if he is the center of uncertainty, it sinks the ship.  I do wonder though, would a younger Morey have offered this extension?






About the author: Rahat Huq is a lawyer in real life and the founder and editor-in-chief of www.Red94.net.

in musings
  • John Eby

    Younger Morey would have definitely offered the extension. It’s not an apples to apples comparison, but look at his posture toward Yao when he took over. He continued to make moves to build around Yao, even when Yao looked like a much riskier long-term bet than Harden. Morey treats Joe Midlevel like week-old ramen, but superstars are a different story.

  • Jatman20

    I believe the Rockets are in entertainment mode over serious
    contender or structure towards. D’Antoni teams have always been
    contender in the regular season; but pretender in the playoffs.
    Morey & his analytics had the Rockets shooting about 31 three
    point attempts while making about 34% of them last season. Now
    the Rockets will shoot 30-40 three’s in hopes of shooting about
    40% or better. On paper the Rockets could win about 71%
    of their games in the regular season (about 58 wins),
    unfortunately the game is not played on paper. The greatest
    ability of all is availABILITY. Gordon & Anderson will need to
    stay healthy (for 4 yrs). Success in the regular season doesn’t
    mean the Rockets won’t be bounced in the 1st round. Crossing my fingers that everything goes well and that the Rockets can put it all together and shock the world. Hard to think it could be sustained
    for the duration or long term.

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On the Houston Rockets’ current path

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