{"id":36494,"date":"2026-01-18T19:43:45","date_gmt":"2026-01-18T23:43:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/patriots-vs-broncos-clash-sunday-for-afc-championship-berth\/"},"modified":"2026-01-18T19:44:06","modified_gmt":"2026-01-18T23:44:06","slug":"43327-patriots-vs-broncos-clash-sunday-for-afc-championship-berth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/43327-patriots-vs-broncos-clash-sunday-for-afc-championship-berth\/","title":{"rendered":"Patriots vs Broncos clash Sunday for AFC Championship berth"},"content":{"rendered":"

Patriots vs Broncos<\/b> clash Sunday in the AFC Championship Game<\/b> where backup Jarrett Stidham<\/b> will start for Denver. The New England Patriots<\/b> face the Denver Broncos<\/b> at Empower Field at Mile High on January 25<\/b> with a Super Bowl berth<\/b> on the line. Here’s everything you need to know about this critical matchup.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • Game Time<\/b>: Sunday, January 25 at 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+<\/li>\n
  • Location<\/b>: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado<\/li>\n
  • Stakes<\/b>: Winner advances to Super Bowl 60 from AFC Championship<\/li>\n
  • Key Factor<\/b>: Broncos QB Bo Nix out with fractured ankle, Jarrett Stidham starting<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Patriots Heavily Favored Despite Broncos’ Resilience<\/h2>\n

    ESPN’s FPI projection<\/b> gives the Patriots 60% win probability<\/b>, with the opening line favoring New England by 7 points<\/b>. The Patriots just defeated the Texans 28-16<\/b> in the divisional round, powered by rookie QB Drake Maye<\/b> and standout receiver Kayshon Boutte<\/b>. Meanwhile, the Broncos outlasted the Bills 33-30 in overtime<\/b>, but lost starting quarterback Bo Nix<\/b> to a fractured ankle, forcing backup Jarrett Stidham<\/b> into the spotlight for the most important game of the season.<\/p>\n

    The Patriots lead the NFL in passing offense<\/b>, and Drake Maye led the league in QBR<\/b> during the regular season. The Broncos’ pass defense allowed 57.8% completion rates<\/b> and plays fourth-best red zone defense in the NFL<\/b>, but stopping a healthy Patriots offense without their starting quarterback creates massive challenges for Denver’s defense.<\/p>\n

    Stidham’s Historic Challenge Looms Large<\/h2>\n

    Jarrett Stidham<\/b>, a 2019 Patriots draft pick<\/b>, hasn’t started a game since Week 17 of the 2023 season<\/b>, when he threw for 272 yards in a loss to the Las Vegas Raiders<\/b>. When the AFC Championship Game begins<\/b>, it will mark 749 days since his last pass attempt<\/b>, more than double the longest span for any QB starting a playoff game since 1950.<\/p>\n

    Stidham took just four offensive snaps all season<\/b>, never attempting a pass. He will become the ninth quarterback since 1950<\/b> to make his first start of the season during the playoffs. The other eight quarterbacks went 1-7 in those situations<\/b>, with only one victory recorded. Notably, Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels coached Stidham<\/b> in both New England and Las Vegas, providing valuable insight into the backup’s tendencies and strengths.<\/p>\n

    Defensive Showdown Sets the Stage<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Factor<\/td>\nPatriots<\/td>\nBroncos<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Record<\/td>\n14-3<\/b>, #2 AFC Seed<\/td>\n14-3<\/b>, #1 AFC Seed<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    QB<\/td>\nDrake Maye (Rising Star)<\/td>\nJarrett Stidham (Backup)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Pass Defense Ranking<\/td>\n13th in pass block win rate<\/td>\n3rd in pass rush win rate, 2nd in pressure rate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Key Player<\/td>\nKayshon Boutte, WR<\/td>\nPat Surtain II, CB (DPOY)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    Denver’s defense posted 68 sacks during the regular season<\/b>, leading the entire NFL by 11 sacks. Defensive Player of the Year Pat Surtain II<\/b> anchors a secondary that allowed just 57.8% completion rates<\/b> to opposing QBs. Edge rusher Nik Bonitto<\/b> and defensive tackle Zach Allen<\/b> rank among the league’s elite pass rushers, but the Patriots’ offensive line ranked 13th<\/b> in pass block win rate.<\/p>\n

    \n“We’ll rise up for the next challenge.”\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

    \u2014 Sean Payton<\/b>, Denver Broncos Head Coach<\/p>\n

    Broncos’ Historic Home Field Advantage Could Prove Critical<\/h2>\n

    The Broncos own a 4-0 all-time playoff record at home<\/b> against the Patriots<\/b>, and Denver is 3-0 at home in AFC Championship Games<\/b>. Their only conference championship loss came in 1983 on the road against the Raiders<\/b>, giving them one of the best playoff home records in NFL history. Altitude advantage and crowd noise could slow down the Patriots’ offense<\/b>, but that benefit diminishes significantly without Bo Nix<\/b> leading Denver’s attack.<\/p>\n

    The Broncos’ offense allowed 1,136 penalty yards this season<\/b>, most in the NFL. They must avoid costly penalties against the Patriots’ defense<\/b>, which welcomes back nose tackle Khyiris Tonga<\/b> after his recent return. Wide receiver Mack Hollins<\/b> is eligible to return from injured reserve this week, potentially adding weapons for Drake Maye<\/b> and the New England offense.<\/p>\n

    Can Denver’s Defense Overcome Quarterback Disadvantage to Reach the Super Bowl?<\/h2>\n

    The Broncos’ resiliency was on full display<\/b> in their overtime victory against Buffalo<\/b>, where they recorded their 13th comeback win of the season<\/b>, fifth-most in a single season. They scored 68 sacks this season<\/b> while posting fourth-best red zone defense in the NFL<\/b>, surrendering touchdowns on just 42.6%<\/b> of opponent red zone drives.<\/p>\n

    Without Bo Nix<\/b>, Denver’s path to the Super Bowl rests entirely on their elite defensive unit. Pat Surtain II<\/b>, safety Talanoa Hufanga<\/b>, and nickel back Ja’Quan McMillian<\/b> must contain Drake Maye and the Patriots’ passing game<\/b>. Success hinges on whether Jarrett Stidham<\/b> can manage the game without turnovers, allowing Denver’s defense to dominate New England’s inexperienced rookie quarterback<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Sources<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • ESPN<\/b> – AFC Championship Game preview, FPI projections, and playoff analysis<\/li>\n
    • Denver Broncos Official<\/b> – Team records, playoff history, and championship game details<\/li>\n
    • The Boston Globe<\/b> – Patriots vs Broncos matchup preview and key storylines<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":36493,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jarrett Stidham\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Bo Nix\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/5067806\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Drake Mayer\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/5449095\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Kayshon Boutte\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Josh McDaniels\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2440449\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Sean Payton\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/1215310\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Pat Surtain 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19:44:31","footnotes":""},"categories":[188],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"\nPatriots vs Broncos clash Sunday for AFC Championship berth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/43327-patriots-vs-broncos-clash-sunday-for-afc-championship-berth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Patriots vs Broncos clash Sunday for AFC Championship berth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"…\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/43327-patriots-vs-broncos-clash-sunday-for-afc-championship-berth\/\" 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