{"id":29902,"date":"2025-12-28T08:15:03","date_gmt":"2025-12-28T12:15:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/ohio-state-buckeyes-face-miami-in-cotton-bowl-blockbuster-as-no-2-seed-eyes-cfp-semifinal-spot-on-new-years-eve-but-vegas-sees-something-concerning\/"},"modified":"2025-12-28T08:15:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-28T12:15:03","slug":"59113-ohio-state-buckeyes-face-miami-in-cotton-bowl-blockbuster-as-no-2-seed-eyes-cfp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/59113-ohio-state-buckeyes-face-miami-in-cotton-bowl-blockbuster-as-no-2-seed-eyes-cfp\/","title":{"rendered":"Ohio State Buckeyes face Miami in Cotton Bowl blockbuster as No. 2 seed eyes CFP semifinal spot on New Year&#8217;s Eve, but Vegas sees something concerning"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style='font-size:1.1em;font-weight:500;line-height:1.6;margin-bottom:20px'>The <b>Ohio State Buckeyes<\/b> bring their <b>No. 2 seed<\/b> into the <b>Cotton Bowl<\/b> against <b>Miami Hurricanes<\/b> on New Year&#8217;s Eve, seeking a College Football Playoff semifinal spot. The matchup marks only the second meeting since their controversial 2002 national championship game. All eyes will be on whether the Buckeyes can control the line of scrimmage and execute <b>Will Howard<\/b>&#8216;s passing offense against Miami&#8217;s stingy defense.<\/p>\n<div style='background:#f9f9f9;padding:20px;border-left:4px solid #e74c3c;margin:25px 0'>\n<h3 style='margin-top:0'>\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts<\/h3>\n<ul style='margin:10px 0;padding-left:20px'>\n<li><b>Ohio State<\/b> enters with a <b>12-1<\/b> record and <b>9.5-point<\/b> Vegas advantage<\/li>\n<li><b>Miami<\/b> advanced as <b>No. 10 seed<\/b> after defeating <b>Texas A&amp;M<\/b> <b>10-3<\/b> in first round<\/li>\n<li>Game takes place <b>Wednesday, December 31<\/b> at <b>7:30 PM ET<\/b> at <b>AT&amp;T Stadium<\/b> in <b>Arlington, Texas<\/b><\/li>\n<li>Winner advances to CFP semifinals on January 1st facing the Orange Bowl victor<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<h2>The Matchup Overview and Records<\/h2>\n<p><b>Ohio State<\/b> arrives in <b>Dallas<\/b> as the tournament&#8217;s top seed in this quarterfinal after finishing <b>12-1<\/b> in the regular season. The <b>Big Ten<\/b> champions have dominated all season with <b>quarterback Will Howard<\/b> throwing <b>32 touchdowns<\/b> and completing <b>72.6%<\/b> of his passes. <b>Miami<\/b>, meanwhile, earned their spot by upsetting <b>Texas A&amp;M<\/b> in one of the tournament&#8217;s biggest surprises.<\/p>\n<p><b>ESPN&#8217;s matchup predictor<\/b> gives the <b>Buckeyes<\/b> a <b>70%<\/b> chance to win the game. The <b>oddsmakers<\/b> have settled on approximately <b>9.5 points<\/b> in favor of <b>Ohio State<\/b>, with the over\/under sitting around <b>42.5<\/b> total points. <b>Miami<\/b> bettors see value on the underdog, with some analysts projecting the <b>Hurricanes<\/b> could keep this closer than expected.<\/p>\n<h2>Key Offensive Storylines and Player Matchups<\/h2>\n<p><b>Will Howard<\/b> has put together a stellar season for the <b>Buckeyes<\/b>, earning an <b>86.4 overall PFF grade<\/b> with a remarkable <b>96.3 deep passing grade<\/b>. His ability to push the ball downfield will be critical against <b>Miami<\/b>&#8216;s secondary. The offensive line&#8217;s performance absolutely dictates this game. If <b>Ohio State<\/b> can dominate the trenches and get <b>Howard<\/b> comfortable in the pocket, their playmakers will create separation.<\/p>\n<p><b>Miami&#8217;s defense<\/b> has ranked exceptionally well this season, featuring one of the stingiest units in the country. The <b>Hurricanes<\/b> recorded <b>220 total sacks<\/b> this season, showing their pressure ability. <b>Ohio State<\/b> must account for Miami&#8217;s aggressive pass rush schemes. The <b>Buckeyes<\/b>&#8216; running game will also face a challenge against a <b>Miami<\/b> unit that doesn&#8217;t yield easily on the ground.<\/p>\n<table style='width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:20px 0'>\n<tr style='background:#f4f4f4'>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd;font-weight:bold'>Stat Category<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd;font-weight:bold'><b>Ohio State<\/b><\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd;font-weight:bold'><b>Miami<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Record<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>12-1<\/b><\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>11-2<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style='background:#f9f9f9'>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>Seed<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>No. 2<\/b><\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>No. 10<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>QB Passing TDs<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>32<\/b> (Will Howard)<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>TBA<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style='background:#f9f9f9'>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'>ESPN Win Probability<\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>70%<\/b><\/td>\n<td style='padding:12px;border:1px solid #ddd'><b>30%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Defensive Priorities and Miami&#8217;s Resurrection Story<\/h2>\n<p><b>Miami&#8217;s<\/b> defensive unit has been one of the most surprising stories in college football this season. The <b>Hurricanes<\/b> defense allowed just <b>220<\/b> total yards per game on average and creates consistent pressure up front. <b>Ohio State<\/b> cannot rely solely on <b>Howard&#8217;s<\/b> arm talent. The <b>Buckeyes<\/b> need their offensive line to stay healthy and focused against <b>Miami&#8217;s<\/b> relentless front four.<\/p>\n<p><b>Miami<\/b>&#8216;s journey to this game represents a stunning turnaround for the program. The <b>Hurricanes<\/b> knocked off <b>Texas A&amp;M<\/b> in an upset that shocked many analysts. Now they face perhaps their biggest test in a 12-team playoff. <b>Miami<\/b> will need perfect execution and perhaps some fortune to slow down an <b>Ohio State<\/b> offense built to strike quickly.<\/p>\n<h2>Historical Context and 2002 Championship Rematch Echoes<\/h2>\n<p>This matchup carries significant historical weight for both programs. <b>Ohio State<\/b> and <b>Miami<\/b> last met in the <b>2002 national championship game<\/b>, a <b>31-24 double-overtime<\/b> thriller won by the <b>Buckeyes<\/b>. That game remains controversial due to a controversial pass interference flag that extended the game. After <b>23<\/b> years, these programs finally meet again in a meaningful bowl game.<\/p>\n<p><b>Miami<\/b> fans still harbor memories of that heartbreaking loss. The <b>Hurricanes<\/b> come into this contest with extra motivation, despite being the lower seed. <b>Ohio State<\/b> knows <b>Miami&#8217;s<\/b> history of resilience and won&#8217;t overlook an opponent with clear championship pedigree. Both teams understand the stakes of a CFP quarterfinal.<\/p>\n<h2>What Will Determine the Winner on New Year&#8217;s Eve?<\/h2>\n<p>The team that controls the line of scrimmage will likely emerge victorious. <b>Ohio State<\/b> must keep <b>Will Howard<\/b> clean and let him operate the passing game. <b>Miami<\/b> needs its defensive line to pressure early and force mistakes. If the <b>Buckeyes<\/b> can run the ball effectively and establish dominance in the trenches, they&#8217;ll advance to the semifinals.<\/p>\n<p><b>Miami&#8217;s<\/b> path requires discipline and execution on both sides of the ball. The <b>Hurricanes<\/b> cannot fall behind early against a team this talented. Staying within the <b>9.5-point<\/b> spread would constitute a moral victory, but <b>Miami<\/b> clearly believes it can pull off the upset. New Year&#8217;s Eve has always produced dramatic college football moments. Will this game add to that legacy?<\/p>\n<blockquote style='border-left:4px solid #3498db;padding-left:20px;margin:25px 0;font-style:italic;color:#555'><p>\n&#8220;A key matchup will be Ohio State&#8217;s offensive line. If they can be solid in the trenches and get the ball to their playmakers, they&#8217;re going to be in good standing against Miami.&#8221;\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style='font-size:0.9em;color:#666;margin-top:-15px'>\u2014 <b>ESPN College Football Analyst<\/b>, 2025 Bowl Preview<\/p>\n<h3>Sources<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><b>ESPN<\/b> &#8211; College Football Playoff coverage and matchup analysis<\/li>\n<li><b>USA Today Sports<\/b> &#8211; Ohio State vs. Miami predictions and previews<\/li>\n<li><b>CBS Sports<\/b> &#8211; College Football Playoff odds and expert picks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":29901,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Will 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