{"id":21854,"date":"2025-12-06T06:05:26","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T10:05:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/vietnams-trade-surplus-with-the-us-explodes-to-121-6-billion-but-the-real-shocker-is-whats-happening-to-fdi-inflows\/"},"modified":"2025-12-06T06:05:58","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T10:05:58","slug":"47704-vn-trade-surplus-with-us-soars-to-121-6b-record-despite-trump-s-20-tariffs-fdi-h","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/47704-vn-trade-surplus-with-us-soars-to-121-6b-record-despite-trump-s-20-tariffs-fdi-h\/","title":{"rendered":"Vietnam’s trade surplus with the US explodes to $121.6 billion, but the real shocker is what’s happening to FDI inflows"},"content":{"rendered":"

Vietnam’s trade surplus with the United States surged to a record $121.6 billion in the first 11 months of 2025<\/b>, defying Trump’s 20% tariff threat and signaling the Southeast Asian nation’s dominance in U.S. imports. Foreign direct investment simultaneously hit a five-year high of $23.6 billion<\/b>, demonstrating investor confidence despite growing economic headwinds.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • Vietnam’s trade surplus with the US reached $121.6 billion in January-November 2025<\/b>, already surpassing the entire 2024 total of $104.5 billion<\/li>\n
  • U.S. exports to Vietnam rose 22.5% year-on-year in November<\/b>, outpacing global growth of 15.1%<\/li>\n
  • FDI disbursement hit $23.6 billion<\/b>, the highest level in five years, marking the 2021-2025 record<\/li>\n
  • Processing and manufacturing absorbed 82.9% of FDI inflows<\/b> at $19.56 billion<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Vietnam’s Record Trade Surplus Challenges Trump Administration<\/h2>\n

    Vietnam’s trade surplus with its primary export market, the United States<\/b>, jumped to $121.6 billion during the first 11 months of 2025<\/b>, eclipsing the total surplus the nation achieved throughout all of 2024 ($104.5 billion). This remarkable growth occurred despite the Trump administration’s decision to impose 20% tariffs on Vietnamese goods beginning in August.<\/p>\n

    The surge demonstrates Vietnam’s resilience in global trade as the nation continues repositioning itself as a critical alternative to China for U.S. manufacturing and imports. Officials credit improved capacity to absorb foreign capital and sustained confidence from multinational enterprises in Vietnam’s economic fundamentals.<\/p>\n

    Exports Accelerate Despite Monthly Slowdown<\/h2>\n

    While the year-to-date figures show extraordinary momentum, monthly data reveals emerging signs of cooling. November saw shipments to the U.S. fall 7.3%<\/b> compared to October, marking the fourth consecutive month of month-on-month declines.<\/p>\n

    Vietnam’s overall November trade surplus narrowed to just $1.09 billion<\/b> from $2.6 billion in October, highlighting the nation’s heavy dependence on the American market. Exports to all destinations dropped 7.1% month-over-month<\/b>, suggesting tariff pressures and global demand weakening may finally be taking effect on Vietnamese shipments.<\/p>\n

    FDI Reaches Peak Performance Despite Economic Headwinds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Category<\/td>\nAmount (USD Billion)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    FDI Disbursement (Jan-Nov 2025)<\/td>\n$23.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Processing & Manufacturing<\/td>\n$19.56 (82.9%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Real Estate Sector<\/td>\n$5.72 (20.7%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Total New Projects Licensed<\/td>\n3,695 (up 21.7%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

    Foreign direct investment inflows marked a dramatic rebound, hitting $23.6 billion through November<\/b>, the highest level recorded during the 2021-2025 period. Finance Minister Nguyen Van Thang<\/b> announced the achievement alongside warnings about mounting economic challenges from U.S. tariffs and devastating flooding.<\/p>\n

    Singapore led foreign investor rankings<\/b> with $4.29 billion (26.9% of new investment), followed by China with $3.4 billion (21.3%), Hong Kong with $1.66 billion (10.4%), and Japan with $1.56 billion (9.8%). Swedish and Taiwanese firms injected $1 billion and $951 million respectively.<\/p>\n

    Vietnam’s Trade Deficit with China Deepens Significantly<\/h2>\n

    While Vietnam celebrated record gains in its American trade relationship, its balance sheet darkened elsewhere. The trade deficit with China surged 38.1% year-on-year to $104.3 billion<\/b> in the January-November period, nearly offsetting all positive balances with the U.S., European Union, and Japan<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Vietnam’s total trade surplus across all partners reached $20.53 billion<\/b>, with overall exports rising 16.1% to $430.14 billion and imports climbing 18.4% to $409.61 billion. The widening Chinese deficit presents growing pressure on Vietnam’s overall trade position despite stellar U.S. performance.<\/p>\n

    How will Vietnam maintain growth momentum as monthly exports slow?<\/h2>\n

    The challenge ahead centers on sustaining the extraordinary 11-month performance while monthly trends suggest deceleration. Vietnam continues negotiating a formal trade agreement with Washington following their October framework deal, hoping to secure long-term stability and potentially renegotiate the 20% tariff rate.<\/p>\n

    “Foreign investment inflows in the January-November period rose 8.9% from a year earlier, while pledges were up 7.4%, reflecting robust investor interest despite increasing economic challenges.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

    \u2014 Finance Minister Nguyen Van Thang<\/b>, National Statistics Office announcement<\/p>\n

    Sources<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • Reuters<\/b> – Vietnam’s trade surplus with US hits record as exports surge despite tariffs<\/li>\n
    • Vietnam Plus<\/b> – FDI disbursement hits five-year high during first 11 months<\/li>\n
    • Business Today Malaysia<\/b> – Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Hits Record US$121.6 Billion Despite Tariffs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":21853,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Van Thang Nguyen\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2779489\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Robin Trump\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2607850\"]},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"United States\",\"description\":\"country\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Vietnam\",\"description\":\"country\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"China\",\"description\":\"country\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Singapore\",\"description\":\"country\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Hong 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His reporting helps readers make sense of the business world's biggest moves.","url":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/author\/patrick-graham\/"}]}},"views":152,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21854"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21854\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}