{"id":18063,"date":"2025-11-24T19:58:58","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T23:58:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/flyers-vs-lightning-tampa-bay-favored-with-7-wins-in-last-10-philly-faces-uphill-test-tonight\/"},"modified":"2025-11-24T19:59:22","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T23:59:22","slug":"62954-flyers-vs-lightning-tampa-bay-favored-with-7-wins-in-last-10-philly-faces-uphill","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/62954-flyers-vs-lightning-tampa-bay-favored-with-7-wins-in-last-10-philly-faces-uphill\/","title":{"rendered":"Flyers vs Lightning: Tampa Bay favored with 7 wins in last 10, Philly faces uphill test tonight"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Tampa Bay Lightning<\/b> look to stay hot tonight against the Philadelphia Flyers<\/b> on Nov. 24<\/b> at 7 p.m. ET<\/b>. Lightning<\/b> boast a 7-3 record in their last 10 games<\/b>. Philly<\/b> enters as the underdog facing an uphill test against Tampa’s surging offense<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Lightning<\/b> favored with 1.5 goal spread<\/b> and 63% win probability<\/b>.<\/li>\n
  • Philly<\/b> sits at 11-6-3<\/b> while Tampa<\/b> stands 12-7-2<\/b> on the season.<\/li>\n
  • Lightning<\/b> average 3.14 goals per game<\/b> vs Philly’s 2.58 GAA<\/b>.<\/li>\n
  • Prediction favors Lightning 4-2<\/b> based on recent forecasts.<\/li>\n
  • Game airs on NBCSP and The Spot<\/b> in evening primetime.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Head-to-Head Record Tells the Tale<\/h2>\n

    Tampa<\/b> holds the advantage all-time with 61 wins to 56<\/b> for Philly<\/b>. The Lightning<\/b> won 6 of their last 10<\/b> matchups against the Flyers<\/b>. This squad simply plays well against Philadelphia<\/b>. Tampa’s home record<\/b> in this series sits strong. The Lightning<\/b> know how to handle the Flyers<\/b> when it matters most.<\/p>\n

    Recent form shows Tampa<\/b> dominates the trends heading into tonight. The Lightning<\/b> aren’t just hot\u2014they’re elite against division rivals. Philly<\/b> will need every ounce of focus. Playing in Tampa<\/b> on the road makes it tougher.<\/p>\n

    Recent Form Comparison<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Statistic<\/b><\/th>\nLightning (Last 10)<\/b><\/th>\nFlyers (Last 10)<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Record<\/b><\/td>\n7-3-0<\/b><\/td>\nNot specified<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Goals Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n3.14<\/b><\/td>\nImproving<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Goals Against Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n2.86<\/b><\/td>\n2.58<\/b> (top 5)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Power Play %<\/b><\/td>\n17.6%<\/b><\/td>\n18.9%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Penalty Kill %<\/b><\/td>\n87.3%<\/b><\/td>\nTop 5 defensively<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    This table reveals the matchup clearly. Tampa’s<\/b> scoring punch is real. Philly’s<\/b> defense has tightened up. Yet the Lightning<\/b> edge remains obvious. Tampa<\/b> scores more frequently while allowing fewer goals.<\/p>\n

    Key Injury Situations Impact Both Rosters<\/h2>\n

    Tampa Bay<\/b> deals with significant absences tonight. Star forward Brayden Point<\/b> won’t play. Defensemen Victor Hedman<\/b> and Ryan McDonagh<\/b> are sidelined. Erik Cernak<\/b> misses his fourth straight game. The Lightning<\/b> are missing key players but still favored.<\/p>\n

    For the Flyers<\/b>, only Rasmus Ristolainen<\/b> is out with a triceps injury. Philly<\/b> has the healthier roster. Sam Ersson starts in goal. Yet injuries or not, Tampa’s<\/b> core scores enough. The Lightning<\/b> have depth. Nikita Kucherov<\/b> and Jake Guentzel<\/b> lead the charge. That firepower overwhelms most opponents.<\/p>\n

    Betting Lines Tell You Everything<\/h2>\n

    Money managers favor Tampa Bay<\/b> strongly. The Lightning<\/b> sit at -152<\/b> on the moneyline. Philly’s<\/b> underdog odds read +145 to +146<\/b>. The puck line<\/b> favors Lightning at -1.5<\/b>. Over\/Under sits at 5.5 goals<\/b>. Expert predictions lean Lightning 4, Flyers 2<\/b>. Algorithm analysis gives Tampa 64% probability<\/b> of victory.<\/p>\n

    Can the Flyers Pull Off the Upset Tonight?<\/h2>\n

    Breaking Tampa’s<\/b> hot streak requires perfect execution. Philadelphia<\/b> showed offensive firepower recently\u2014they scored 3 goals in 26 seconds<\/b> against New Jersey<\/b> this week. That’s franchise record speed. But consistency wins games. Philly<\/b> has struggled generating scoring chances at times. Playing on the road cuts into any advantage. Andrei Vasilevskiy<\/b> in Tampa’s<\/b> net frightens opposing forwards.<\/p>\n

    The Flyers<\/b> face an uphill battle. Not impossible? No. Unlikely? Absolutely. Tampa’s<\/b> recent form, home ice, and firepower all point to a Lightning<\/b> victory. Yet hockey surprises happen. Philly<\/b> must hope Ersson<\/b> plays out of his mind and the power play clicks. Can Matvei Michkov<\/b> spark something special? Time will tell at 7 p.m. ET<\/b>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":18062,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Brayden Point\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Victor Hedman\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/3763491\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Ryan McDonagh\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Erik Cernak\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Rasmus Ristolainen\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Sam Ersson\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Nikita Kucherov\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/3913871\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jake Guentzel\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Andrei Vasilevskiy\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Matvei Michkov\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Tampa 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