{"id":17910,"date":"2025-11-23T21:18:40","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T01:18:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/murray-state-favored-by-7-5-over-middle-tennessee-unbeaten-in-last-2-games\/"},"modified":"2025-11-23T21:18:58","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T01:18:58","slug":"90498-murray-state-favored-by-7-5-over-middle-tennessee-unbeaten-in-last-2-games","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/90498-murray-state-favored-by-7-5-over-middle-tennessee-unbeaten-in-last-2-games\/","title":{"rendered":"Murray State favored by 7.5 over Middle Tennessee, unbeaten in last 2 games"},"content":{"rendered":"

Murray State<\/b> enters as a 7.5-point favorite<\/b> when they face Middle Tennessee<\/b> on November 23, 2025<\/b> at 7:30 PM EST<\/b>. The Racers<\/b> sport a 4-1<\/b> record in non-conference play. They’ll battle the 3-1 Blue Raiders<\/b> in the George Town Cayman Islands<\/b> Classic. This matchup shapes up as a classic underdog opportunity for the squad looking to pull off the upset.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Murray State<\/b> has won 4<\/b> of last 5<\/b> games. Form shows strong momentum entering.<\/li>\n
  • Middle Tennessee<\/b> features 3-1<\/b> record after loss to Michigan<\/b> on November 20<\/b>.<\/li>\n
  • 7.5-point spread<\/b> favors the Racers<\/b> playing at home in the Caymans.<\/li>\n
  • Head-to-head history favors Murray State<\/b> with 72<\/b> wins versus 35<\/b> for MTSU<\/b>.<\/li>\n
  • Matchup takes place in George Town<\/b> at John Gray Gymnasium<\/b>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Head-to-Head Record & Recent Matchups<\/h2>\n

    Murray State<\/b> dominates the all-time series with a commanding 72-35<\/b> record. The Racers<\/b> have really seen their advantage grow over the years. Looking at recent meetings, Murray State<\/b> took a 67-88<\/b> loss on November 16, 2024<\/b>. Before that game, the teams split their last 10<\/b> meetings with each winning 5<\/b> games.<\/p>\n

    This isn’t new territory for either team. They’ve faced off multiple times across the past decade. The Racers<\/b> won 75-54<\/b> on December 30, 2023<\/b>. Earlier that 2022-23<\/b> season, Murray State<\/b> prevailed 83-67<\/b> on December 21, 2022<\/b>. These matchups typically come down to execution and shooting touch.<\/p>\n

    The Blue Raiders<\/b> have shown they can compete with Murray State<\/b>. Recently, they dropped Middle Tennessee<\/b> just one year ago. But history suggests the Racers<\/b> enter gunning to reassert dominance over this rival.<\/p>\n

    Murray State Recent Form & Key Stats<\/h2>\n

    The Racers<\/b> rank strong in the Missouri Valley Conference<\/b>. But here’s what matters most: they’ve been winning on the road. Murray State<\/b> sits 4-1<\/b> in non-conference play. The team averages 33.4 rebounds<\/b> per game, which ranks sixth<\/b> in the MVC<\/b>. That rebounding edge could prove decisive come tip-off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Statistic<\/b><\/th>\nMurray State<\/b><\/th>\nMiddle Tennessee<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Record (Non-Conf)<\/b><\/td>\n4-1<\/b><\/td>\n3-1<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Points Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n94.4<\/td>\n86.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Field Goal %<\/b><\/td>\nN\/A (strong)<\/td>\n45.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    3-Point %<\/b><\/td>\nN\/A (competitive)<\/td>\n33.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Rebounding Avg<\/b><\/td>\n33.4 (6th MVC)<\/td>\nTBA<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Coach<\/b><\/td>\nRyan Miller<\/b><\/td>\nNick McDevitt<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    Mason Miller<\/b> leads the Racers<\/b> and enters the matchup averaging 10.8 PPG<\/b> with a solid 47.1%<\/b> field goal percentage. The team boasts strong depth with multiple scorers capable of stepping up. Their offense flows through ball movement and rebounding dominance. Against underperforming defenses, Murray State<\/b> can explode quickly.<\/p>\n

    Middle Tennessee Recent Struggles & Adjustments<\/h2>\n

    Middle Tennessee<\/b> came out hot to start the season at 3-0<\/b>. But reality caught up when they faced nationally-ranked Michigan<\/b> on November 20<\/b>. The Wolverines<\/b> held Middle Tennessee<\/b> to just 28%<\/b> shooting and 19%<\/b> from three-point range. That performance exposed some concerning trends in the offense.<\/p>\n

    The Blue Raiders<\/b> averaged 86.8 PPG<\/b> while shooting 45.2%<\/b> from the field and 33.3%<\/b> from deep. Those numbers look decent on paper. But consistency becomes the real question. Against quality opponents, Middle Tennessee<\/b> has struggled to find their rhythm early.<\/p>\n

    Coach Nick McDevitt<\/b> enters his eighth<\/b> season leading the program. The team needs perimeter shooting to click come Sunday night. Without consistent three-point production, Murray State’s<\/b> rebounding advantage becomes nearly impossible to overcome.<\/p>\n

    Prediction & Betting Considerations<\/h2>\n

    The 7.5-point spread<\/b> favors Murray State<\/b> for solid reasons. The Racers<\/b> control the glass, outscore Middle Tennessee<\/b>, and own this historical matchup. Look for Murray State<\/b> to win by 8-12<\/b> points. The sportsbooks rate this as a 70%<\/b> probability for the Racers<\/b> to cover.<\/p>\n

    The over-under sits at 162.5 points<\/b>. Both teams can score in bunches. Expect this game lands slightly under that total. Neither squad plays particularly fast-paced. Tempo control and half-court battles should dominate the action.<\/p>\n

    Middle Tennessee<\/b> presents value as an underdog with historical momentum against Murray State<\/b>. But talent and form both favor the home squad. Banking on the Racers<\/b> straight-up seems like the sharper play here.<\/p>\n

    Key Factors That Will Decide This Matchup<\/h2>\n
      \n
    • Can Middle Tennessee<\/b> find shooting consistency shot after shot?<\/li>\n
    • Will Murray State<\/b> establish dominance on the glass early and often?<\/li>\n
    • Who controls turnovers in the second half? Racers<\/b> or Blue Raiders<\/b>?<\/li>\n
    • Bench scoring matters\u2014depth advantage goes to Murray State<\/b> clearly.<\/li>\n
    • Free throw execution down the stretch could swing a close fourth quarter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      If Middle Tennessee<\/b> shoots better than 35%<\/b> from three-point range, they keep it close. But that’s asking a lot after their performance against Michigan<\/b>. Murray State<\/b> should impose their will in the paint and control possessions.<\/p>\n

      The Bottom Line<\/h3>\n

      Murray State<\/b> enters as justified favorites and should cover the spread. The Racers<\/b> project to win by approximately 10 points<\/b>, landing right around 90-80<\/b>. Sharp money supports backing the favorite despite the 7.5<\/b> being available. This game rewards disciplined betting on form, matchups, and coaching execution\u2014exactly where Murray State<\/b> holds advantages.<\/p>\n

      Sources<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • ESPN<\/b> – Game schedule and player statistics<\/li>\n
      • Sports Reference<\/b> – Historical head-to-head records and season data<\/li>\n
      • ActionNetwork<\/b> – Betting odds and spread analysis<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17909,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Ryan Miller\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/4180187\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Nick McDevitt\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Mason Miller\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"George Town\",\"description\":\"city\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"John Gray Gymnasium\",\"description\":\"venue\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Cayman Islands\",\"description\":\"country\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"George Town Cayman Islands 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