{"id":17614,"date":"2025-11-22T23:09:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T03:09:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/sjsu-favored-by-aztecs-8-2-record-but-spartans-won-last-matchup-24-13-in-2023\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T23:09:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T03:09:23","slug":"14440-sjsu-favored-by-aztecs-8-2-record-but-spartans-won-last-matchup-24-13-in-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/14440-sjsu-favored-by-aztecs-8-2-record-but-spartans-won-last-matchup-24-13-in-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"SJSU favored by Aztecs’ 8-2 record, but Spartans won last matchup 24-13 in 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"

San Diego State<\/b> enters the matchup as a dominant favorite over San Jose State<\/b> on Nov. 22<\/b>. The Aztecs<\/b> bring an impressive 8-2<\/b> record into Snapdragon Stadium<\/b>. But the Spartans<\/b> shocked everyone with a 24-13<\/b> victory just two years ago<\/b>. Can lightning strike twice?<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • San Diego State<\/b> leads the Mountain West<\/b> at 5-1<\/b> in conference play.<\/li>\n
  • SJSU<\/b> sits at 3-7<\/b> overall with a 2-4<\/b> conference record this season.<\/li>\n
  • The Aztecs<\/b> are favored by 11.5 points<\/b> with an 83.3%<\/b> win probability.<\/li>\n
  • November 18, 2023:<\/b> Quali Conley<\/b> rushed for 112 yards<\/b> and a touchdown in SJSU’s<\/b> stunning upset victory.<\/li>\n
  • SDSU<\/b> ranks 1st<\/b> in Mountain West<\/b> scoring defense, allowing just 12.5 points<\/b> per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Historical Upset Alert: What Happened Last Time?<\/h2>\n

    Think San Diego State<\/b> has this wrapped up? The Spartans<\/b> have other ideas. They proved it on November 18, 2023<\/b>, when they stormed into Snapdragon Stadium<\/b> and claimed a dramatic 24-13<\/b> victory.<\/p>\n

    Running back Quali Conley<\/b> led the charge with 112 rushing yards<\/b> and found the end zone. The Spartans<\/b> controlled the second and third quarters, putting away 14 unanswered points<\/b> after halftime. That victory proved SJSU<\/b> can compete with anyone on their schedule, despite talent differences.<\/p>\n

    SDSU’s Defensive Stranglehold Dominates the Mountain West<\/h2>\n

    Fast forward to now. San Diego State<\/b> has built an elite defense that’s virtually impossible to beat. Their scoring defense<\/b> ranks first in the entire Mountain West Conference<\/b>, yielding just 12.5 points per game<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    That defensive prowess explains the overwhelming 11.5-point spread<\/b> in SDSU’s<\/b> favor. Experts project an implied final score of Aztecs 31, Spartans 20<\/b>. The gap between these teams feels insurmountable on paper.<\/p>\n

    Still, San Jose<\/b>‘s high-octane passing attack has been clicking this season. They’ll need those volume passing plays<\/b> to overcome a defense they simply can’t match in traditional football production.<\/p>\n

    Conference Championship Stakes Define This Matchup<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nOverall Record<\/th>\nConference Record<\/th>\nWin Probability<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    San Diego State<\/b><\/td>\n8-2<\/b><\/td>\n5-1 MW<\/b><\/td>\n83.3%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    San Jose State<\/b><\/td>\n3-7<\/b><\/td>\n2-4 MW<\/b><\/td>\n16.7%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    San Diego State<\/b> has positioned itself perfectly for a Mountain West Championship Game<\/b> berth. A victory clinches major playoff positioning. Second-year head coach Sean Lewis<\/b> is building something special.<\/p>\n

    For SJSU<\/b>, this represents a measuring-stick moment. Can they surprise again? Their 2-4<\/b> conference record suggests they’re spiraling. But history<\/b> has a way of repeating itself in college football.<\/p>\n

    Key Factors That Could Flip This Game<\/h2>\n
      \n
    • SJSU’s passing volume advantage:<\/b> The Spartans<\/b> attack through the air relentlessly. If they get SDSU<\/b> in a shootout, they have a shot.<\/li>\n
    • SDSU’s defensive rankings rule:<\/b> With the Mountain West’s best defense<\/b>, the Aztecs<\/b> force turnovers and limit big plays.<\/li>\n
    • Home-field advantage at Snapdragon:<\/b> San Diego State<\/b> is 7-1<\/b> at home this season. The crowd support matters.<\/li>\n
    • Momentum and desperation:<\/b> SJSU<\/b> is fighting for bowl eligibility. Desperate teams sometimes pull off miraculous upsets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Can San Jose State Pull Off Another Miracle, or Will San Diego State Dominate?<\/h2>\n

      San Diego State<\/b> has all the reasons to win. They own the better record, elite defense, and home-field advantage. The betting markets have spoken too, giving them 83.3%<\/b> win probability.<\/p>\n

      But never underestimate a team with nothing to lose. San Jose<\/b> proved two years ago that SDSU<\/b> isn’t unbeatable. The 24-13<\/b> shellacking from 2023<\/b> still stings in San Diego<\/b>. That memory alone could motivate the Spartans<\/b> one more time.<\/p>\n

      This matchup offers everything college football fans crave: history, revenge, playoff implications, and a major talent gap that might not matter. Will analytics prevail, or does SJSU<\/b> write another shocking chapter?<\/p>\n

      Sources<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • ESPN<\/b> – Live game coverage and statistical tracking<\/li>\n
      • Fox Sports<\/b> – Prediction analysis and betting odds<\/li>\n
      • Mountain West Conference<\/b> – Official standings and championship information<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17613,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Quali Conley\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Sean Lewis\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2241746\"]},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Snapdragon Stadium\",\"description\":\"venue\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"San Diego\",\"description\":\"city\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"San Jose\",\"description\":\"city\"}]}","_extracted_celebrities":null,"_extracted_movies":"","_extracted_places":null,"_extracted_videos":"","_last_enrichment_date":"2025-11-22 23:09:42","footnotes":""},"categories":[188],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"\nSJSU favored by Aztecs' 8-2 record, but Spartans won last matchup 24-13 in 2023<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/14440-sjsu-favored-by-aztecs-8-2-record-but-spartans-won-last-matchup-24-13-in-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SJSU favored by Aztecs' 8-2 record, but Spartans won last matchup 24-13 in 2023\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"…\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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