{"id":17536,"date":"2025-11-22T20:07:39","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T00:07:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/senators-favored-over-sharks-after-winning-2-straight-h2h-meetings-eyes-upset-despite-70-form\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T20:07:53","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T00:07:53","slug":"27368-senators-favored-over-sharks-after-winning-2-straight-h2h-meetings-eyes-upset-de","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/27368-senators-favored-over-sharks-after-winning-2-straight-h2h-meetings-eyes-upset-de\/","title":{"rendered":"Senators favored over Sharks after winning 2 straight H2H meetings, eyes upset despite 70% form"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Ottawa Senators<\/b> enter Saturday’s matchup against the San Jose Sharks<\/b> with major momentum. Ottawa has won 2 consecutive head-to-head meetings<\/b> against San Jose. The Senators boast 70% recent form<\/b> with 8 points in last 9 games<\/b>. Testing San Jose at 7:00 PM ET on Nov. 22, 2025<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Senators<\/b> have beaten Sharks<\/b> in 2 straight<\/b> meetings including 5-3 March 1<\/b> and 4-3 Nov. 27<\/b><\/li>\n
  • Ottawa<\/b> earned points in 8 of last 9 games<\/b> with 5-1-3<\/b> record<\/li>\n
  • Sharks<\/b> hold 3-2<\/b> record in last 5 games<\/b> recently<\/li>\n
  • Dimers<\/b> projects 59% win probability<\/b> for Ottawa<\/li>\n
  • Moneyline<\/b> favors Senators<\/b> at -162<\/b> odds<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Why Senators Look Unstoppable<\/h2>\n

    Ottawa<\/b> rides a historic hot streak into this matchup. The team earned points in 8 of their last 9 games<\/b>. That’s 5 wins<\/b>, 1 regulation loss<\/b>, and 3 overtime decisions<\/b>. But here’s the thing\u2014the Senators<\/b> just started a seven-game road trip<\/b> with a 3-2 victory<\/b> over Boston on Thursday<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Defensively, Ottawa’s numbers shine. The team allows 3.35 goals per game<\/b>. Offensively, they average 3.25 goals<\/b> per contest. These stats translate to actual wins. Plus, Ottawa scores 26.5 shots per game<\/b> while opponent shots sit at 25.4 per night<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Head-to-Head Dominance Tells Story<\/h2>\n

    Ottawa<\/b> demolished San Jose<\/b> when they last met. The Senators<\/b> won 5-3<\/b> on March 1, 2025<\/b>. Before that? Another 4-3 Senators victory<\/b> on November 27, 2024<\/b>. That’s 2 straight head-to-head wins<\/b> for Ottawa. Historical records show the teams played 46 games all-time<\/b>. San Jose holds slight edge at 20 wins<\/b> to Ottawa’s 21 wins<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Direct matchups matter in hockey. Recent trends favor Ottawa<\/b> heavily. San Jose hasn’t beaten these Senators<\/b> since March 9, 2024<\/b>. That’s been almost a full year<\/b> of futility against this opponent.<\/p>\n

    Sharks Still Dangerous Despite Struggles<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Statistic<\/b><\/th>\nSenators<\/b><\/th>\nSharks<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Record<\/b><\/td>\n10-6-4<\/b><\/td>\n10-8-3<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Last 5 Games<\/b><\/td>\n3-2-0<\/b><\/td>\n3-2-0<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Goals Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n3.25<\/b><\/td>\n2.95<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Goals Against Avg<\/b><\/td>\n3.35<\/b><\/td>\n3.19<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Shots Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n26.5<\/b><\/td>\n24.1<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Head-to-Head Record<\/b><\/td>\n4 Wins (Last 5)<\/b><\/td>\n1 Win (Last 5)<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    San Jose still showed 3-2 form in last 5 games<\/b>. The Sharks<\/b> generate 24.1 shots per night<\/b> and allow 31.5 shots<\/b> against. That defensive vulnerability could matter against Ottawa’s 26.5 shot average<\/b>. San Jose averages 2.95 goals scored<\/b> while giving up 3.19 per contest<\/b>. They’re struggling but not helpless.<\/p>\n

    Betting Markets Love Senators Heavily<\/h2>\n

    Money tells the story in sports betting. Dimers<\/b> projects 59% win probability<\/b> for Ottawa<\/b>. San Jose gets just 41% according to<\/b> their advanced model. The moneyline<\/b> shows Senators at -162<\/b> while Sharks sit at +132<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    But here’s key context\u2014Ottawa<\/b> is 3-1<\/b> when playing as favorites with -162 odds or shorter<\/b>. That’s a 75% win rate<\/b> from shorter moneylines. San Jose<\/b> has now been an underdog in 21 games<\/b> this season. The spread was set at -1.5 in Senators’ favor<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Expert picks lean toward Ottawa<\/b>. FanDuel<\/b> reported Senators favored 1.5 goals<\/b>. Multiple analysts projected scores ranging from Senators 4-3 Sharks<\/b> to Senators 4 Sharks 3<\/b>. Over\/under settled near 5.5 to 6.0 goals total<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    What Makes This Game Less Certain?<\/h2>\n

    Despite Ottawa’s dominance, San Jose owns recent momentum matching Senators<\/b>. Both teams went 3-2<\/b> in last 5 games<\/b>. Hockey’s unpredictability means upset potential always exists. Home ice matters. San Jose plays at home in this matchup. The Sharks hold 6-3 home record<\/b> for their season.<\/p>\n

    Road woes could hurt Ottawa. The Senators posted 4-3-2 road record<\/b> in recent stretch. Start of a seven-game road trip creates adjustment challenges. And sport teaches us that favorites don’t always win\u2014they just win more often<\/b>. Don’t sleep on San Jose’s capability to steal this one despite the oddsmakers’ predictions leaning heavily Ottawa’s direction.\n<\/p>\n

    Sources<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • Dimers<\/b> – Advanced modeling and win probability projections<\/li>\n
    • FanDuel Research<\/b> – Game spreads and moneyline odds analysis<\/li>\n
    • ESPN<\/b> – Team statistics and season performance data<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17535,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Ottawa\",\"description\":\"city\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"San Jose\",\"description\":\"city\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Boston\",\"description\":\"city\"}]}","_extracted_celebrities":"","_extracted_movies":"","_extracted_places":null,"_extracted_videos":"","_last_enrichment_date":"2025-11-22 20:08:04","footnotes":""},"categories":[188],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"\nSenators favored over Sharks 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