{"id":17470,"date":"2025-11-22T17:07:16","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T21:07:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/sacramento-st-vs-uc-davis-no-15-aggies-favored-with-2-game-win-streak-over-hornets\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T17:07:55","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T21:07:55","slug":"69782-sacramento-st-vs-uc-davis-no-15-aggies-favored-with-2-game-win-streak-over-horne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/69782-sacramento-st-vs-uc-davis-no-15-aggies-favored-with-2-game-win-streak-over-horne\/","title":{"rendered":"Sacramento St vs UC Davis: No. 15 Aggies favored with 2-game win streak over Hornets"},"content":{"rendered":"

No. 15 UC Davis<\/b> faces Sacramento State<\/b> in the 72nd Causeway Classic<\/b> on Nov. 22<\/b> at 1 p.m. PT<\/b>. The Aggies<\/b> carry a 2-game win streak<\/b> over the Hornets<\/b>. Sacramento State sits 7-4<\/b> but won 3 straight<\/b>. This betting matchup has serious playoff implications<\/b> for both teams.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • UC Davis<\/b> is 7-3<\/b> (5-2 Big Sky) and ranked No. 15<\/b> in FCS media polls<\/li>\n
  • Sacramento State<\/b> is 7-4<\/b> (5-2 Big Sky) with a 3-game win streak<\/b><\/li>\n
  • Rodney Hammond Jr.<\/b> leads Hornets with 1,076 rushing yards<\/b> and 11 TDs<\/b><\/li>\n
  • Sacramento State<\/b> ranks 3rd nationally<\/b> in rushing at 256.8 yards\/game<\/b><\/li>\n
  • Winner likely secures FCS playoff spot<\/b> on Sunday morning<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Battle of Undefeated Conference Records<\/h2>\n

    UC Davis<\/b> and Sacramento State<\/b> enter Saturday tied in the Big Sky Conference<\/b> at 5-2<\/b>. But here’s where it gets interesting. The Aggies<\/b> dropped their most recent game to Montana State 38-17<\/b> after stunning losses to Idaho State 38-36<\/b>. So they’re looking to bounce back in the biggest game of the regular season. Meanwhile, Sacramento State<\/b> just beat Idaho 23-20<\/b> in walk-off fashion. That win capped a 3-game winning streak<\/b>. The Hornets<\/b> won at Eastern Washington 35-13<\/b> and Portland State 52-24<\/b> before the Idaho thriller. Thing is, UC Davis<\/b> has won 2 straight<\/b> over Sacramento State already. The Aggies<\/b> took the last two meetings, so Sac State<\/b> needs to break that streak badly.<\/p>\n

    Sacramento State’s Rushing Attack Dominates<\/h2>\n

    Look, Sacramento State<\/b> has built something special on the ground. The team ranks 3rd in the entire FCS<\/b> averaging 256.8 rushing yards per game<\/b>. And it’s not just one guy carrying the load. Rodney Hammond Jr.<\/b> leads conference in yards at 1,076<\/b> with 11 touchdowns<\/b>. But Cardell Williams<\/b> isn’t far behind with 324 yards<\/b> and also 11 TDs<\/b>. They’ve become the first pair to each have 11+ rushing TDs<\/b> in the same season in school history. Against Idaho<\/b>, both backs went over 100 yards<\/b> again. Hammond had 120 yards<\/b> while Jaquail Smith<\/b> added 122<\/b>. The Hornets are 4th in the last 6 games<\/b> with multiple 100-yard rushers<\/b> in one contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Rushing Leaders 2025<\/b><\/th>\nYards<\/b><\/th>\nTDs<\/b><\/th>\nAvg\/Game<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Rodney Hammond Jr.<\/b> (Sac St)<\/td>\n1,076<\/b><\/td>\n11<\/b><\/td>\n97.8<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Cardell Williams<\/b> (Sac St)<\/td>\n324<\/b><\/td>\n11<\/b><\/td>\n29.5<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Jordan Fisher<\/b> (UCD)<\/td>\n520+<\/b><\/td>\nMultiple<\/b><\/td>\n50+<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Carter Vargas<\/b> (UCD)<\/td>\n400+<\/b><\/td>\nMultiple<\/b><\/td>\n40+<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    But UC Davis<\/b> isn’t exactly a defensive pushover. The Aggies<\/b> held Idaho State<\/b> to 38 points<\/b> despite 275+ passing yards<\/b>. And they forced 4 sacks<\/b> and blocked 2 kicks<\/b> against Northern Colorado<\/b>. Jacob Psyk<\/b>, the Harvard transfer<\/b>, has been relentless all season with 14 tackles for loss<\/b> and 6.5+ sacks<\/b>. He’s the anchor of that defense.<\/p>\n

    UC Davis Aims to Stay Perfect at Home<\/h2>\n

    Caden Pinnick<\/b> is the real deal for UC Davis<\/b>. The redshirt freshman has thrown 22 touchdowns<\/b> with just 8 interceptions<\/b>. He’s completing passes at 69.3%<\/b> and averaging 235.7 yards per game<\/b>. Plus, he’s dual-threat meaning he can take off. Against Idaho State<\/b>, he was absolutely brilliant. And when Grant Harper<\/b> stepped in as a backup, he still got the job done with 3 TDs<\/b> in one half. Samuel Gbatu Jr.<\/b> has been his security blanket with 53 catches<\/b> for 822 yards<\/b>. The Aggies<\/b> have had 10 different players<\/b> catch a TD<\/b> this year. That offense is balanced and dangerous.<\/p>\n

    Defensively, Rex Connors<\/b> just set the program record<\/b> with 291 career tackles<\/b>. He’s averaging 11.5 tackles per game<\/b> and leads the Big Sky<\/b>. Teammate Porter Connors<\/b> at linebacker is also a force. UC Davis<\/b> is solid on both sides of the ball heading into this match. The home-field advantage<\/b> in Davis<\/b> has been real too. The team hosted a record 17,217 fans<\/b> earlier this year against Southern Utah<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Playoff Fate Decides This One<\/h2>\n

    Here’s the real story. The winner of this game locks in an FCS playoff berth<\/b> almost certainly. Both teams sit at 7 wins<\/b>. The loser has to wait until Sunday morning, Nov. 23<\/b> when 24 teams<\/b> get announced. The Ivy League<\/b> joined the playoffs for the first time<\/b> meaning 13 at-large bids<\/b> are available. Sacramento State<\/b> would get 8 wins<\/b> with a victory, which has been the benchmark. UC Davis<\/b> would improve to 8-3<\/b> and strongly position itself as a top seed.<\/p>\n

    Vegas has UC Davis favored<\/b> at around -3.5 points<\/b>. Statistical models give the Aggies 62%<\/b> win probability. That makes sense given home field and recent history. But Sacramento State<\/b> is flying right now. They’ve won 5 of last 6 games<\/b> and 8 of their final 10<\/b>. Brennan Marion in his first year<\/b> as head coach has already earned 7 wins<\/b>, becoming the 4th coach<\/b> in school history to accomplish that.<\/p>\n

    Who Needs This Game More?<\/h2>\n

    Both teams desperately want this, but from different angles. UC Davis<\/b> wants to prove the last two weeks were flukes. Sacramento State<\/b> wants to prove they belong in the bracket. The Causeway Classic<\/b> dating back to 1954<\/b> carries massive weight. It’s one of the oldest rivalries in Northern California<\/b>. This could be the last ever meeting<\/b> since UC Davis<\/b> is moving to the Mountain West<\/b> for non-football sports while keeping football in the Big Sky<\/b>. That historical significance adds another layer. Saturday will decide everything.<\/p>\n

    Sources<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • UC Davis Athletics<\/b> – Official game preview and statistics<\/li>\n
    • Sacramento State Athletics<\/b> – Team statistics and game analysis<\/li>\n
    • Dimers<\/b> – AI-powered FCS predictions and modeling<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17469,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Rodney Hammond Jr.\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jay Cardell\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/1298268\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jaquail Smith\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jordan Fisher\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/1494625\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Carter Vargas\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jacob Psyk\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Caden Pinnick\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Grant Harper\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Samuel Gbatu Jr.\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Rex 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