{"id":17321,"date":"2025-11-22T12:25:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T16:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/fiorentina-faces-struggling-form-against-juventus-whos-favored-with-54-win-probability-in-serie-a-battle\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T12:25:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T16:25:16","slug":"64289-fiorentina-faces-struggling-form-against-juventus-who-s-favored-with-54-win-prob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/64289-fiorentina-faces-struggling-form-against-juventus-who-s-favored-with-54-win-prob\/","title":{"rendered":"Fiorentina faces struggling form against Juventus, who’s favored with 54% win probability in Serie A battle"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fiorentina<\/b> faces a Juventus<\/b> team heavily favored in their Serie A<\/b> clash on November 22, 2025<\/b>. The betting market gives Juventus<\/b> roughly 51-54% win probability<\/b>. Fiorentina<\/b> sits in 20th place<\/b> with just 5 points<\/b> after 11 matches<\/b>. This is a critical moment for both clubs.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Juventus<\/b> holds a 51-54% win probability<\/b> according to multiple betting outlets<\/li>\n
  • Fiorentina<\/b> remains winless in their last 5 matches<\/b> across all competitions<\/li>\n
  • Fiorentina<\/b> has conceded 2 goals per game<\/b> at home. Ouch.<\/li>\n
  • In their last 10 head-to-head meetings<\/b>, Fiorentina<\/b> won just 1 match<\/b><\/li>\n
  • Juventus<\/b> recorded 5 wins<\/b> and 4 draws<\/b> so far this season<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    The Current Form Nightmare<\/h2>\n

    Fiorentina<\/b> is genuinely struggling. They’ve scored just 0.8 goals per game<\/b> while conceding 1.64 goals per game<\/b>. At home, they’ve lost 4 out of 7 matches<\/b>. The stats are brutal. Their defensive frailty looks particularly concerning ahead of facing Juventus<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Meanwhile, Juventus<\/b> sits 6th in the table<\/b> with 19 points<\/b>. They’re in “good” form overall. Coach Luciano Spalletti<\/b> has stabilized the squad after a rocky start. The Bianconeri<\/b> have been undefeated in 43 of their last 49 Serie A matches<\/b> historically. That’s elite consistency.<\/p>\n

    Head-to-Head: Historical Advantage Juventus<\/h2>\n

    Here’s what matters most: Juventus<\/b> dominates this matchup historically. In 49 total meetings<\/b>, Juventus<\/b> has won 26 times<\/b> compared to Fiorentina’s 8 victories<\/b>. A 3-0 victory for Fiorentina<\/b> back in March 2025<\/b> was their biggest recent win. But that’s rare. Most recently, Fiorentina<\/b> won just 1 match<\/b> in their 10 most recent matchups<\/b>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Statistic<\/b><\/th>\nFiorentina<\/b><\/th>\nJuventus<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Season Record<\/b><\/td>\n0W-5D-6L (5 pts)<\/td>\n5W-4D-2L (19 pts)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    League Position<\/b><\/td>\n20th (Bottom)<\/td>\n6th<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Goals For Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n0.8<\/td>\n1.8+ (estimated)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Goals Against Per Game<\/b><\/td>\n1.64<\/td>\n1.2 (estimated)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Last 5 Matches<\/b><\/td>\nD-L-L-D-L<\/td>\nMixed but stable<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    H2H in Last 10 Games<\/b><\/td>\n1 Win<\/td>\n6+ Wins<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    This gulf in form is striking. Juventus<\/b> isn’t just better right now. They’re objectively dominant when these two meet.<\/p>\n

    What Betting Markets Tell Us<\/h2>\n

    The odds-makers aren’t taking Fiorentina<\/b> seriously here. Most outlets quote Juventus<\/b> with 48-54% win probability<\/b>. A draw<\/b> sits around 27-29% probability<\/b>. Fiorentina<\/b> home win odds hover between 3.40-4.00<\/b>. That’s roughly 21-26% win probability<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Thing is, those odds reflect reality. Fiorentina’s<\/b> home record is torrid. They’re conceding at an alarming rate. Juventus<\/b> travels well too. They’ve only lost 3 of their last 6 away matches<\/b>. So the market pricing? It’s probably fair.<\/p>\n

    What Watch For Going Forward<\/h2>\n
      \n
    • Fiorentina’s<\/b> attacking output\u2014can they finally score more than 1 goal per game<\/b>?<\/li>\n
    • Whether Juventus<\/b> maintains defensive discipline or gets sloppy<\/li>\n
    • Injury reports from both squads before kickoff<\/li>\n
    • Whether Spalletti’s<\/b> tactical setup gives Fiorentina<\/b> any counterattacking chances<\/li>\n
    • Home crowd support at Stadio Artemio Franchi<\/b>\u2014can it lift Fiorentina<\/b> emotionally?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Can Fiorentina Pull Off a Surprise Victory?<\/h2>\n

      Statistically? It’s a steep climb. But football happens. Fiorentina<\/b>‘s only recent win against Juventus<\/b> came in March 2025<\/b> when they demolished them 3-0<\/b>. That shows they’re capable when clicking.<\/p>\n

      The international break might actually help Fiorentina<\/b> regroup mentally. Two weeks of rest beats playing injured. Still, the talent gap is real. Juventus<\/b> has better individual players, better experience, and better form.<\/p>\n

      Prediction? Juventus<\/b> likely wins. But stranger things happen in Serie A<\/b> than Fiorentina<\/b> scrapping for a draw or shocking upset.<\/p>\n

      Sources<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • Forebet<\/b> – Statistical match prediction and odds analysis<\/li>\n
      • SofaScore<\/b> – Team form, statistics and head-to-head data<\/li>\n
      • Soccerpunter<\/b> – Historical performance metrics and betting intelligence<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17320,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Luciano Spalletti\",\"image\":\"https:\/\/image.tmdb.org\/t\/p\/w500\/vuDdnO7iS3N6JRf1mHJuQbiFb7Z.jpg\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2202004\"]},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Stadio Artemio Franchi\",\"description\":\"venue\"}]}","_extracted_celebrities":null,"_extracted_movies":"","_extracted_places":null,"_extracted_videos":"","_last_enrichment_date":"2025-11-22 12:25:25","footnotes":""},"categories":[188],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"\nFiorentina faces struggling form against Juventus, who's favored with 54% win probability in Serie A battle<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/64289-fiorentina-faces-struggling-form-against-juventus-who-s-favored-with-54-win-prob\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fiorentina faces struggling form against Juventus, who's favored with 54% win probability in Serie A battle\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"…\" \/>\n<meta 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