{"id":17303,"date":"2025-11-22T11:16:32","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T15:16:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/wales-face-wounded-all-blacks-chasing-first-win-since-1953-at-home\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T11:16:57","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T15:16:57","slug":"77598-wales-face-wounded-all-blacks-chasing-first-win-since-1953-at-home","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/77598-wales-face-wounded-all-blacks-chasing-first-win-since-1953-at-home\/","title":{"rendered":"Wales face wounded All Blacks chasing first win since 1953 at home"},"content":{"rendered":"

Wales<\/b> face the All Blacks<\/b> on Saturday, November 22nd, 2025<\/b> at Principality Stadium<\/b> in a match that could finally end a 72-year drought<\/b>. The hosts haven’t beaten New Zealand<\/b> since December 19, 1953<\/b>. The All Blacks arrive as heavy favorites but wounded after a 33-19 defeat<\/b> to England<\/b> last week. This is a chance for Welsh rugby to make history.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Wales<\/b> haven’t beaten New Zealand<\/b> in 37 encounters<\/b> across all formats.<\/li>\n
  • All Blacks<\/b> have won 34 of those 37<\/b> Tests, with 3<\/b> Welsh victories.<\/li>\n
  • Scott Robertson’s All Blacks<\/b> lost to England, 33-19<\/b> at Twickenham<\/b> last week.<\/li>\n
  • Wales<\/b> just beat Japan, 24-23<\/b> to end a 10-Test home losing streak<\/b>.<\/li>\n
  • Kick-off is 3:10 PM GMT<\/b>. The stakes couldn’t be higher for Welsh pride.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    A Wounded All Blacks Side Seeking Redemption<\/h2>\n

    New Zealand<\/b> has made massive changes ahead of Cardiff. Only Scott Barrett (captain)<\/b>, Simon Parker<\/b>, and Will Jordan<\/b> retain spots from the loss to England<\/b>. Coach Scott Robertson<\/b> insisted his side had some positives. But the scoreboard tells the real story\u2014three losses in 2025<\/b> have put immense pressure on the head coach.<\/p>\n

    What makes this different? Wales<\/b> will play without pressure while New Zealand<\/b> plays under intense scrutiny. Robertson<\/b> knows this fully. He said his team must be “right on it” against a Welsh side<\/b> with “nothing to lose.” The All Blacks<\/b> need to win with style and substance, not just victory.<\/p>\n

    The heavily rotated All Blacks<\/b> lineup shows Robertson<\/b> is willing to blood new talent. Yet big names will watch from the sidelines. Beauden Barrett<\/b> (starting fly-half) and others are sidelined. This squad has youth mixed with experience, but it’s facing perhaps its biggest test of the tour.<\/p>\n

    Wales Believing in an Upset After Japan Win<\/h2>\n

    Wales<\/b> emerged with 24-23 victory<\/b> over Japan<\/b> last Saturday courtesy of a late kick. That win\u2014just their first under Steve Tandy<\/b>\u2014ended a 10-game losing streak<\/b> in Cardiff. The momentum matters hugely for a side ranked 12th<\/b> in the world rankings. Home advantage inside Principality Stadium<\/b> is undeniable.<\/p>\n

    Coach Tandy<\/b> has made five changes<\/b> from that Japan match. Flanker Harri Deaves<\/b> gets his debut, fresh from working as a roofer in his early professional days. His inspiring journey shows what’s possible at Wales<\/b>. Centre Joe Hawkins<\/b> returns after missing action since the 2023 Six Nations<\/b>. Full-back Blair Murray<\/b> earned Robertson’s<\/b> respect\u2014the All Blacks<\/b> coach coached Murray<\/b> at Crusaders<\/b> and knows his abilities.<\/p>\n

    But let’s be honest\u2014Wales<\/b> have conceded 50-plus points<\/b> to England<\/b> and Argentina<\/b> at home this year. That’s stark. Yet Dafydd Jenkins<\/b> believes his squad can pull off an upset. The lock said recently there’s genuine belief inside the squad. When Wales<\/b> play the All Blacks<\/b> with “nothing to lose,” they historically find something special.<\/p>\n

    Head-to-Head Record Favors New Zealand Heavily<\/h2>\n

    All Blacks<\/b>: 34 wins<\/b> | Wales<\/b>: 3 wins<\/b> | Draws<\/b>: 1<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Statistic<\/th>\nWales<\/b><\/th>\nNew Zealand<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Test Match Wins<\/b><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Last Welsh Victory<\/b><\/td>\nDecember 19, 1953 (13-8 at Cardiff, led by Bleddyn Williams)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Winning Percentage (Wales)<\/b><\/td>\n8.1%<\/td>\n91.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Last 5 Meetings<\/b><\/td>\n0 wins<\/td>\n5 wins<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    The statistics paint a grim picture for Wales<\/b>. Over 37 encounters<\/b>, the All Blacks<\/b> have dominated completely. The bigger winning margins have been brutal\u201452 points<\/b> is New Zealand’s<\/b> largest victory margin over Wales<\/b>. Yet that 1953 win<\/b> shows it’s been done. Bleddyn Williams<\/b> led that historic 13-8 triumph<\/b> at Principality<\/b>. If history repeats, this would be the moment.<\/p>\n

    Key Matchups and Prediction Angles<\/h2>\n

    Betting markets price All Blacks<\/b> at 70-75% win probability<\/b>, leaving considerable underdog value for Wales<\/b>. Experts have split opinions. Some analysts predict Wales 10-52 New Zealand<\/b>. Others see upside for the hosts given the pressure Robertson’s<\/b> team faces.<\/p>\n

      \n
    • Full-back battle<\/b>: Blair Murray<\/b> vs Ruben Love<\/b> (covering for fly-half duties)<\/li>\n
    • All Blacks offensive power<\/b>: Can they operate complex attack patterns with new combinations?<\/b><\/li>\n
    • Welsh defense<\/b>: Must shut down New Zealand’s<\/b> expansive play and intercept opportunities<\/b><\/li>\n
    • Set piece battle<\/b>: Both packs will compete fiercely at lineout and scrum<\/b><\/li>\n
    • Air dominance<\/b>: Murray’s<\/b> aerial skills tested against All Blacks<\/b> back three<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Can Wales Finally End 72 Years of Pain?<\/h2>\n

      The story writes itself perfectly. Wales<\/b> just got a morale boost from Japan<\/b>. New Zealand<\/b> arrives wounded and under pressure. The odds are long. But rugby thrives on these moments\u2014when underdogs have absolutely nothing to lose.<\/p>\n

      Robertson<\/b> acknowledged it plainly. Put Wales<\/b> at home, under the roof, singing the anthem, and they’ll “dig deep” and “find their best.” When you’re ranked 12th globally<\/b> playing the second-ranked team<\/b>, the pressure works in your favor. Can Harri Deaves<\/b>, Joe Hawkins<\/b>, and the Welsh pack<\/b> deliver something momentous on November 22nd<\/b>?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Scott Robertson\",\"image\":\"https:\/\/image.tmdb.org\/t\/p\/w500\/zoT8wx6roC9x7zgaIpIKLi12auM.jpg\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/2300838\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Scott Barrett\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/3295871\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Simon Parker\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.themoviedb.org\/person\/1704246\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Will 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