{"id":17176,"date":"2025-11-21T23:10:29","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T03:10:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/k-state-womens-basketball-favored-over-green-bay-with-81-win-probability-undefeated-away-streak-on-line\/"},"modified":"2025-11-21T23:11:01","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T03:11:01","slug":"25080-k-state-women-s-basketball-favored-over-green-bay-with-81-win-probability-undefe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/25080-k-state-women-s-basketball-favored-over-green-bay-with-81-win-probability-undefe\/","title":{"rendered":"K State women’s basketball favored over Green Bay with 81% win probability, undefeated away streak on line"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kansas State women’s basketball<\/b> rolls into Green Bay<\/b> as a heavy favorite on Saturday, November 22<\/b> with an 81% win probability<\/b>. The Wildcats (4-2)<\/b> face the Phoenix (4-1)<\/b> at 1 p.m.<\/b> at the Kress Center<\/b>. This matchup puts an undefeated road streak on the line for the Big 12<\/b> squad.<\/p>\n

\n

\ud83d\udd25 Quick Facts:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • K-State<\/b> leads the all-time series 5-2<\/b> against Green Bay<\/b><\/li>\n
  • Taryn Sides<\/b> (K-State) averaging 12.7 PPG<\/b> this season<\/li>\n
  • Meghan Schulz<\/b> (Green Bay) putting up 17.2 PPG<\/b> with impressive field goal percentage<\/li>\n
  • K-State<\/b> shooting 50.0%<\/b> from the field in second halves recently<\/li>\n
  • Game streamed on ESPN+<\/b> with tip-off at 1 p.m. CT<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Why This Matchup on the Road Matters<\/h2>\n

    K-State’s starting a grueling five-game road stretch<\/b> after four solid home contests. The Wildcats<\/b> need to establish early momentum away from Bramlage Coliseum<\/b>. Green Bay just suffered a tough 76-72 loss<\/b> to Wisconsin<\/b>\u2014breaking their four-game winning streak. That loss stings, especially holding a 4-1 record<\/b> heading into this matchup.<\/p>\n

    Head coach Jeff Mittie<\/b> brings serious credentials in road situations. His team shot the lights out recently, attempting 155 combined shots<\/b> against Troy<\/b> (the most in Division I this season). K-State leads when it matters, too\u2014they’re 3-0 this season<\/b> when ahead at halftime.<\/p>\n

    Key Players & Statistical Analysis<\/h2>\n

    Guard Taryn Sides<\/b> continues anchoring the offense, distributing and scoring with a balanced approach. She’s averaging 12.7 PPG<\/b> alongside 5.5 rebounds<\/b> and 4.3 assists<\/b>. Fresh on the bench, freshman Jordan Speiser<\/b> is making noise\u2014she scored 13 points<\/b> with 10 rebounds<\/b> against Troy<\/b> just days ago.<\/p>\n

    Green Bay’s Meghan Schulz<\/b> can’t be ignored. The redshirt sophomore is shooting .660<\/b> from the floor and scored 22 points<\/b> on 8-of-10 shooting<\/b> against Wisconsin<\/b>. She’ll demand defensive attention immediately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Statistic<\/th>\nK-State<\/b><\/th>\nGreen Bay<\/b><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Record<\/b><\/td>\n4-2<\/b><\/td>\n4-1<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Last Game Result<\/b><\/td>\nW 81-59<\/b> vs Troy<\/b><\/td>\nL 72-76<\/b> vs Wisconsin<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Key Scorer PPG<\/b><\/td>\nTaryn Sides 12.7<\/b><\/td>\nMeghan Schulz 17.2<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Head Coach Record<\/b><\/td>\nJeff Mittie<\/b> vs GB: 2-1<\/b><\/td>\nKayla Karius<\/b> (Year 2)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Series History<\/b><\/td>\nLeads 5-2<\/b><\/td>\nTrails 2-5<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    What Separates K-State’s Victory Probability?<\/h2>\n

    That 81% win probability<\/b> reflects K-State’s<\/b> defensive balance and recent form. Jeff Mittie’s<\/b> squad maintains an .883 winning percentage<\/b> when leading at halftime since 2001-02<\/b>. They’ve made 30+ field goals<\/b> in 3 of 6 games<\/b> this season already.<\/p>\n

    Green Bay, though competent, can’t match K-State’s<\/b> depth. The Phoenix<\/b> lost momentum after dropping Wisconsin<\/b> at home. Road defense remains inconsistent for Karius’s<\/b> squad, even after an outstanding 2024-25<\/b> season that included NCAA Tournament<\/b> selection.<\/p>\n

    Plus, K-State<\/b> ranks remarkably strong in bench scoring\u2014averaging 32.5 points<\/b> per game (third in the Big 12<\/b>). That depth will wear Green Bay<\/b> down over 40 minutes<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    Storylines to Monitor Saturday<\/h2>\n
      \n
    • Schulz vs. K-State’s perimeter defense<\/b>\u2014Can the Wildcats<\/b> contain Green Bay’s<\/b> best player?<\/li>\n
    • Bench explosion potential<\/b>\u2014K-State’s<\/b> bench scored 32.5 PPG<\/b> on average this season<\/li>\n
    • Road trip momentum<\/b>\u2014Starting five straight away games<\/b> is pivotal for conference seeding<\/li>\n
    • Speiser’s continued rise<\/b>\u2014Can the freshman build on her double-double<\/b> performance?<\/li>\n
    • Green Bay’s bounce-back<\/b>\u2014Will the Phoenix<\/b> respond after Wisconsin<\/b> loss?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Why K-State’s Favored But Green Bay Stays Dangerous<\/h2>\n

      Picking Kansas State<\/b> here feels predictable given the advantages. That 81% win probability<\/b> assumes flawless execution\u2014something road games don’t guarantee. Green Bay<\/b> hosts in Wisconsin<\/b> where cold-shooting nights happen. The Phoenix<\/b> earned their 4-1 record<\/b> legitimately, winning the Horizon League<\/b> preseason poll vote.<\/p>\n

      But K-State’s combination of experience, balanced scoring, and road pedigree under Mittie<\/b> makes them the clear pick. If Taryn Sides<\/b> finds her rhythm early and the bench provides scoring depth, this becomes a blowout. The Wildcats<\/b> need this win to validate their four-game homestand<\/b> success.<\/p>\n

      Follow the game on ESPN+<\/b> starting at 1 p.m. CT<\/b> from the Kress Center<\/b>. K-State’s next four road games<\/b> will shape their entire season trajectory.<\/p>\n

      Sources<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • Kansas State Athletics<\/b> – Official game preview and roster statistics<\/li>\n
      • Green Bay Phoenix Athletics<\/b> – Team roster and recent performance data<\/li>\n
      • ESPN<\/b> – Game odds, player statistics, and historical matchup data<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":17175,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"schema_org_data":"{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Taryn Sides\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Meghan Schulz\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jeff Mittie\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jordan Speiser\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Kayla Karius\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Kress Center\",\"description\":\"venue\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Bramlage Coliseum\",\"description\":\"venue\"},{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Green Bay\",\"description\":\"city\"}]}","_extracted_celebrities":null,"_extracted_movies":"","_extracted_places":null,"_extracted_videos":"","_last_enrichment_date":"2025-11-21 23:11:24","footnotes":""},"categories":[188],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sport","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"\nK State women's basketball favored over Green Bay with 81% win probability, undefeated away streak on line<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.red94.net\/news\/25080-k-state-women-s-basketball-favored-over-green-bay-with-81-win-probability-undefe\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K State women's basketball favored over Green Bay with 81% win probability, undefeated away streak on line\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"…\" \/>\n<meta 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