NBA Top Picks Today: Bet on Jokic, Miller & Big Games – Celtics vs Thunder!

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By: Mike

All NBA teams will hit the court on Monday, offering a plethora of betting options for those looking to place bets on the games.

I’ve carefully selected some top betting choices for Monday’s games, especially since the teams will have a break on Tuesday for Election Day, resuming on Wednesday.

Let’s delve into the details for Monday’s extensive lineup of games:

Track Record of NBA Best Bets

  • Record for 2024-25 season: 20-28-1 (-4.99 units)
  • OVERALL (since 2021-22 season): 1030-973-23 (+33.10 units)

Discover Peter Dewey’s NBA betting history here (including futures). Follow my daily selections on BetStamp here.

Top NBA Picks for Today

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-130) – 0.5 unit
  • Brandon Miller OVER 16.5 Points (-110) – 0.5 unit
  • Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit
  • Warriors-Celtics-Thunder ML Parlay (-162)

Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-130) – 0.5 unit

Karl-Anthony Towns of the New York Knicks started the season with fewer 3-point attempts, averaging just 2.0 per game initially. However, he’s improved recently.

In his last two appearances, KAT has made 7 of 11 attempts from beyond the arc, shooting an impressive 64.7% for the season and attempting at least five 3-pointers in these games.

Facing a Houston team that allows a 37.4% success rate from 3-point range, ranking them 21st in the league, Towns is well-positioned to exceed his 3-point shooting prop. He’s already done so in three out of five games, including a perfect 2-for-2 performance.

Brandon Miller OVER 16.5 Points (-110) – 0.5 unit

After returning to action against Boston on Saturday and playing 31 minutes, scoring 16 points on a 6-for-18 shooting night, Brandon Miller is set to face the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday.

The Timberwolves, who are 18th in defensive rating, may struggle against Miller, especially considering his high usage rate. After averaging 17.3 points per game in his rookie season, Miller is a solid bet to outperform the modest point threshold, particularly if Minnesota’s Rudy Gobert is absent.

Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit

Denver Nuggets’ center Nikola Jokic is set for a rematch with the Toronto Raptors, against whom he recently scored 40 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in a thrilling overtime victory.

Averaging 12.3 rebounds per game this season, Jokic has had numerous opportunities (22.8 per game) for rebounds. Despite Toronto’s leading rebound percentage in the league, Jokic’s lower prop of 11.5, based on his recent 16-rebound performance, makes him a promising pick for Monday.

Warriors-Celtics-Thunder ML Parlay (-162)

Golden State Warriors

Despite Washington’s two victories this season, their overall performance, including substantial losses in three games, doesn’t inspire confidence, particularly against a strong team like Golden State, potentially bolstered by the return of Steph Curry.

With Washington’s recent losses and the absence of Kyle Kuzma, Golden State’s superior defensive and net ratings should play a crucial role tonight.

Boston Celtics

Facing Atlanta, who is coming off a back-to-back game after defeating New Orleans, Boston, without Jaylen Brown, remains a strong favorite. Boston’s elite three-point shooting should capitalize on Atlanta’s weak defensive standing.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Orlando’s performance without Paolo Banchero, evidenced by their recent scoring struggles, makes it hard to back them against a defensively superior Thunder team, which boasts the best defensive rating in the league.

Given Orlando’s poor record against the spread and their performances in recent losses, they appear to be an unattractive option, even as substantial underdogs.

With such a packed schedule, keep up with my Twitter (@peterdewey2) and BetStamp (@peter2dewey) for more plays.


Odds are subject to change periodically.

For gambling issues, call 1-800-GAMBLER for assistance.

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