Valencia CF hosts Levante UD on November 21, 2025 at Mestalla Stadium. The match, known as the Derby del Turia, sees the home side heavily favored despite their struggles. Valencia enters with 48.8% win probability, while Levante continues their difficult season in 19th place.
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🔥 Quick Facts:
- Valencia won 16 of 33 all-time meetings against Levante
- Levante have never won at Mestalla in La Liga history
- Valencia home record this season: 2W-2D-2L at Mestalla
- Levante sitting in 19th place with only 2 wins in 12 matches
- Average 2.70 goals per match in head-to-head history
The Clash at Mestalla on Friday
This is critical for Valencia. They’re searching for their first win after a grueling winless streak. The home ground offers real advantage—Valencia has dominated this fixture at Mestalla historically.
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But here’s the thing: both clubs are struggling. Valencia has just 2 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses in their opening matches. They drew 1-1 with Real Betis recently. Nothing is guaranteed, even at home.
Levante, meanwhile, arrived back in La Liga this season after promotion. They’re enduring their own difficulties, having won just twice and sitting in 19th position. Yet traveling fans have shown better form away from home.
Head-to-Head Statistics Tell a Story
| Statistic | Valencia | Levante | Draws |
|---|---|---|---|
| All-Time Wins | 16 | 6 | 11 |
| Last 6 Meetings | 50% win rate | Lower win % | Frequent |
| Mestalla Record | Won majority | 0 La Liga wins | Limited |
| Avg Goals/Match | 2.70 goals per match | ||
What stands out most? Levante have never secured a La Liga victory at Mestalla. That’s decades of futility. Valencia has won roughly 50% of their last 6 meetings. The historical advantage is undeniable.
Why the Statistics Favor Valencia
Yes, Valencia are struggling. Yet the home ground advantage cannot be ignored. Mestalla draws 49,430 fans to its stands. That atmosphere matters enormously.
Plus, Levante’s position is worse. They’re in 19th place, having won just 2 matches in 12 games. Valencia, though below expectations, possess better quality in the squad. Form can shift quickly.
According to betting analysis, Valencia are favored at 21/20 odds, translating to 48.8% win probability. This reflects the home advantage factor and historical dominance in the fixture.
What Could Go Wrong for Valencia?
- Form is temporary. Valencia’s winless streak means confidence is fragile.
- Levante showed they’re better away. They’ll fight hard on the road.
- Predictions vary wildly—some say 1-1 draw, others Valencia 2-1.
- Both teams need points badly. Desperation breeds upset potential.
- Derbies are unpredictable by nature.
What Will November 21, 2025 Bring?
History suggests Valencia should win. The 70% home advantage mentioned in betting circles reflects decades of data. Levante have never won a La Liga match at Mestalla—an extraordinary record.
But form matters. Valencia desperately need points. Levante will arrive with nothing to lose. The Derby del Turia always produces drama.
Most analysis points to a Valencia victory. Can they snap their winless streak? Will the Mestalla supporters finally push them over the line? That’s the real question Friday night.
Michael Brown is a seasoned sports journalist bringing years of experience covering professional athletics and sporting culture. With a keen eye for breaking stories and player dynamics, this veteran journalist delivers in-depth analysis and exclusive insights from the world’s biggest sporting events. His passion for the game shines through in every story, keeping fans connected to the action both on and off the field.