Niza faces Marseille with 52% odds favored for visitors in Ligue 1 derby

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By: Michael Brown

Marseille heads to Nice as favorites in a crucial Ligue 1 clash on Friday, Nov 21. Soccer analysts give the visitors roughly 52% odds to capture three points. The match kicks off at 2:45 PM EST at Allianz Riviera. Both sides carry injury concerns heading into this South of France derby.

🔥 Quick Facts:

  • Marseille sit 2nd place with 25 points from 12 games.
  • Nice occupy 9th place with just 17 points from 12 matches.
  • Marseille beat Brest 3-0 before the break. Angel Gomes and Mason Greenwood scored early.
  • Nice lost 2-1 to Metz most recently. They’ve dropped 3 consecutive games.
  • In their last 10 direct meetings, Nice hold a 5-2-3 record vs Marseille.

Current Form & Recent Results

Marseille enter the weekend riding serious momentum. They dropped just 1 loss in their last 4 games, and that defeat came in the Champions League at home against Atalanta. More importantly, all three of their Ligue 1 losses this season occurred on the road.

The visitors boast the league’s most dangerous attack, scoring 28 goals already. They also share the best defense with only 11 goals conceded. Thing is, their defensive prowess matters huge when they’re away from home.

Nice stumbled badly before the international break. They’ve lost three straight across all competitions. Manager Franck Haise‘s side needs this match desperately to break out of the funk.

Head-to-Head Statistics & Home Advantage

Historically, these clubs favor different outcomes. Nice sit unbeaten in their last five Ligue 1 home games, racking up four wins. That’s a solid foundation heading into Friday.

But Marseille don’t crumble away from home anymore. They’ve won 3 of their 7 away matches across all competitions this season. And when they play this fixture, results get conclusive fast—no middling performances.

Statistic Nice Marseille
Last 10 Record 5-2-3 3-2-5
Goals Scored (Last 10) 14 11
Clean Sheets (Last 10) 4 2
Current Season Points 17 pts (9th) 25 pts (2nd)
Home Record This Season 4-1-1 5-1-0

Injury Crisis & Team News

Nice face mounting personnel issues. Dante remains sidelined with a knee injury. So do Moïse Bombito (broken ankle) and Youssouf Ndayishimiy. Adding insult, Mohamed Abdelmonem can’t play either.

Marseille aren’t spared injury trouble. Facundo Medina sits out. Amine Gouiri and Hamed Traoré are absent too. Major doubt status surrounds Nayef Aguerd, Leonardo Balerdi, and Bilal Nadir—though Balerdi reportedly returned from a calf injury before the break.

Prediction & Betting Lines

Experts lean toward a Marseille victory. Sportskeeda predicts Nice 1-2 Marseille, backing the visitors to sneak a narrow win. Most tipsters suggest Marseille to win, listing them at approximately -106 on moneyline.

The over/under sits right around 2.75 goals. Three of the last four direct meetings produced under 2.5 goals, yet recent form suggests more attacking intent. Look for over 2.5 to carry real value here.

Question for fans: Will Nice‘s home form save them from a title-chasing Marseille side hunting their second straight Ligue 1 win?

Sources

  • Sportskeeda – Match prediction and betting analysis
  • OddsShark – Betting odds and head-to-head statistics
  • Bleacher Nation – Team form and moneyline favorites data

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