NFL standings 2025: Patriots and Broncos lead AFC race with 9-2 records

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By: Michael Brown

The Denver Broncos and New England Patriots are dominating the AFC with matching 9-2 records heading into Week 12. The Broncos lead the AFC West while the Patriots control the AFC East. Both teams have 97%+ playoff chances and are competing for top-seeding advantage. Young quarterbacks Bo Nix and Drake Maye are leading the way with stellar performances.

🔥 Quick Facts:

  • Denver Broncos and New England Patriots tied at 9-2 through 11 games
  • Patriots lead AFC East by 1.5 games over Buffalo Bills (7-4)
  • Broncos own AFC West with 7-2 record in close games
  • Drake Maye leads NFL in passing yards (2,836) with 71.9% completion
  • Indianapolis Colts (8-2) sit 3rd in AFC standings

What Happened: AFC Powers Emerge

The AFC race has crystallized around two impressive teams at the midway point. The Broncos shocked the NFL by upsetting the Kansas City Chiefs 22-19 in Week 11. That victory positioned Denver atop the conference standings.

Meanwhile, the Patriots have been equally dominant in their division. After beating the New York Jets 27-14 on Thursday night, New England extended their winning streak to 8 games. The Patriots currently hold the AFC East with a comfortable lead.

Both teams have benefited from young quarterback play. Drake Maye continues his historic rookie season, while Bo Nix has shown remarkable poise in clutch moments. The Broncos have won 7 of 9 one-score games, demonstrating exceptional late-game execution.

“The advanced stats shown here are updated through week 11 of the 2025 season.”

Pro Football Reference

Why This Matters: Playoff Seeding Battle

With 6 games remaining, both the Patriots and Broncos have established themselves as legitimate Super Bowl contenders. The AFC playoff picture is shaping up to be wide open.

The Patriots hold a tiebreaker advantage over Buffalo after beating them earlier this season. This cushion gives New England flexibility down the stretch. However, the Bills (7-3) remain dangerous and only one-and-a-half games back.

The Broncos face a slightly easier remaining schedule, with games against Washington, Las Vegas, Green Bay, Jacksonville, Kansas City, and the Chargers. Playing in the AFC West means every division game carries massive weight.

Both teams exceed 95% playoff probability entering Week 12. The real battle now centers on securing the No. 1 seed and an opening-round bye.

The Stats: Quarterback Excellence Drives Success

Both teams benefit from exceptional quarterback play. Drake Maye has been electric for New England. His 2,836 passing yards lead the entire NFL. His 71.9% completion percentage ranks second only to Detroit’s Jared Goff.

Bo Nix provides the Broncos with dynamic play from the quarterback position. Through 11 games, he has accumulated 2,421 passing yards with 18 touchdowns and only 8 interceptions. His 53.5 QBR ranks 19th in the league.

Quarterback Stats Drake Maye (Patriots) Bo Nix (Broncos)
Passing Yards 2,836 2,421
Completion % 71.9% TBA
Touchdowns TBA 18
Interceptions TBA 8

Both quarterbacks have earned recognition for their performances. Drake Maye was named to the 2025 Pro Bowl Games roster as a replacement for Josh Allen. His accuracy and mobility have impressed analysts across the league.

What To Watch For: Final Six Games

The remainder of the regular season will determine playoff seeding and first-round matchups. Here are key storylines:

  • Patriots-Bengals in Week 12, followed by home games versus critical divisional opponents
  • Broncos bye week in Week 12 provides rest before December stretch run
  • AFC East showdown between Patriots and Bills could determine division championship
  • Colts (8-2) remain in striking distance and could challenge for top-two seed
  • One-score-game mastery by Broncos key to maintaining AFC West lead

Can These Two Teams Meet in January?

The Patriots and Broncos are on a collision course toward the AFC Championship. Both teams have the talent, coaching, and quarterback play to sustain success. The question is whether they can maintain their excellence over the final stretch.

Denver’s ability to win close games suggests they thrive under pressure. New England’s offensive firepower, led by Maye’s accuracy, could prove difficult to stop in January. These matchups between AFC East and AFC West powerhouses wouldn’t be possible without extraordinary quarterback performance.

With 97-98% playoff odds, both teams are essentially locked into the postseason. Now they must prove they belong in Super Bowl LIX.

Sources

  • NFL.com – Official standings and playoff probabilities
  • ESPN – Drake Maye statistics and game logs
  • Pro Football Reference – Bo Nix seasonal performance data

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