NBA Best Bets & Predictions: Hartenstein Props, Knicks vs Mavs, Rockets vs Sixers Highlights!

With nearly every NBA team hitting the court this Wednesday, the night before Thanksgiving, it seems fitting to engage in some betting action.

Following a successful 2-1 betting day highlighted by a winning play on Jimmy Butler, my season gains now exceed 2.5 units, marking a strong recovery from a slow start earlier in October and November.

I’ve selected four specific bets for today’s games, including three player prop bets, aiming to enter the holiday with positive momentum.

Current Season Betting Overview

• 2024-25 season record: 61-56-1 (+2.54 units)
• Cumulative record (since 2021-22 season): 1071-1001-23 (+40.64 units)

Access Peter Dewey’s complete NBA betting history here, including futures. Follow my daily betting picks on BetStamp here.

Top NBA Picks for Today

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

• Isaiah Hartenstein OVER 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110) – 0.5 unit
• Keegan Murray OVER 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit
• Josh Hart OVER 8.5 Rebounds (-110) – 0.5 unit
• New York Knicks-Houston Rockets Moneyline Parlay (+138)

Isaiah Hartenstein Betting on OVER 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110) – 0.5 unit

Since his return to the Oklahoma City Thunder, center Isaiah Hartenstein has been a dominant force, surpassing the 25.5 total in points, rebounds, and assists in his first two games of the season:

• Against Portland: 13 points, 14 rebounds, 3 assists – 30 PRA
• At Sacramento: 19 points, 10 rebounds, 4 assists – 33 PRA

Averaging 18.0 rebound opportunities per game, Hartenstein’s scoring has been equally impressive, with an average of 16 points in these games. He took 12 and 15 shots respectively in these matchups.

Starting against Sacramento, he’s well-positioned to exceed this mark again, especially against the Golden State Warriors who rank 26th in the league in opponent rebounds per game and are noticeably undersized in the center position.

Given his size advantage, another double-double performance is anticipated for Hartenstein tonight.

Keegan Murray Betting on OVER 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit

With DeMar DeRozan absent for Wednesday’s game, Sacramento Kings’ Keegan Murray is expected to take on a larger role. Although he’s surpassed 22.5 points and rebounds in only eight of his 18 games this season, he has shown strong rebounding skills, averaging 8.2 rebounds per game.

In DeRozan’s absence, Murray’s shot attempts are likely to increase, having already taken 14 or more shots in three of his last six games. Facing the Minnesota Timberwolves, who are defensively weaker this season and are playing the second night of a back-to-back, presents a favorable matchup for Murray as a key offensive option for the Kings.

Josh Hart Betting on OVER 8.5 Rebounds (-110) – 0.5 unit

New York Knicks’ Josh Hart, despite missing the 8.5 rebound mark in three of his last four games, still averages 8.6 rebounds per game this season as he heads into Wednesday’s game in Dallas.

Known for his exceptional rebounding skills, particularly as a guard, Hart has surpassed 8.5 rebounds in nine of his 17 games this season, averaging 14.7 rebound opportunities per game. The matchup against Dallas, which ranks 17th in rebounding percentage and 21st in opponent rebounds per game, should favor Hart’s chances to excel tonight.

New York Knicks-Houston Rockets Moneyline Parlay (+138)

New York Knicks (-166)

The Knicks, coming off a decisive victory over the Denver Nuggets, are poised to conclude their four-game West Coast tour with a win against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Despite their historical struggles in Dallas during the Jalen Brunson era, the Knicks’ slight undervaluation as four-point favorites, coupled with Dallas’ injury concerns, positions them well for a victory.

Dallas is currently dealing with multiple key player injuries, including Luka Doncic, Dereck Lively II, Klay Thompson, and Quentin Grimes, all listed as questionable for Wednesday’s game. The Knicks and Mavericks, both among the top-10 in net rating, face off in a matchup where the absence of Luka could tilt the odds in favor of New York.

Houston Rockets (-205)

The Rockets face a challenging back-to-back scenario, having defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves just the night before. Despite the quick turnaround and an away game against the Philadelphia 76ers, the absence of Joel Embiid and Paul George from the Sixers’ lineup gives Houston a significant advantage.

With a strong 13-6 overall record and an 8-2 run in their last 10 games, the Rockets are positioned to capitalize on the struggling Sixers, who rank low in both offensive rating and net rating this season.

Given Philadelphia’s poor start to the season, betting on a Houston victory seems a prudent choice.

Odds are periodically updated and subject to change.

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