New ACEA data: Tesla down 40% in Europe as BYD registrations surge 225%

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By: Jessica Morrison

Need to know

Key facts

  • ACEA data: Tesla registrations 8,837 in Europe, July 2025, -40% YoY.
  • BYD registrations 13,503 in Europe, July 2025, +225% YoY.
  • Overall European BEV sales rose; Tesla marked a 7th straight monthly decline.
  • Analysts cite competition, aging lineup, and brand headwinds for Tesla.
  • Chinese brands’ share topped 5%+ in H1 2025, a record, per JATO.
  • Tesla targets “volume production” of a lower-cost EV in H2 2025.

Why this story matters now

Europe just sent a clear signal: momentum is shifting toward Chinese EV makers, with BYD’s +225% registrations highlighting how fast competition is scaling. For Tesla, a -40% July and seven consecutive monthly declines underscore product-cycle pressure and reputation risks noted by analysts. Because Europe often sets pricing and technology benchmarks for global automakers, today’s swing could ripple into U.S. strategy, incentives, and investor expectations heading into late 2025 and 2026.

The data that reveals the trend

Tesla’s 8,837 July registrations in Europe, down 40% YoY, came as overall BEV sales rose—evidence its challenges aren’t purely macro. BYD’s 13,503 registrations, up 225%, reflect aggressive launches and retail expansion across the continent. JATO reports Chinese brands exceeded 5% market share in H1 2025, a record high. It’s not only Tesla feeling heat: Stellantis, Hyundai, Toyota, and Suzuki also saw YoY July declines, while Volkswagen, BMW, and Renault posted gains. Analysts additionally point to Tesla’s aging lineup and mixed reception to recent launches.

The numbers that change the game

KPI dashboard

Make/Metric Value Market/Date Change/Impact
Tesla registrations 8,837 units Europe, Jul 2025 -40% YoY
BYD registrations 13,503 units Europe, Jul 2025 +225% YoY
Chinese brand share 5%+ market Europe, H1 2025 Record high (JATO)
Tesla monthly trend 7 months down Through Jul 2025 Sustained sales pressure

Summary: BYD surges as Tesla’s multi-month slide intensifies in Europe.

Divided opinions: controversy heats up

Tesla’s slump isn’t just about specs. Analysts cited “reputational damage” tied to Elon Musk’s incendiary rhetoric and political alignment, suggesting brand perception now weighs on demand alongside product age and pricing. Kepler Cheuvreux’s Thomas Besson noted Tesla has emphasized AI, robotics, and autonomy to investors while the current vehicle lineup ages faster than rivals—and recent halo launches haven’t reset the narrative. Supporters argue autonomy and software could rekindle growth; skeptics see immediate execution gaps in Europe’s most competitive EV battleground.

Why 2026 could shift the balance

Tesla says a lower-cost model is targeting “volume production” in H2 2025, positioning 2026 as the first full year to rebuild share if ramp and pricing land. BYD’s rapid European rollout suggests a tougher pricing environment ahead, potentially compressing margins. If Tesla executes a compelling affordable EV with timely updates, the sales curve could bend back; if delays or pricing disappoint, Europe’s new order—where Chinese brands pass 5% share—may entrench.

What buyers should know right now

U.S. shoppers watching from afar should expect continued price skirmishes as global players jockey for share, potentially spilling into American incentives and trims. If Tesla’s lower-cost model arrives on schedule in H2 2025, 2026 could bring more choice at lower prices. BYD’s U.S. passenger-car presence remains limited, but its European surge signals intensifying competition that can influence features, financing, and value across the market.

Sources

  • https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/28/tesla-europe-sales-plunge-40percent-chinese-ev-rival-byd-up-225percent.html
  • https://www.theverge.com/news/767280/tesla-down-byd-way-up

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