Another story from ESPN Insider, that projects the win totals for the entire Western Conference.
This was taken from this link: http://insider.espn....erence-team-nba
"The transactions are still trickling in, but barring an unforeseen blockbuster, we can just about put a wrap on our offseason transactions. Using NBAPET, my system for projecting, evaluating and tracking the league, I've entered all transactions through the weekend and created a wins forecast for every team.
I've also compared the wins forecast to last season's total of Pythagorean wins per 82 games for each team, which is the record each team should have had based on its point differential. This gives us an idea how teams have moved up and down the NBA ladder since the Heat wrapped up the championship a couple of months ago."
1. OKC Thunder- 57.9 Wins.
2. LA Lakers- 54.8
3. Denver Nuggets- 51.1
4. Minnesota Timberwolves- 51
5. San Antonio Spurs- 50.7
6. LA Clippers- 49.1
7. Utah Jazz- 42.9
8. Memphis Grizzlies- 42.2
9. Dallas Mavericks- 38.2
10. Golden State Warriors- 34.7
11. Sacramento- 34.1
12. New Orleans Hornets- 33.2
13. Portland Trailblazers- 33.1
14. Houston Rockets- 29.4 --See bold for the information attained from the link
15. Phoenix Suns- 27.8
The Rockets cleared the decks for a run at Howard, and once that didn't work out, they were left with the next-best thing for a team trying to escape the middle: flexibility. Houston projects as the league's worst offensive team, one that will get an inordinate amount of its scoring from a starting backcourt of Jeremy Lin and Kevin Martin. In that sense, this Rockets squad harkens to some of the lesser Rudy Tomjanovich teams that were led by the duo of Steve Francis and Cuttino Mobley.
I can agree with the top end of this list, not necessarily on the win totals, but the teams alone. The bottom end is the area I have trouble with, mainly with the Suns. They had a tough loss in Steve Nash, but replaced him with Dragic, as well as taking Scola on. With Gortat at the 5, and Beasley/Dudley sharing time at the 3 their only bad weakness is at SG with Wes Johnson, and they could be much worse off than him. I don't think theyre a deep playoff team, but I see them being a contender for a playoff spot certainly.
With our projection at roughly 30, I am pleased. Noting that the Eastern Conference only has TWO teams worse than us(in projections) with Orlando(29.2) and Charlotte(15.7) that would seal us in for a great chance at a top pick.
Here is the link to the Eastern Conference's projections: http://insider.espn....win-projections and yes Miami is on top, with 60.5 Wins.
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[ESPN] Projecting This Season's Win Total
Started by blakecouey, Aug 24 2012 09:22 PM
8 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 24 August 2012 - 09:22 PM
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#2
Posted 25 August 2012 - 11:01 PM
OK, I really, really don't understand why ESPN keeps rating Phoenix so low. Based on the personnel on that team they look much more like a late lottery, high-30s win team this year. And Sacramento at 34.1? Somehow I doubt it.
But then again, all of those numbers look too squashed towards the middle. There's going to be at least one team sub-25 (and it's quite possibly going to be us).
ST
But then again, all of those numbers look too squashed towards the middle. There's going to be at least one team sub-25 (and it's quite possibly going to be us).
ST
#3
Posted 26 August 2012 - 02:51 AM
Totally agree. The middle will be competitive but not quite as packed as these projections show. I do believe though that our projected wins is fairly close to reality.
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#4
Posted 26 August 2012 - 05:28 AM
I think we will be much lower than that, maybe in the 25 win area.
DD
DD
#5
Posted 26 August 2012 - 06:35 AM
I agree and I am thinking 24 to 27 wins. I expect a few bad losing streaks and a lot of close losses as well as blow outs. Also, I do not think the Suns will be very good.
#6
Posted 26 August 2012 - 10:29 AM
I agree with others that the Suns will be better than ESPN gives them credit for. Other than that, I can't refute any of the other predictions. Since I don't have ESPN insider, can someone tell me what they are projecting Toronto's win total to be? I'm guessing they are around the 7-10th worst team.
#7
Posted 26 August 2012 - 03:07 PM
Dan G, on 26 August 2012 - 10:29 AM, said:
I agree with others that the Suns will be better than ESPN gives them credit for. Other than that, I can't refute any of the other predictions. Since I don't have ESPN insider, can someone tell me what they are projecting Toronto's win total to be? I'm guessing they are around the 7-10th worst team.
Toronto is projected 9th in the east, with 41.8 wins. At 8th is Philly with 42.7 and at 10th is Milwaukee at 39.7. I think its a bit high of a projection for Toronto, I'd give them about 35 wins.
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#8
Posted 26 August 2012 - 06:54 PM
I think the Rockets are particularly hard to project this year--so many questions to answer. Will Lin deliver 18 pts/8 assists on a consistent basis? Will Martin bounce back and a strong (contract-driven) year? Will Paterson come back from the ankle injury? How will Asik's offense game develop, and will he have the conditioning to play 35 minutes a night? Will Chandler Parsons develop into an all-around offensive threat? And, of course, will one or two of the rookies really standout in a way that Parsons did last year. I think 25 wins is eminently reasonable projection, but I wouldn't be shocked if Rockets win 40.
#9
Posted 26 August 2012 - 06:56 PM
Wow, Philly as 8th in the East? Sheesh, it's like they did these rankings before the Howard trade because I would have them higher than the 8th seed in the East for sure unless Bynum gets injured, which is always a possibility I guess. As far as Toronto is concerned, I can get on board with 35 wins.
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