2 replies to this topic

[Losthief]

Pretty cool chart from fivethirtyeight.com about the nba and winning percentage for a game by point in the game:

 

http://fivethirtyeig...oss-every-game/

(click for interactive chart)

 

(you can select rockets (or any team) from the drop down menu to highlight them).

 

Lines up with my personal observations of good play following half-time (sign of good coaching adjustments?) and with the lack of execution in the 4th quarter at times, although the spike at the very end of games I think has to do with a certain bearded fella. Also we rest harden at the beginning/middle of the 4th most games so a drop off there isn't too surprising if still a bit disappointing.

 

(if you don't want to click link and want to look around the black thing, rockets are the 3rd line (1st red one) in the 3rd/4th quarter). 

 

p.s. preemptively im aware of the fact clicking it doesn't load the interactive version (cause i took the code off the page info) but the interactive one is available via the link above.

Edited by Losthief, 24 March 2015 - 05:39 AM.

[adonneus]

Very fun chart!

 

The Bulls and Suns have interesting lines... Probably makes them pretty fun teams to watch. For the first three quarters, you can't tell who has the upper hand, until they start to pull away in the fourth, usually to win... except for the Suns. That downward spike for them at the end is all a Suns fan sees when they look at this chart, I presume.

 

The Heat's line, on the other hand, suggests they are even harder to watch. I don't watch too many games played by these teams to know if it matches the eye test.

[majik19]

You know what scares me about this chart? If we play Portland or Memphis in the 1st round, they peak in the 4th quarter when we slump. Dallas has a similar trend as well. 

 

Something else that is interesting - the Warriors and Hawks look downright scary, but the Cavaliers do not. 

 

It'll be interesting to see how these change if we just look at the playoffs.