I think Lin will still be in Houston but somehow will end up being a backup. This is on the assumption that Mchale runs the team.
Mchale has a short leash on Lin, and it seems like despite him shooting 48%fg and 49% on 3pt in the past 30days, and his turnovers has dipped to 2.5 per game in february. Somehow he doesn't earn Mchale's trust to play through rough patches in games. One bad turnover or decision it feels like Lin will get an earful from Mchale or get taken out.
Lin hasn't played like an allstar but he has been working on his shots and turnovers, and improved througout the seasons, but it seems like everytime a reporter asks Mchale about Lin. At first, when McHale would downplay all the Linsanity questions from interviewers, I thought he was trying to protect Lin from all the overblown expectations from the media for how Lin will do in Houston.
And I still think that’s a part of it. But I’ve also come to realize that it’s because McHale is really annoyed with the media for continuing
to talk about Linsanity. And I think this annoyances sometimes carries over to when interviewers ask him any questions about Lin–even if it has
nothing to do with Linsanity. I think whatever attention that Lin gets from the media annoys McHale. This is why McHale doesn’t really mention
Lin in his interviews unless he really feels the need to. For example, in McHale’s post game interview for the Warriors game (in Houston), a
reporter asked McHale about Lin’s performance specifically and McHale flat out didn’t answer the question and went on to talk about the team
and didn’t say anything about Lin. This is the game that Lin scored 28points or so and had, perhaps, his best offensive game of the season! I
thought that was pretty telling that McHale wouldn’t give Lin props. McHale just sees Lin as a player who was over-hyped in a big market.
McHale is clearly a Lin Doubter and I think he felt like Lin was forced upon him by Les and wasn't his choice. I think he is somewhat annoyed that we didn't keep dragic. Lin hasn't gotten the benefit of the doubt, its like 1 strike and you are out.
Beverley has shown glimpses but he doesn't really iniate a lot of the offense on half court, and I don't think he can keep that intensity if you play 30-35 minutes a game as a starter. He is a perfect backup, and if he is playing well I actually don't mind him closing games if he is hot and Lin has an off night. Also keep in mind that he is usually playing against the backups so it will be harder for him to defend eg. Paul or Westbrook for extended minutes with that kind of intensity. BUt in a close game he is the best option if we need defence.
I think Lin will end up being a backup unless Mchale gets fired which I don't think will happen because if we make the playoffs, you can't really fire him, but to be honest, I think its the players that done it, he doesn't really coach. We don't have set plays, and our defense hasn't improved. The players are the reaason we have done well. I don't think Mchale is a great coach, he hasn't been able to improve our defense, I almost think we are getting worse. But its hard to fire a coach that has a team that was predicted to finish in the lotteries.
Just stating that fact that for Lin to be succesful he will need to win Mchales trust, which is a tall task imo, and he won't be traded unless its in the 3rd year and teams want the expiring contract. Most teams won't be high on him