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@  jorgeaam : (25 October 2015 - 06:41 PM) RIP Flip Saunders, sad day for basketball
@  YaoMan : (23 October 2015 - 04:49 PM) Zach Lowe seems to think the Rox are the biggest threat to GSW: http://grantland.com...-16-nba-season/
@  cointurtlemoose : (23 October 2015 - 04:36 PM) Hey if yall want a good podcast to listen to, find the Dunc'd On Basketball Podcast on Itunes, Rahat just did a Rockets preview with the host.
@  majik19 : (13 October 2015 - 09:09 PM) Apparently we claimed Arsalan Kazemi off waivers from the Hawks today... yet another undersized (6'7") power forward for Morey's cupboard.
@  Mario Peña : (10 October 2015 - 01:12 PM) If your part if the Red94 Fantasy Basketball League check the thread to vote for the date and time for the draft event. Thanks y'all!
@  jorgeaam : (07 October 2015 - 08:47 PM) Guys we need 1 more owner for the Red94 fantasy league, if interested please comment on the post in the fantasy basketball thread
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 06:50 PM) Kobe ranked one spot higher than Ariza? Is this based on legacy or...??
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 04:13 PM) It was hard to keep up with both the Astros and Rockets at the same time. Should be interesting on Thursday with the Texans and Astros on simultaneously.
@  Mario Peña : (07 October 2015 - 04:09 PM) It was fun to have the Rockets on last night! Right now I'm watching the Celtics versus Milan and Alessandro Gentile is impressive.
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Well, thinking twice about it, I'd rather have him score less and have the team as a whole do better. Lawson should take a lot of his load off
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Loving that, hope he hits 30 PPG this year
@  thejohnnygold : (06 October 2015 - 06:15 PM) Someone is feeling confident :) : LINK
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 05:54 PM) 10 Teams done, will need 2 more
@  Mario Peña : (06 October 2015 - 02:35 PM) Alright guys, if anyone is interested in joining the Red94 fantasy basketball league we could use one more player to get us to 10 teams (or three to get us to 12 teams). Just check the thread in the Fantasy Basketball forum. Thanks!
@  thejohnnygold : (05 October 2015 - 06:23 PM) I use leaguepass here in Austin with no problems...
@  skip 2 my lou : (05 October 2015 - 03:14 PM) Hey fellas, I'm a rocket fan but I live in the heart of Dallas. Does anybody know if I buy NBA Leaguepass if it's too close to be subject to blackouts?
@  Losthief : (02 October 2015 - 02:24 AM) tks jg
@  thejohnnygold : (29 September 2015 - 05:16 AM) FYI, it was media day today. Interviews are up at NBA.com
@  slick shoes : (23 September 2015 - 06:37 PM) kind of late in the day but NBATV is broadcasting classis Rockets games all day today.
@  SadLakerFan : (16 September 2015 - 04:37 AM) Man, as a Laker fan, I'm learning how little you care about the off season when your team sucks. Anyway, a quick moment to remember Moses. Still remember watching the 81 team as a kid - losing record, NBA Finals. I would have cried w/joy if they could have beaten the Celtics.


Contested shots and the Houston Rockets

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#1 Red94


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    Posted 05 December 2014 - 04:04 AM

    New post: Contested shots and the Houston Rockets
    By: Richard Li

    Over the past two seasons, 62% of all shots were contested. Of these shots, 37% go in. Seventy-seven percent of Kobe Bryant's shots were contested, highest in the league. I'm going to visualize Kobe's "madness" by plotting how many contested shots he takes (hint, a lot) against how many contested shots he makes. I'm also going to compare his performance in these respective categories to other players' in order to identify who else takes a lot of contested shots and who makes more of them.


    Please visit Vantage Sports to see the full analysis.


    How do the Houston Rockets stack up with respect to contested shots?


    Immediately apparent is that the Rockets were less efficient at making contested shots than the rest of the NBA, with no player being above average. Some of this certainly is related to the Rockets' high-volume three-point shooting. After all, 3PFG% is inherently lower than overall FG%, so it follows contested 3PFG% would be even lower. Nevertheless, while this might explain some of the lackluster contested shooting from the perimeter players, it does not explain Dwight Howard's.


    Several big men were to the right of the Contested+ FG% line, but Howard is not one of them even though he is more skilled. This suggests that Howard's contested shots might be more difficult than other big men's. Two weeks ago, I wrote about how Howard's insistence on posting up might be detrimental to the team's offense. The contested shots data supports the notion that, whatever Howard is doing, it's not very efficient compared to what many other big men are doing. Basically, a defended hook shot is likely to go in than a defended dunk.


    The good news is that the Rockets did not take very many contested shots. Only James Harden was above average in Contested Frequency%, and his efficiency is close to average. If you're not going to be good at making contested shots, then it makes sense that you try not to take very many. Compared to a team like Brooklyn, the Rockets are miles ahead in terms of exercising shot discretion.


    Since this data is from previous years, not much can be said about this year's Houston Rockets, especially since half the players who appear on the graph are no longer on the team. Once more games have been played, I'll revisit this topic with more current data.

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    #2 NorEastern


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      Posted 05 December 2014 - 04:55 AM

      The Rockets offense is geared around not taking contested shots. What is the only shot worse in the NBA than a contested mid-ranged shot? The contested three point shot. The physics of offensive spacing says that a greater percentage of three point shots will be uncontested compared with mid-ranged shots. At 16 feet the defense has to cover 401 square feet. At 23 feet the defense has to cover 830 square feet. If anyone on the Rockets are taking contested shots except at the rim or Harden, they should be benched. I have not looked at the stats, but I would be very surprised if many teams take fewer contested shots than the Rockets. However, given the percentage of shots the Rockets take at the rim, perhaps that is not true. I assume you know.

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      #3 thejohnnygold



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      Posted 05 December 2014 - 05:52 PM

      I like the thought process and do think near the end of this season the numbers should be very interesting.  I'm also curious what constitutes a "contested shot".


      Also, for those who recall and were confused about the 2016Champions issue that recently transpired--this is the correct way to handle posts and  articles.  The linked content is unique as is the content posted here.  Thanks, Richard.  I don't always agree with your views, but I always enjoy reading your posts.

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