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[redfaithful]

Hollinger playoff odds finally aligns with what ST is predicting for very long time now: Rockets expected to finish 55-27.

 

LINK

[Sir Thursday]

Last update of the season! With 5 games to go, it looks like the Rockets are on track to beat the pace I've been predicting for them all year. They've been winning a lot of games recently and it means that they only have to go 2-3 to meet the 55 win total I've been predicting for a while. With the new results, it now looks like they might even be able to get to 57-25, assuming they can split with the Spurs and run the table the rest of the way. Not trivial, but certainly within their capabilities. 57 wins would guarantee them the 2nd seed unless Memphis can win all 5 of its remaining games...not a bad way to end the regular season!

 

ST

 

Current Standings:

 

 
1. Golden State (63-15)

2. Houston (53-24)

3. Memphis (52-25)

4. Portland (50-27)

5. LA Clippers (53-26)

6. San Antonio (52-26)

7. Dallas (46-31)

8. New Orleans (42-35)

 

Since Last Update:

 

vs Denver (W)

vs Phoenix (L)

@ Indiana (W)

@ New Orleans (W)

vs Minnesota (W) 3.7

@ Washington (W)

@ Toronto (L)

vs Sacramento (W)

@ Dallas (W)

@ Oklahoma City (W)

 

Projected Score: 6.8 wins

Actual Score: 8 wins

 

Next 5 Games:

 

@ San Antonio (52-26)

vs San Antonio (52-26)

vs New Orleans (42-35)

@ Charlotte (33-44)

vs Utah (35-42)

 

Projected Score: 3.2 wins

 

Full Schedule Breakdown:

 

Gimmes (90% wins):

 

Boston x2 (2-0)

LA Lakers x3 (2-1)

Orlando x2 (1-1)

Minnesota x4 (4-0)

New York x2 (2-0)

Philadelphia x2 (2-0)

Sacramento x3 (3-0)

 

Current: 16-2

Expected: 16-2

 

Heavy Favourites (80% wins):

 

Brooklyn x2 (2-0)

Charlotte x2 (1-0)

Denver x4 (4-0)

Detroit x2 (1-1)

Indiana x2 (2-0)

Milwaukee x2 (2-0)

Utah x4 (2-1)

 

Current: 14-2

Expected: 16-2

 

Favourites (60% wins):

 

Miami x2 (2-0)

New Orleans x4 (1-2)

Phoenix x4 (3-1)

Toronto x2 (2-0)

Washington x2 (0-2)

 

Current: 8-5

Expected: 9-5

 

Even (50% wins):

 

Atlanta x2 (0-2)

Chicago x2 (1-1)

Cleveland x2 (2-0)

Dallas x4 (3-1)

Oklahoma City x3 (3-0)

Portland x3 (1-2)

San Antonio x4 (1-1)

 

Current: 11-7

Expected: 12-8

 

Underdogs (30% wins):

 

Golden State x4 (0-4)

LA Clippers x4 (2-2)

Memphis x4 (2-2)

 

Current: 4-8

Expected: 4-8

 

Current Record: 53-24

Predicted Record: 57-25

 

Hollinger Playoff Odds: 56-26

Basketball Reference Forecast: 55.8-26.2

[redfaithful]

Looking back at the posts in this thread through the season, all predictions were within 1 win from the final 56-26 mark, except for the first prediction that was 2 wins off (54). Considering all the injuries I think it's quite amazing. Wonder where I can bet next year based on this...