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@  Mario Peña : (10 October 2015 - 01:12 PM) If your part if the Red94 Fantasy Basketball League check the thread to vote for the date and time for the draft event. Thanks y'all!
@  jorgeaam : (07 October 2015 - 08:47 PM) Guys we need 1 more owner for the Red94 fantasy league, if interested please comment on the post in the fantasy basketball thread
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 06:50 PM) Kobe ranked one spot higher than Ariza? Is this based on legacy or...??
@  slick shoes : (07 October 2015 - 04:13 PM) It was hard to keep up with both the Astros and Rockets at the same time. Should be interesting on Thursday with the Texans and Astros on simultaneously.
@  Mario Peña : (07 October 2015 - 04:09 PM) It was fun to have the Rockets on last night! Right now I'm watching the Celtics versus Milan and Alessandro Gentile is impressive.
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Well, thinking twice about it, I'd rather have him score less and have the team as a whole do better. Lawson should take a lot of his load off
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 07:47 PM) Loving that, hope he hits 30 PPG this year
@  thejohnnygold : (06 October 2015 - 06:15 PM) Someone is feeling confident :) : LINK
@  jorgeaam : (06 October 2015 - 05:54 PM) 10 Teams done, will need 2 more
@  Mario Peña : (06 October 2015 - 02:35 PM) Alright guys, if anyone is interested in joining the Red94 fantasy basketball league we could use one more player to get us to 10 teams (or three to get us to 12 teams). Just check the thread in the Fantasy Basketball forum. Thanks!
@  thejohnnygold : (05 October 2015 - 06:23 PM) I use leaguepass here in Austin with no problems...
@  skip 2 my lou : (05 October 2015 - 03:14 PM) Hey fellas, I'm a rocket fan but I live in the heart of Dallas. Does anybody know if I buy NBA Leaguepass if it's too close to be subject to blackouts?
@  Losthief : (02 October 2015 - 02:24 AM) tks jg
@  thejohnnygold : (29 September 2015 - 05:16 AM) FYI, it was media day today. Interviews are up at NBA.com
@  slick shoes : (23 September 2015 - 06:37 PM) kind of late in the day but NBATV is broadcasting classis Rockets games all day today.
@  SadLakerFan : (16 September 2015 - 04:37 AM) Man, as a Laker fan, I'm learning how little you care about the off season when your team sucks. Anyway, a quick moment to remember Moses. Still remember watching the 81 team as a kid - losing record, NBA Finals. I would have cried w/joy if they could have beaten the Celtics.
@  jorgeaam : (15 September 2015 - 08:30 PM) http://bleacherrepor...ist-after-crash
@  jorgeaam : (15 September 2015 - 08:30 PM) So to celebrate his new contract, Montrezl Harrell saved someone's life on monday
@  thejohnnygold : (14 September 2015 - 04:36 PM) A good article from Blinebury talking about when Hakeem and Moses used to play in the park. LINK
@  rockets best... : (14 September 2015 - 02:29 AM) I agree totally. I got to watch his Rocket days and the man was a hell of a player. BIG MO R.I.P.


Surprising rebound success for Rockets

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#1 bob schmidt

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Posted 15 February 2012 - 05:37 PM

I noticed this today, and found it interesting. http://www.basketbal...pct#stats::none

Within the top 20 rebounding lineups in the NBA, Houston has two entries including a tie for the best rebounding lineup. Surprisingly, Chase Budinger is part of both best rebounding lineups. Missing from the lineup is Parsons. Seems ironic that heis missing since our reason for starting him is for rebounding and defense.

This leads me to wonder why Bud does not play more predictable minutes on a nightly basis. He ranks (by PER) among the top 6 SF in the western conference according to Hollinger, has shown improved defensive play this year, yet is not necessarily a rotation player. In addition, his shot efficiency is the best on the team.

At some point, seems to me that a player might get discouraged and would hate to see Bud become a mis-managed asset. Can anyone explain this to me?
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#2 Sir Thursday

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Posted 16 February 2012 - 01:41 PM

If you look a little lower down the list, you'll see that the starting lineup is #22 on that list with a +9% rebounding rate. I can think of a few plausible explanations for this:

- Small sample size: We've only seen 71 minutes with that lineup in comparison to 296 minutes with the starters. 71 minutes is an average less than 3 minutes a game, so this lineup isn't seeing action together a lot - a few games where it was working well and it would have scored highly.

- Matchup considerations: the starters will be playing against the other team's best players a lot of the time. It's usually going to be harder to secure rebounds against better players.

- Floor stretching: because Budinger is a better 3 point shooter than Parsons, it limits the amount defenders can help off him. This opens up the paint a bit and makes it easier for the bigs to get to work on the offensive glass.

- Overconfidence from the other team: This is a speculative one - Budinger has a reputation as a bad defender, so when other teams see him on the floor they are more likely to try to go for isos and the like. But those are usually low percentage shots, and as such there are more rebounds available. Plus, because there is less ball movement, it is easier for the other defenders to get in position for the rebound.

- Maybe Parsons isn't that good at rebounding? When he crashes the offensive glass he does it spectacularly, but I don't remember him pulling that off recently.

As far as why the line up is seeing less time, it's important to remember that rebounding statistics are inextricably linked to shooting percentages. There are only going to be offensive boards available if you miss shots, for example. Although I know that some of the regression analysis types have drawn strong correlations between rebounding and winning (don't the Wages of Wins guys believe in that pretty strongly?). I'd be interested to see what the correlation is like between lineups with good rebounding rates and lineups with good +/- statistics. Dunno how easy it is to get that out of basketball reference though.

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#3 Rahat Huq

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    Posted 17 February 2012 - 03:23 PM

    Interesting data, Bob. But I don't think Parsons is really that great of a rebounder. I'd describe him more as 'active' in that he provides a lot of energy, tipping loose balls on the offensive glass etc. But as a pure rebounder, he's not much yet.

    Also, as Sir Thursday stated, some of it might have to do with the lineups and opponents.
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    #4 Favian Pua

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      Posted 22 February 2012 - 02:31 PM

      I fully agree with Rahat here in the sense that Parsons has not yet fully developed a nose for the ball. We don't know if he can or ever will on a consistent basis but with Parsons' athleticism, it would be a shame if he doesn't crash the boards as much as we envision him to a year or two from now. In all honesty, Scola being in that five-man list at #2 is the biggest surprise.
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