In part 1, we plotted players’ selfishness against their eFG%. Now we’re going to turn the four-quadrant chart into a ranked list. The two measures we are focusing on are touches per pass (TPP, our measure of selfishness) and selfishness efficiency (SE, a combination of how selfish a player is and how well he shoots).
Because SE essentially forces the chart, which has data in all directions, into a straight line, some sacrifices have to be made. As mentioned in part 1, because SE uses the standard deviation of eFG%, it is great for analyzing the extremes (players who shoot really well and really poorly). However, players who are average shooters will have an eFG% stand deviation close to zero, and thus their SE will also be close to zero, or basically average.
With that being said, the results of TPP and SE are displayed in the following tables (click for a full-size interactive version).
Posted in essays Tagged stats
Indeed, a quick glance at the schedule paints the full picture. Everyone in Houston can now watch, for the most part. Rejoice. Of course, not so coincidentally, that also means that the team is in for some pretty brutal upcoming matchups as they square off against Portland, Golden State, Indiana, Oklahoma City, and San Antonio, all during this stretch. Thursday’s game at Portland is intriguing primarily because it represents a rematch of a win which–at the time–I thought nothing of, ready to throw my remote at the screen had they lost; wasn’t quite expecting the Blazers to run away with the West’s best record.
Given the schizophrenic nature of this team, they could just as easily go 6-6 during this stretch as 10-2, though I do expect that number to be closer to the latter if health stays on our side and Jeremy Lin comes back as expected. On the 15th, the Rockets will get a look at Rudy Gay as fate and destiny collided yesterday. Against Chicago, Memphis, and New Orleans, the Rockets will have the benefit–to the detriment of fans everywhere–of taking on teams playing without their best players. And on the 29th, they’ll return to Oklahoma City where they’ll get a chance to see if the addition of Dwight Howard helped close the gap between themselves and a team that was on its way to pummeling them before an unfortunate injury. And lastly, the December 15th, 18th, and 20th trio of games each could represent the team’s first playing without center Omer Asik, we are told via the trade winds….except that the team has been without him both physically and mentally for pretty much the entire year. Hmm.
Posted in musings Tagged schedule
Every year, the Houston Rockets turn out to be deeper than they looked. Whether the bench depth is Jordan Hill, Chuck Hayes, Kyle Lowry or Courtney Lee, throughout Daryl Morey’s reign as general manager, the Rockets always seem to find hidden gems. Terrence Jones may be the rightful recipient of praise right now, but he’s not the biggest rescue project of the year. That distinction belongs to Omri Casspi, a man who looked close to sliding out of the league just last season. In Casspi, we get a glimpse of why this seems to happen every year.
The most important point to make is that Omri Casspi is much better this season. The sample size is a mere twenty games, but it’s clear that something is different. He’s shooting 7% better on three pointers this season than over his career. His overall shooting is 4% better and he’s scoring another point per game on the same number of shots. all of his peripherals have notable upgrades, with the only exception of a slightly higher turnover rate. Casspi has become a useful member of the team, something that escaped him for years in Cleveland. Read More
Posted in essays Tagged Omri Casspi
Pricing Omer – Marc Stein worked the phones over the weekend to give some insight on where Omer Asik could land, and Philadelphia emerged as the no. 1 option:
Keep your eye on Philadelphia. Front-runner would be overstating it, but the notion that the Sixers are a viable destination for Asik is increasingly making the rounds. And that certainly makes sense given (A) Philly’s front office is run by a certified Asik fan in former Rockets exec Sam Hinkie and (B) Philly has a frontcourt player to send back to Houston in Thaddeus Young, whose skill set can click with Dwight Howard’s, albeit not as well as seemingly unattainable dream target Ryan Anderson; and (C) there really isn’t an Asik for Philly to draft with the high pick it’s likely to snag in the 2014 lottery.
I would say some things about this trade, but Rahat already addressed it at length on Sunday. To summarize, there are a couple of reasons to say “no” to this trade, and Terrence Jones just dunked one of them in your face.
Competitor – I pretty vividly recall looking at ESPN’s PER rankings on Saturday and being surprised to see that Arron Afflalo was a tad higher than James Harden. Whoops, not any more. On Sunday, both shooting guards took exactly 17 shots in a head-to-head matchup. Afflalo scored 16. Harden scored 27. You think maybe someone mentioned that PER thing to Harden before the game? Read More
In the 2012 All-Star Game, Lebron James had the ball in his hands with the game on the line. Guarding him was Kobe Bryant, long lauded for his crunch time successes. Bryant told James to “Shoot the ******* ball.” James did not. He passed. Twice. James’s team lost.
The usual talking heads adopted their usual sides. In one corner, heroball pundits thought that James, as the anointed one, should have taken the shot. In the other corner, basketball purists thought that James made the correct basketball play, passing out of a double team to create a better shot for his teammate.
Posted in essays Tagged stats