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@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 10:42 AM) If Harden didn't waste so many chances, the Rockets would've won this game. Even though the Trail Blazers in my opinion wasn't suppose to win this one, I think the main reason was McHale.
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 10:37 AM) Forgot to add Beverley. McHale's player usage: For example: When the Rockets were shooting so bad at the three point line and Beverley didn't exactly look like an game changer or even a NBA player, McHale didn't have the nerves to switch on Troy Daniels. He also didn't play Motiejunas, one of the best young players of the team. When a starter is not playing well, like Harden and Beverley for this game, you gotta switch him off for a while. You don't just keep all your starters on the court even when they're playing bad and couldn't resist the Blazers in the fourth quarter. P.S: Harden got 2 attempts at the end of the fourth quarter and overtime that was game changing even when he missed so much shots.
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 10:32 AM) Well, my opinion is that if the Rockets don't advance to the second round, McHale is definitely going to be fired. He might even be fired if he didn't make it to the Western Conference Finals. I mean, maybe my expectations for the Rockets are too high. The truth is: Dwight Howard came to Houston to win a championship, not lose in the first round(Though for me the odds between the two teams are even now). Houston has every ability to win a championship. Dwight Howard and James Harden are both top five players with a good coach. There is also a really good supporting cast: Chandler Parsons, Omer Asik, Terrence Jones, Jeremy Lin, and some good bench players that McHale didn't even bother to play.
@  feelingsuper... : (21 April 2014 - 06:31 AM) Agreed, we just witnessed the Aldridge game. Great players swing games.
@  SadLakerFan : (21 April 2014 - 06:25 AM) Some positives - Aldridge has developed into a great player, but law of averages - he won't be hitting huge threes and scoring 46 again. Harden is unlikely to miss 20 shots again. And even though you live with Howard's free throw struggles, they came in bunches at a critical point, triggering the Blazers' big comeback. It ain't over.
@  feelingsuper... : (21 April 2014 - 06:03 AM) The Rockets seemed to regress to the team they were earlier in the season a little, I guess that was to be expected. I am looking for the team to bounce back of course.
@  feelingsuper... : (21 April 2014 - 06:00 AM) This series will be marked by each team making runs and the Blazers made the run in the forth that completely changed the momentum.
@  feelingsuper... : (21 April 2014 - 05:58 AM) McHale fired, get serious.
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 05:56 AM) When the Rockets were up by eleven, I turned off my T.V because I had more important things to do. Then, after like 40 minutes, I turned on my Mac pro and found the Rockets gave up 122 points to the Blazers and lost. I wouldn't blame the players for anything in the game. I have not liked Mchale ever since I followed the Rockets when Lin came over. I'm not trying to be negative, but he's not a really good coach even though he's a really good basketball player. Any coach that can't lead a team so talented should be fired and ain't very good. Mchale never, ever, draws up place at the end off the game. I don't even thing he has talked to the players of defense and how to prevent a player to get 46 points against one of the best defenders(Asik) in the league. Absolutely insane.
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 05:50 AM) Not surprised if Mchale gets fired for losing in the first round. Really, he couldn't prevent LA from getting 46 points and he wouldn't switch Beverley out when he had a bad offensive game and let Lillard get 31 points. Wow!!
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 05:43 AM) :angry: :angry: :angry: :angry: :angry: :angry: :angry:
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 05:41 AM) LaMarcus Aldridge 46 points 18 rebounds: Is he that unstoppable?
@  08huangj : (21 April 2014 - 05:41 AM) Can't believe it.
@  rockets best... : (21 April 2014 - 05:35 AM) I can't believe some if the calls I just saw. Portland played a dirty game
@  rockets best... : (21 April 2014 - 05:31 AM) that's the worse officiated game I have seen this year
@  RocketMansin... : (21 April 2014 - 05:23 AM) Perimeter defense gonna have 2 step it up... If not this will be a quick outing for the Rockets.
@  Cooper : (21 April 2014 - 05:20 AM) tough loss, Harden and Howard started out so cold and Jones/Asik had no answer for LA. Need to bring it for game 2
@  pharmag : (21 April 2014 - 05:11 AM) Well those refs were absolutely awful. I think they decided at the beginning of the game to just call the opposite of whatever the call was supposed to be. The only fouls you can argue they got right were the ones that were too close to call...
@  pharmag : (21 April 2014 - 03:10 AM) Interesting point made by announcers...Rockets haven't shot a single FT. A lot of that has to do with what appears to be unbalanced refereeing imo
@  Dan G : (17 April 2014 - 10:17 PM) That is some interesting news. We gotta get past Portland first, but I like that stat for the next round.

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63 replies to this topic

#1 Sir Thursday

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 10:13 AM

Thought I'd introduce a friendly little competition. This won't have much payoff until the end of the season, but nevertheless should be an interesting exercise.

Rules:
  • Before the season starts, you submit your prediction for the final win total of every team in the NBA.
  • There are 1230 games in an NBA season, so your predictions must sum to 1230.
  • At the end of the season, you score the difference between your prediction and the actual win total for each team.
  • To make things more interesting, each participant must nominate one team from each division. They score double points for their predictions about those teams.
  • Whoever has the lowest total score wins!
And that's it. I'll submit my guesses later today, and I invite you all to do the same. Then we can laugh at how wrong we were at the end of the season.

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#2 willdarling

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 02:45 PM

This will be embarrassing in 7 months but here goes... (teams in bold are my nominated teams)

Atlantic
Celtics 49-33
Nets 47-35
76ers 47-35
Knicks 41-41
Raptors 29-53

Central
Pacers 53-29
Bulls 45-37
Bucks 37-45
Cavs 35-47
Pistons 31-51

Southeast
Heat 62-20
Hawks 40-42
Wizards 37-45
Magic 25-57
Bobcats 15-67

Northwest
Thunder 56-26
Nuggets 55-27
Jazz 44-38
Wolves 42-40
Blazers 36-46

Pacific
Lakers 57-25
Clippers 50-32
Suns 35-47
Warriors 32-50
Kings 26-56

Southwest
Spurs 52-30
Memphis 51-31
Mavs 45-37
Rockets 31-51
Hornets 25-57

(Edited after the Harden trade)
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#3 tombrokeoff

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 05:53 PM

man this is tough and could take a min. ill try and come up with something, but cant guarantee i will.
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#4 Sir Thursday

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 06:24 PM

man this is tough and could take a min. ill try and come up with something, but cant guarantee i will.


It'll take a little while to get right, but you've got a week and a half until the start of the season, so plenty of time. Part of the challenge is making it all add up - it's very easy to get carried away and assign too many wins to the first ones you do and leave yourself without enough left at the end.

OK, here's mine:

Atlantic:

New Jersey: 50-32
Boston: 49-33
New York: 44-38
Philidelphia: 40-42
Toronto: 38-44

Central:

Indiana: 50-32
Chicago: 43-39
Detroit: 34-48
Milwaukee: 36-46
Cleveland: 31-51

Southeast:

Miami: 59-23
Atlanta: 47-35
Washington: 28-54
Orlando: 24-58
Charlotte: 19-63

Northwest:

Oklahoma City: 56-26
Denver: 49-33
Minnesota: 41-41
Utah: 43-39
Portland: 29-53

Pacific:

LA Lakers: 59-23
LA Clippers: 49-33
Golden State: 40-42
Phoenix: 32-50
Sacramento: 26-56

Southwest:

San Antonio: 55-27
Memphis: 50-32
Dallas: 41-41
Houston: 40-42
New Orleans: 28-54
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#5 willdarling

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 06:43 PM

I can see that there are going to be some seriously different opinions with this exercise. This will be fun.
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#6 willdarling

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 06:44 PM

Oh and Sir Thursday, you have the Minnesota playing just 72 games
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#7 Sir Thursday

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Posted 19 October 2012 - 06:54 PM

Oh and Sir Thursday, you have the Minnesota playing just 72 games


Oops, my bad. Doesn't change anything really because I just filled in the win totals and then tried to make them all add up to 82. Will correct it though.

I was interested by the teams you choose for your double pointers. I figured it was best to go with teams that had been fairly stable and would be likely to replicate their numbers the next year, but I notice you've picked quite a few teams that are in flux (Bulls, Wolves, Rockets). Any reason for those?

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#8 willdarling

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Posted 20 October 2012 - 07:58 AM

With the double pointers (except for Rockets) i've simply gone for the teams I feel most confident about.
I don't feel that the wolves are too much in flux at the moment (although injuries will have a big effect on their season). If anything I feel less confident about the Bulls, 76ers and Wolves owing to them being middle of the road teams. I feel a lot more confident with my Rockets, Bobcats and Kings picks as they are some of the poorer teams in the league.
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#9 Sir Thursday

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Posted 20 October 2012 - 03:00 PM

By the way Will, I just counted up your predictions and they added up to 1228 games, so you need to add another couple of wins to some of the teams.

I, on the other hand, was off by a whopping 10 games! I'll make the adjustments to my predictions by editing my original post.

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#10 blakecouey

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Posted 22 October 2012 - 02:49 AM

This will be fun. Need a way to lock the posts individually(to keep from editing) to keep people honest-or back up a copy of everyone's picks on your own post ST.
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#11 Sir Thursday

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Posted 22 October 2012 - 09:45 AM

People are free to edit their posts up to the the day before the season starts. Then I'll copy everyone's predictions down into a spreadsheet to keep track.

With all the injury news that's been coming out recently, there's definitely scope for adjusting some of the win totals...

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#12 tombrokeoff

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 04:28 AM

ok here goes nothing....this was pretty tough. its late and i didnt use a spreadsheet to help me add, so i hope my sums are correct

boston 52-30
brooklyn 50-32
philly 45-37
new york 44-38
toronto 24-58

chicago 50-32
indiana 47-35
milwaukee 43-39
detroit 38-44
cleveland 31-51

miami 57-25
atlanta 46-36
orlando 29-53
charlotte 26-56
washington 26-56

oklahoma city 54-28
denver 47-35
utah 44-38
minnesota 43-39
portland 35-47

san antonio 47-35
memphis 44-38
dallas 43-39
houston 40-42
new orleans 33-49

lakers 58-24
clippers 51-31
phoenix 40-42
golden state 23-59
sacramento 20-62
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#13 sircharles

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 07:40 PM

you really think atlanta will be that bad?
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#14 tombrokeoff

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 09:03 PM

you really think atlanta will be that bad?


probably not, but it was late last night and after i initially made all of my predictions, it added up to like 92 more wins than i needed. so i went through and adjusted enough to lower it down. and the entire time, atlanta was prob the team i was most on the fence about. i know theyre sort of rebulding or something. lost at least 1 solid player. i didnt go and look at their roster like i should have and i just threw out a number. i prob should have had them a little over .500, but oh well. at least i didnt bold them! lol
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#15 tombrokeoff

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 09:04 PM

that said, theres almost always a team with injuries, bad luck, whatever and they end up doing worse than expected. maybe ill get lucky and atlanta will have issues!
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#16 tombrokeoff

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 09:08 PM

sorry for multiple replies but .... if they trade josh smith that could change a lot.
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#17 Sir Thursday

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 10:07 PM

Remember you can edit your post all the way up until the night before the season starts if you want to make changes ;).

Anyone else wanting to try their hand at this? Not got a whole lot of takers so far...:(

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#18 blakecouey

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 11:32 PM

Im going to, just trying to get caught up on other things first.
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#19 Dan G

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Posted 25 October 2012 - 11:44 PM

Alrighty I've put this off long enough so here goes nothing:

Atlantic

Boston 52-30
Philadelphia 50-32
Brooklyn 44-38
New York 43-39
Toronto 35-47

Central

Indiana 54-28
Chicago 43-39
Milwaukee 39-43
Detroit 32-50
Cleveland 27-55

Southeast

Miami 62-20
Atlanta 38-44
Washington 29-53
Orlando 24-58
Charlotte 14-68

Northwest

Oklahoma City 55-27
Denver 53-29
Utah 42-40
Minnesota 38-44
Portland 32-50

Pacific

LA Lakers 60-22
LA Clippers 52-30
Phoenix 41-41
Golden State 33-49
Sacramento 25-57

Southwest

San Antonio 54-28
Memphis 50-32
Dallas 43-39
Houston 39-43
New Orleans 27-55

Edited by Dan G, 30 October 2012 - 09:23 AM.

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#20 ale11

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Posted 26 October 2012 - 05:31 PM

I'm in, but I need some time to figure it out....it's just a game, but it's always nice to win ;)
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