Jump to content


Toggle shoutbox Shoutbox Open the Shoutbox in a popup

@  cointurtlemoose : (20 October 2014 - 04:18 AM) I'm liking Kostas' crafty plays.
@  2016Champions : (20 October 2014 - 12:42 AM) Looks like his form improved. A reliable 3pt shot to take away the likes of Ibaka and Aldridge away from the rim could be huge for Harden's drives to the basket, and hopefully also result in more use of the pick and roll between Harden and Dwight.
@  Buckko : (19 October 2014 - 10:32 PM) I think yall will like this http://instagram.com...ideo&modal=true
@  thenit : (15 October 2014 - 12:35 AM) Asik and Davis looks good together
@  thenit : (14 October 2014 - 01:58 PM) I think we have a shot, but we are still behind Washington and OKC.
@  blakecouey : (14 October 2014 - 04:15 AM) He goes to Longhorn football games regularly, have seen him several times. I think we've got a shot, but wouldn't necessarily say we're a favorite to land KD.
@  Losthief : (14 October 2014 - 12:17 AM) the other thing that helps with durant is he likes texas, still goes/visits to UT Austin most summers iirc.
@  Buckko : (13 October 2014 - 10:46 PM) I really like our chances, because even though D.C. is his hometown, harden is his BFF. Dwight/harden/rockets cast>>>>Wall/beal/wizards cast. Plus no income tax.
@  Cooper : (13 October 2014 - 05:23 PM) I think it helps us and the wiz since both could keep there core and add KD but the cap jumping also helps okc since they are so scared of the tax. they can now keep Jackson and add another guy.
@  thenit : (13 October 2014 - 04:27 AM) Until he returns. So still probably end up top 3
@  thenit : (13 October 2014 - 04:27 AM) I think it makes it less likely because teams will get more money from the tv deal. Also he will miss between 12-15 games and they will be above .500
@  Drew in Abilene : (13 October 2014 - 03:26 AM) This may just be wild fantasy, but with Durant's chances of winning a title at least diminished and the cap jumping significantly when he's a free agent, is it fair to say whatever small chance we have of landing him as a FA is a little better?
@  feelingsuper... : (12 October 2014 - 03:52 PM) Getting to the Finals and winning has become a few levels more difficult for the Thunder.
@  feelingsuper... : (12 October 2014 - 03:37 PM) Kevin Durant out for 6 to 8 weeks, fracture in foot.
@  Buckko : (11 October 2014 - 01:40 AM) No, he IS the worst announcer. That's why road games without him can be the best.
@  Dan G : (11 October 2014 - 12:34 AM) I'm with you on Clyde FSS. I loved Clyde as a player but he has got to be the worst announcer ever. I just wish it was Bill and Bullard, or bring back Calvin Murphy.
@  txtdo1411 : (10 October 2014 - 10:40 PM) I am starting to get very excited about our bench. I know it is preseason, but the toughness and grit is inspiring.
@  feelingsuper... : (10 October 2014 - 04:35 PM) Also as a reminder to any of you interested in joining us in the Red94 Fantasy Basketball League be sure to check here http://www.red94.net...ge-2#entry44420
@  feelingsuper... : (10 October 2014 - 04:33 PM) It's nothing, he just knocked knees during practice if I'm not mistaken. If it was the regular season he probably would have played.
@  08huangj : (10 October 2014 - 06:13 AM) He's injured...sorry.

Photo

Schedule Analysis

schedule expectations

  • Please log in to reply
40 replies to this topic

#1 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 16 January 2012 - 07:25 PM

Current Standings:


:
:
6. Utah (12-8)
7. Portland (13-9)
8. LA Lakers (13-9)
9. Houston (12-10)
10. Memphis (11-10)
11. Minnesota (10-12)

Next 5 games:

vs. Phoenix (currently 8-13)
@ Minnesota (currently 10-12)
@ Denver (currently 14-7)
@ Portland (currently 13-9)
@ Phoenix (currently 8-13)

Expected: 2.75 from 5


Full Schedule Breakdown:

Easy wins (we should win 100% of these):

Sacramento x3 (1-0)
Toronto x2
Washington x2 (2-0)
Charlotte x2 (1-0)
Detroit x1 (1-0)
New Jersey x1

Current score: 5-0
Expected score: 11-0

Favoured (I'd like to win 75% of these):

Phoenix x4
Minnesota x4 (1-1)
Golden State x3
New Orleans x3 (1-0)
Milwaukee x1 (0-1)
Cleveland x1

Current Score: 2-2
Expected score: 11-5

Even (50%):

Memphis x4 (0-1)
Utah x3
Indiana x1
Boston x1
New York x1 (1-0)
Atlanta x1 (1-0)

Current score: 2-1
Expected score: 6-5

Underdogs (25%):

Denver x4
San Antonio x4 (2-2)
Portland x3 (1-0)
Philadelphia

Current score: 3-2
Expected score: 5-7

Games we'd be lucky to get anything out of:

OKC x4 (0-2)
Dallas x3
LA Lakers x3 (0-1)
LA Clippers x3 (0-1)
Chicago
Miami
Orlando (0-1)

Expected score: 0-16
Current score: 0-5



Current record: 12-10
Projected record: 33-33

Hollinger 8th seed playoff Projection: 36-30
  • 0

#2 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 16 January 2012 - 08:22 PM

Now I know Rahat is firmly against this sort of thinking...

LOL. If we're not going to tank, I might as well cheer for some wins. FWIW, I've felt the team would make the playoffs since the Dalembert signing.
  • 0

#3 durvasa

durvasa

    Newbie

  • Members
  • Pip
  • 12 posts

Posted 16 January 2012 - 10:28 PM

Nice breakdown, Sir Thursday.
  • 0

#4 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 17 January 2012 - 01:41 AM

Hmm, seems there are no editing privileges here. Oh well, I guess I'll just do it post by post then. That win takes us to:

Gimmes: 3-0 (11 games, 8 remaining) -> Projected: 11-0
Favourites: 0-0 (16 games) -> Projected: 12-4
Evens: 1-1(11 games, 9 remaining) -> Projected: 6-5
Underdogs: 2-1 (12 games, 9 remaining) -> Projected: 4-8 (NB: Winning 25% of remaining games takes us to 4-8 in this section)
Just Play Hard: 0-5(16 games, 11 remaining) -> Projected: 0-16


Totals:
Current Record: 6-7
Projected Record: 33-33


Feel free to disagree with me on where I've put everyone. Wasn't sure where to put all the teams. Do Dallas merit being in the "Just Play Hard" section? Do Philly deserve their favourite status (I seem to remember we don't usually do too well against them, which is why I put them there). Maybe you'd expect us to beat New York? Discuss.


ST
  • 0

#5 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 19 January 2012 - 12:46 AM

Gimmes: 4-0 (11 games, 7 remaining) -> Projected: 11-0
Favourites: 0-0 (16 games) -> Projected: 12-4
Evens: 1-1(11 games, 9 remaining) -> Projected: 6-5
Underdogs: 2-1 (12 games, 9 remaining) -> Projected: 4-8 (NB: Winning 25% of remaining games takes us to 4-8 in this section)
Just Play Hard: 0-5(16 games, 11 remaining) -> Projected: 0-16


Totals:
Current Record: 7-7
Projected Record: 33-33
  • 0

#6 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 19 January 2012 - 05:19 AM

Might need to continue re-evaluating the groups as the season continues as I expect this team to continue improving. Certain opponents will seem more beatable.
  • 0

#7 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 20 January 2012 - 06:49 PM

According to Jacob's latest post, if we continue our current pace, we will finish 37-29. Obviously, its unlikely they stay unbeaten against the bad teams, but interesting nonetheless.

As pro-tanking as I've been, it sure is fun watching a winning team.
  • 0

#8 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 22 January 2012 - 08:44 PM

Might need to continue re-evaluating the groups as the season continues as I expect this team to continue improving. Certain opponents will seem more beatable.


Yeah, especially if there are injuries or teams just decide to play without one of their best players (like SA did last night). Still reasonably happy with how these look at the moment (might have to put Memphis back in the underdog category when Randolph comes back though).

According to Jacob's latest post, if we continue our current pace, we will finish 37-29. Obviously, its unlikely they stay unbeaten against the bad teams, but interesting nonetheless.

As pro-tanking as I've been, it sure is fun watching a winning team.


Yeah, I think 100% against all bad teams is too much to ask for, which is why I've built a little breathing room into my projections. Does mean that we get a slightly more conservative record at the end of it though. I think this season is going to be made or broken by the sections of the schedule where we start playing those teams in the Favourites/Evens groups. Winning 3/4 against Phoenix is doable but difficult, winning 2/3 against Utah is going to be key. If we can split the games with Denver, I'd be very pleased.

Gimmes: 4-0 (11 games, 7 remaining) -> Projection: 11-0
Favourites: 1-0 (16 games, 15 remaining) -> Projection: 12-4
Even: 1-1 (11 games, 9 remaining) -> Projection: 6-5
Underdog: 3-1 (12 games, 8 remaining) -> Projection: 5-7
Just Play Hard: 0-5 (16 games, 11 remaining) -> Projection: 0-16

Current Record: 9-7
Projected Record: 34-32

To stay on track, we need to go 4-1 in our next 5 games (although 3-2 wouldn't be the end of the world).

ST
  • 0

#9 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 24 January 2012 - 02:52 AM

If we win tonight, we're heavy favorites in our next 4. 11 game winning streak?

:D
  • 0

#10 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 26 January 2012 - 11:35 AM

I now seem to have editing privileges, so I'll just edit my summary in the OP. Much easier than having to write everything out every few days :).

ST
  • 0

#11 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 26 January 2012 - 05:07 PM

Last night was the first game that we lost which we weren't supposed to lose.
  • 0

#12 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 29 January 2012 - 02:08 PM

Last night was the first game that we lost which we weren't supposed to lose.


I said before the Minnesota game that we needed to go 4-1 over the next 5 games...I think you've got to expect to lose a couple of games like the Milwaukee one over the course of the season. And I don't think Milwaukee are that bad of a team - look what they did to the Lakers last night!

It's important we don't lose too many of these games, but I think it's more important that we keep winning when the schedule gets tougher. Those are the games that will make the most difference to our playoff hopes.

ST
  • 0

#13 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 31 January 2012 - 01:39 AM

I said before the Minnesota game that we needed to go 4-1 over the next 5 games...I think you've got to expect to lose a couple of games like the Milwaukee one over the course of the season. And I don't think Milwaukee are that bad of a team - look what they did to the Lakers last night!

It's important we don't lose too many of these games, but I think it's more important that we keep winning when the schedule gets tougher. Those are the games that will make the most difference to our playoff hopes.

ST

Where do we stand right now?

Maybe we should add in playoff standings as well, and other relevant information, strength of schedule etc? I can put it on the front page every weekend so everyone who's not looking in here can be informed.
  • 0

#14 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 31 January 2012 - 11:50 PM

Where do we stand right now?

Maybe we should add in playoff standings as well, and other relevant information, strength of schedule etc? I can put it on the front page every weekend so everyone who's not looking in here can be informed.


Good idea. I've updated the first post. Currently at 33-33, which seems a bit low to get in given the how far above .500 everyone in the West is at the moment. It's good we're doing better than expected against the stronger teams, but we can't afford to lose many more games against the likes of Minnesota if we want to get in...

Feel free to put these up whenever you think people need reminding :P.

ST
  • 0

#15 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 04 February 2012 - 01:54 AM

Good idea. I've updated the first post. Currently at 33-33, which seems a bit low to get in given the how far above .500 everyone in the West is at the moment. It's good we're doing better than expected against the stronger teams, but we can't afford to lose many more games against the likes of Minnesota if we want to get in...

Feel free to put these up whenever you think people need reminding :P.

ST

Sure thing. I'll post these up once every weekend, either Saturday or Sunday. However, instead of editing the first post, can you just add the update to the end of the thread? That will make it easier for people to find it, if they don't know what's going on.
  • 0

#16 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 06 February 2012 - 08:14 PM

Current Standings:

:
:
3. LA Clippers (15-8)
4. Houston (16-11)
5. LA Lakers (15-11)
6. Dallas (15-11)
7. Denver (15-12)
8. Utah (13-11)
9. Portland (14-12)

Next 5 games:

@ Golden State (currently 8-13)
@ Memphis (currently 12-13)
vs. Oklahoma City (currently 19-5)
vs. Minnesota (currently 13-13)
vs. Utah (currently 13-11)

Expected: 2.75 from 5


Full Schedule Breakdown:

Easy wins (we should win 100% of these):

Sacramento x3 (1-0)
Toronto x2
Washington x2 (2-0)
Charlotte x2 (1-0)
Detroit x1 (1-0)
New Jersey x1

Current score: 5-0
Expected score: 11-0

Favoured (I'd like to win 75% of these):

Phoenix x4 (2-0)
Minnesota x4 (1-2)
Golden State x3
New Orleans x3 (1-0)
Milwaukee x1 (0-1)
Cleveland x1

Current Score: 4-3
Expected score: 11-5

Even (50%):

Memphis x4 (0-1)
Utah x3
Indiana x1
Boston x1
New York x1 (1-0)
Atlanta x1 (1-0)

Current score: 2-1
Expected score: 6-5

Underdogs (25%):

Denver x4 (1-0)
San Antonio x4 (2-2)
Portland x3 (2-0)
Philadelphia

Current score: 5-2
Expected score: 6-6

Games we'd be lucky to get anything out of:

OKC x4 (0-2)
Dallas x3
LA Lakers x3 (0-1)
LA Clippers x3 (0-1)
Chicago
Miami
Orlando (0-1)

Expected score: 0-16
Current score: 0-5



Current record: 16-11
Projected record: 34-32

Hollinger 8th seed playoff Projection: 37-29
Hollinger Rockets Projection: 38-28
  • 0

#17 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 13 February 2012 - 11:56 PM

Current Standings:

:
:
4. Dallas (17-11)
5. LA Lakers (16-12)
6. Houston (16-12)
7. Denver (16-12)
8. Utah (14-12)
9. Portland (15-13)

Next 5 games:

@ Memphis (currently 14-14)
vs. Oklahoma City (currently 21-6)
vs. Minnesota (currently 13-13)
vs. Utah (currently 14-12)
vs. Memphis (currently 14-14)

Expected: 2.25 from 5


Full Schedule Breakdown:

Easy wins (we should win 100% of these):

Sacramento x3 (1-0)
Toronto x2
Washington x2 (2-0)
Charlotte x2 (1-0)
Detroit x1 (1-0)
New Jersey x1

Current score: 5-0
Expected score: 11-0

Favoured (I'd like to win 75% of these):

Phoenix x4 (2-0)
Minnesota x4 (1-2)
Golden State x3 (0-1)
New Orleans x3 (1-0)
Milwaukee x1 (0-1)
Cleveland x1

Current Score: 4-4
Expected score: 10-6

Even (50%):

Memphis x4 (0-1)
Utah x3
Indiana x1
Boston x1
New York x1 (1-0)
Atlanta x1 (1-0)

Current score: 2-1
Expected score: 6-5

Underdogs (25%):

Denver x4 (1-0)
San Antonio x4 (2-2)
Portland x3 (2-0)
Philadelphia

Current score: 5-2
Expected score: 6-6

Games we'd be lucky to get anything out of:

OKC x4 (0-2)
Dallas x3
LA Lakers x3 (0-1)
LA Clippers x3 (0-1)
Chicago
Miami
Orlando (0-1)

Expected score: 0-16
Current score: 0-5



Current record: 16-12
Projected record: 33-33

Hollinger 8th seed playoff Projection: 37-29
Hollinger Rockets Projection: 38-28
  • 0

#18 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 17 February 2012 - 01:01 AM

Current Standings:

:
:
4. Dallas (19-11)
5. LA Lakers (17-12)
6. Houston (17-13)
7. Denver (17-13)
8. Portland (16-14)
9. Memphis (16-14)

Next 5 games:

vs. Minnesota (currently 14-16)
vs. Utah (currently 14-14)
vs. Memphis (currently 16-14)
vs. Philadelphia (currently 20-10)
vs. Toronto (currently 9-22)

Expected: 3 from 5


Full Schedule Breakdown:

Easy wins (we should win 100% of these):

Sacramento x3 (1-0)
Toronto x2
Washington x2 (2-0)
Charlotte x2 (1-0)
Detroit x1 (1-0)
New Jersey x1

Current score: 5-0
Expected score: 11-0

Favoured (I'd like to win 75% of these):

Phoenix x4 (2-0)
Minnesota x4 (1-2)
Golden State x3 (0-1)
New Orleans x3 (1-0)
Milwaukee x1 (0-1)
Cleveland x1

Current Score: 4-4
Expected score: 10-6

Even (50%):

Memphis x4 (0-2)
Utah x3
Indiana x1
Boston x1
New York x1 (1-0)
Atlanta x1 (1-0)

Current score: 2-2
Expected score: 6-5

Underdogs (25%):

Denver x4 (1-0)
San Antonio x4 (2-2)
Portland x3 (2-0)
Philadelphia

Current score: 5-2
Expected score: 6-6

Games we'd be lucky to get anything out of:

OKC x4 (1-2)
Dallas x3
LA Lakers x3 (0-1)
LA Clippers x3 (0-1)
Chicago
Miami
Orlando (0-1)

Current score: 1-5
Expected score: 1-15



Current record: 17-13
Projected record: 34-32

Hollinger Rockets Projection: 37-29
Hollinger 8th seed playoff Projection: 36-30
  • 0

#19 Sir Thursday

Sir Thursday

    Senior Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,023 posts
  • LocationUnited Kingdom

Posted 20 February 2012 - 01:24 PM

Current Standings:

:
:
4. Dallas (20-12)
5. LA Lakers (18-13)
6. Memphis (18-14)
7. Houston (18-14)
8. Portland (17-15)
9. Denver (17-15)


Next 5 games:

vs. Memphis (currently 18-14)
vs. Philadelphia (currently 20-12)
vs. Toronto (currently 9-23)
@ Utah (currently 15-15)
vs. Denver (currently 17-15)

Expected: 2.75 from 5


Full Schedule Breakdown:

Easy wins (we should win 100% of these):

Sacramento x3 (1-0)
Toronto x2
Washington x2 (2-0)
Charlotte x2 (1-0)
Detroit x1 (1-0)
New Jersey x1

Current score: 5-0
Expected score: 11-0

Favoured (I'd like to win 75% of these):

Phoenix x4 (2-0)
Minnesota x4 (1-3)
Golden State x3 (0-1)
New Orleans x3 (1-0)
Milwaukee x1 (0-1)
Cleveland x1

Current Score: 4-5
Expected score: 9-7

Even (50%):

Memphis x4 (0-2)
Utah x3 (1-0)
Indiana x1
Boston x1
New York x1 (1-0)
Atlanta x1 (1-0)

Current score: 3-2
Expected score: 6-5

Underdogs (25%):

Denver x4 (1-0)
San Antonio x4 (2-2)
Portland x3 (2-0)
Philadelphia

Current score: 5-2
Expected score: 6-6

Games we'd be lucky to get anything out of:

OKC x4 (1-2)
Dallas x3
LA Lakers x3 (0-1)
LA Clippers x3 (0-1)
Chicago
Miami
Orlando (0-1)

Current score: 1-5
Expected score: 1-15



Current record: 18-14
Projected record: 33-33

Hollinger Rockets Projection: 37-29
Hollinger 8th seed playoff Projection: 36-30
  • 0

#20 Rahat Huq

Rahat Huq

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • 1,540 posts

Posted 24 February 2012 - 07:59 PM

SirThursday: A couple of readers were asking for an update on this. What do you have?
  • 0




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users