Assessing the Rockets’ Playoff Odds

Houston currently owns a 25-22 record and would be the 8th seed in the Western Conference if the playoffs started today. As previous years have shown, the West’s playoff race is often extremely tight, and the Rockets are far from certain to avoid a fourth consecutive trip to the lottery. The Rockets’ chances of making the playoffs are primarily a function of two factors: Houston’s own performance and that of its Western Conference peers. What follows is an analysis of these two factors and an attempt to provide a clearer picture of Houston’s playoff hopes.

The teams that the Rockets will likely have to fight for the 7th or 8th seed include the Jazz, Blazers, Mavericks, and Lakers. These teams currently rank 7th, 9th, 10th, and 11th respectively in the West. There are a number of ways (besides current record) to compare the current and projected future performances of different teams. I will look at four separate criteria: offensive/defensive efficiency, Pythagorean wins expectation, strength of schedule, and John Hollinger’s playoff odds.

According to Hoopdata, the Rockets rank 9th in offensive efficiency (points scored per 100 possessions) and 20th in defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions). Other than the Lakers (6th in offensive efficiency), the other teams competing with Houston for a playoff spot are all inferior offensively. On the defensive end, these five teams are quite similar, ranking in the range of 19th-24th in the league. By these metrics, the Rockets appear to be one of the better teams within this group.

Pythagorean wins uses a team’s point differential to project an expected win-loss record. Among these five teams, Houston has the highest point differential (+2.5 points per game) and consequently has the best expected record, at 49-32. In fact, the Lakers are the only other team in this group with a positive scoring margin and a projected record above 0.500. To date, Houston has underperformed its expected record: the Pythagorean wins formula expects Houston to have 28-19 record at this point in the season, whereas the Rockets’ actual record is 25-22. Part of this discrepancy is due to the fact that Houston’s many blowout wins inflate the Rockets’ scoring margin, making them seem better than they may actually be. For example, Houston’s most recent win against the Jazz (by a staggering 45 points) increased the Rockets’ average scoring margin from +1.6 to +2.5 points per game.

So far, Houston has played the 7th toughest schedule in the league, a schedule that will get easier the rest of the way—the winning percentage of its future opponents is 2% lower than that of its previous opponents. Among these five teams, only the Lakers have played a tougher schedule. The other three teams will all see their schedules increase in difficulty, making the road to the playoffs that much more tortuous.

In part reflecting some of the factors mentioned above, Hollinger’s Playoff Odds place Houston at a robust 86% probability to make the playoffs, far and away the highest number within this cohort. For curiosity’s sake, the Jazz are estimated to have a 45% chance of making the playoffs, the Lakers 30%, the Blazers 24%, and the Mavericks 17%. If these numbers are to be trusted, it seems more than likely that the Rockets will be making a postseason appearance come May.   

Besides simply assessing the Rockets’ playoff chances, there are a few more points to consider. From a practical viewpoint, the Rockets’ making the playoffs has implications for next year’s draft since the Houston will forfeit their 2013 first round pick to Atlanta if it falls outside the lottery. On the other hand, does this roster really need another player chosen in the middle of the first round, especially given current difficulties in finding playing time for the likes of D-Mo, Terrence Jones, and Royce White?

From a normative perspective, should the Rockets be trying to make the playoffs? How valuable is playoff experience for young, unproven teams? Would a first round sweep against the Thunder or the Clippers really be all that useful of a learning experience? Then again, there is little downside (except maybe some minimal additional injury risk) and something to be gained for the franchise in terms of additional revenue in ticket/merchandise sales (the Rockets are guaranteed at least two home games). In any event, I’m excited to see how the rest of the season plays out and how Houston’s young core would respond if given the opportunity to pay a premature visit to the NBA postseason.

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  • Red94 says 1 YEAR ago New post: Assessing the Rockets’ Playoff Odds
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago I'm going to close this one up for housekeeping sake. Please continue all Finals discussion in here: http://www.red94.net/forums/index.php?/topic/289-nba-finals-okc-vs-heat/
  • Ostrow says 1 YEAR ago Thabo is 6'7" and while LeBron posts a little more now he really doesn't spend that much time there. And as much as I hate to say it because of how I feel about him these days, to be honest, no one can guard LeBron. I'm not saying Thabo will be the only guy who guards him but I think they'll try to rest KD as much as possible on D.
  • RedStewie says 1 YEAR ago And to add to that, Lebron is not Tony Parker, Thabo can't guard him. Its either going to be Durant or Ibaka on Lebron and maybe sometimes Thabo, but Lebron will run Thabo over
  • RedStewie says 1 YEAR ago During regular season, they put KD on Lebron and I remember he pretty much shut Lebron down.
    After the game, he was talking about how he praticed extensively with Lebron during the sumer, and sorta knew how to guard him.
    But this is playoffs, so Lebron might take it a notch
  • Ostrow says 1 YEAR ago

    RedStewie, on 10 June 2012 - 22:47 PM said:

    If D-Wade tries to be the man in the finals like he did last year after Lebron got them there, then they are going to lose this series like they did last season. Lebron against Durant- both on the offensive and defensive end will be a interesting matchup to watch. But i think the Heatles got this one


    I actually don't think Durant will guard LeBron that much. They'll put Thabo on LeBron, Westbrook on Wade and Durant will guard Chalmers or Cole or whoever is playing PG. In crunch time they might switch but that's just my guess with how they are going to defend so KD can get some rest on D
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago James steals one in OKC and then in Miami the Thunder figure out the Heat and take 2. OKC return home to close it out in 6 game. I still believe an injury is looming out there and I venture to say chances are the Heat will suffer the setback, maybe Wade, maybe Bosh...
  • RedStewie says 1 YEAR ago If D-Wade tries to be the man in the finals like he did last year after Lebron got them there, then they are going to lose this series like they did last season.

    Lebron against Durant- both on the offensive and defensive end will be a interesting matchup to watch.

    But i think the Heatles got this one
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago Definitely could see Lebron taking control of the series. It would put an end to all that useless chatter about LeBron James not being great...
  • RedStewie says 1 YEAR ago Miami is gonna win, Lebron is gonna get his first ring
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago Look, I wanted Boston to win but like in the west the young legs won out, the new have swept out the old and the final chapter in the changing of the guard took place out east. Kind of an odd year with OKC displacing the Spurs and Lakers to assume the throne in the Western Conference and the Heat hammering the nails in Boston's coffin.

    I like the Thunder in 6.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago I think Boston will win.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago I am not entirely convinced but I think the Heat barely make it out alive tonight, perhaps in overtime...
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago Gotta hand it to Scotty for making the necessary adjustments to pull it out for OKC. After the first two in SA, I knew if he kept up the same plan he'd be done. He stopped keeping Perk and Ibaka on the floor at the same time and put Sefolosha on Parker at times, for a couple of the smart adjustments he made. He had to have learned them back in the day with Rudy.

    But HEY! There's a Rocket in the Finals!
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago Agreed, I do not find the Spurs boring either. They play great team ball. To me they harken back to some great teams from the 1980's.

    With regard to Thunder I still believe the Thunder win it in 6. OKC either blow the Spurs away with unstoppable offensive performances from Durant, Westbrook and Harden or they grind out a win with physical play where perhaps a key Spur player succumbs to injury. I still believe Brooks can employ Durant against Ginobli the way he used him against Kobe Bryant in the last series. Durant would frustrate Ginobli to no end.
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago The Spurs are boring? I'd have to disagree, this team and how they've been playing all year are one of the best squads I've ever seen assembled. They so methodically pick apart every team on both ends of the floor through stubborn persistence I guess it could be construed as boring. Kind of like watching Duke or UNC play SHSU, or like sending your HS student back to 4th grade to try to learn something. Age will catch up with SA? Not this year. Pops changed his offensive scheme to better preserve Timmy, so he didn't get beat up down on the block, and it works, WELL. They are too good, too well coached and too experienced, OKC will win one at home. Spurs in 5. Streak ends at 20, Rockets recent streak is preserved as the best in recent years. I find perfect basketball very entertaining, especially watching their opponents continue to try and figure out an answer only to have it countered. Their title this year will mark the end of the Dynasty.

    Westbrook is gonna get really hurt chasing Parker around like that.
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago

    Rahat Huq, on 28 May 2012 - 00:55 AM said:


    Celtics/Heat; Thunder/Spurs

    • Kind of interesting how this can go in one of completely opposite ways. The present-future in Thunder-Heat or a blast from the past with Spurs-Celtics.
    • I know most here or anywhere hate the Heat but I'm praying Bosh gets well soon. At the least, it will ensure competitive basketball. But in actuality, aside from liking the Heat's style of play, I want the likely effect of Lebron finally winning a title: the idiocy in media coverage surrounding him finally ending.
    • I'm watching Spurs-Thunder as I write this. Two teams neither of whom I find entertaining to play. People usually react in amazement when I tell them I don't find the Thunder entertaining. Though they look like Magic' showtime when put next to San Antonio. I'll watch all of this series though because it should be so close.
    • What is it about San Antonio that makes them so boring? It's pretty much accepted universally that they are a boring team. But has anyone yet put their finger on the actual reason that we feel this way? I get Duncan being methodical, but individually, Parker and Ginobili are pretty entertaining. Is it just because they milk the shot clock and don't rush bad shots?
    • Rajon Rondo had a triple double in Game 7 yesterday but I still find him so ridiculously overrated. He's one of the best, for sure, but there really isn't a contest between he and Chris Paul. Just watch them. Paul typically has two defenders breathing down his throat while he's trying to operate. Rondo's out there like a pocket quarterback, taking his time and hitting his wide receivers with no coverage whatsoever. He's good at what he does, but we must take note of the circumstances.



    Mostly agree with most of it, but I find OKC fun to watch. Durant is deadly every single time he touches the ball, Westbrook(although overrated) is so explosive and the backstory of him believing he is anywhere near a 1b to Durant's 1a leads to a handful of absurd plays every game that keep me entertained. The Spurs on the other hand(aside from the Bobcats) are the most boring team to watch in years. I'd rather listen to Shaq's comments and analysis(if you can call it that) than watch SA play. For the last few years I've been saying at some point teams are going to respect Rondo more and stop sagging off him, and if Saturday's game wasnt enough proof of that being necessary(9 straight pts after PP fouled out). Rondo is exciting to watch, although I do think his abilities would be deminished to a mid tier PG if he didn't have Ray Allen, Paul Pierce, and KG around him constantly taking attention away from him.

    I still think it's going to be Heat/Thunder. The Thunder played well last night and a 3 point loss isn't nearly enough for me to count them out...at some point age will catch up to SA, right?
  • Ostrow says 1 YEAR ago They're boring because they are really unathletic. No one dunks. In previous years they were also a team that walked the ball up the floor more often than not. That has changed a little bit this year where they run a little bit more but their boringness is set in stone. Also any team that Matt Bonner plays on has to be boring.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago Celtics/Heat; Thunder/Spurs

    • Kind of interesting how this can go in one of completely opposite ways. The present-future in Thunder-Heat or a blast from the past with Spurs-Celtics.
    • I know most here or anywhere hate the Heat but I'm praying Bosh gets well soon. At the least, it will ensure competitive basketball. But in actuality, aside from liking the Heat's style of play, I want the likely effect of Lebron finally winning a title: the idiocy in media coverage surrounding him finally ending.
    • I'm watching Spurs-Thunder as I write this. Two teams neither of whom I find entertaining to play. People usually react in amazement when I tell them I don't find the Thunder entertaining. Though they look like Magic' showtime when put next to San Antonio. I'll watch all of this series though because it should be so close.
    • What is it about San Antonio that makes them so boring? It's pretty much accepted universally that they are a boring team. But has anyone yet put their finger on the actual reason that we feel this way? I get Duncan being methodical, but individually, Parker and Ginobili are pretty entertaining. Is it just because they milk the shot clock and don't rush bad shots?
    • Rajon Rondo had a triple double in Game 7 yesterday but I still find him so ridiculously overrated. He's one of the best, for sure, but there really isn't a contest between he and Chris Paul. Just watch them. Paul typically has two defenders breathing down his throat while he's trying to operate. Rondo's out there like a pocket quarterback, taking his time and hitting his wide receivers with no coverage whatsoever. He's good at what he does, but we must take note of the circumstances.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago Thunder in 6, watch for the next big injury to happen in this series and when it does it will sway the outcome...
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago Spurs in 6 over OKC

    Indy over Miami in 7

    Boston over Indy in 7

    Spurs over Boston in 5
  • Dunots says 1 YEAR ago The Spurs and the Thunder are just flat out the two best teams right now. The Heat were a reasonably close third, but the loss of Bosh is destroying them. Say what you will about Bosh, he was an integral cog to their offensive sets (such as they are). WCF this year will be fantastic. Finals? ehhhhhhhhh

    I think it's hard not to see the Spurs walk away with it all this year. They have an extremely talented core, and the best meta-game in the NBA by far. That's the team Houston wants to be, and with good reason.

    As per the Heat? They've let themselves get in a very, very bad position. Indy of course would love to win game 4, but they aren't sunk if they lose. Miami, on the other hand, absolutely has to take this from a Pacers team which is feeling a good deal of swagger right now. I like this matchup because it's very much depth vs superstars. And it's so far reading like a cautionary tale about the high risk part of the high risk high reward nature of a thin bench.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago even if they had Jackson at the helm these Lakers wouldn't make it to the conference finals this year, if you want to designate some blame their front office dropped the ball this year top and bottom, saying that Brown is the easiest scapegoat...
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago

    Lyfestyle, on 17 May 2012 - 21:00 PM said:


    As usual, we disagree. Brown's far from great, but he hardly "lost the game for them".

    The results of the Laker possessions in the final 2 minutes of game 2:

    Bryant basically gives Durant the ball while attempting a pass to Gasol leading to a layup.
    Bryant mishandles a Blake pass out of bounds leading to another layup.
    Bryant shoots and misses a ridiculous turnaround fadeaway that was partially blocked by Harden.
    Bryant launches and misses a long three.
    Blake misses an open corner three.

    If anyone lost the Lakers that game it was one Kobe Bean Bryant.


    I agree that Kobe's missteps were the reasons they were in the situation anyway. But, regardless of what put you in the situation, when you're down 1 with 18 seconds left, have the ball, other team has foul to give, there is more than one shot available to you left in the game, and the win is still within reach at that point if played wisely and manage the clock/foul correctly the outcome could have been different, and THAT was all on the coach.
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago

    Lyfestyle, on 17 May 2012 - 21:00 PM said:


    As usual, we disagree. Brown's far from great, but he hardly "lost the game for them".

    The results of the Laker possessions in the final 2 minutes of game 2:

    Bryant basically gives Durant the ball while attempting a pass to Gasol leading to a layup.
    Bryant mishandles a Blake pass out of bounds leading to another layup.
    Bryant shoots and misses a ridiculous turnaround fadeaway that was partially blocked by Harden.
    Bryant launches and misses a long three.
    Blake misses an open corner three.

    If anyone lost the Lakers that game it was one Kobe Bean Bryant.


    Don't you know the NBA, Kobe can't be blamed for anything. Even when he has an awful game people find someone else to shift blame on. Sure Brown made a horrible decision with the timeout, but coaches cannot make shots for his team, it takes the players. This time that player was Kobe, and he failed, give blame where blame is due.
  • Lyfestyle says 1 YEAR ago

    Alituro, on 17 May 2012 - 15:45 PM said:


    The Lakers played as well as they could last night and their coach lost the game for them.


    As usual, we disagree. Brown's far from great, but he hardly "lost the game for them".

    The results of the Laker possessions in the final 2 minutes of game 2:

    Bryant basically gives Durant the ball while attempting a pass to Gasol leading to a layup.
    Bryant mishandles a Blake pass out of bounds leading to another layup.
    Bryant shoots and misses a ridiculous turnaround fadeaway that was partially blocked by Harden.
    Bryant launches and misses a long three.
    Blake misses an open corner three.

    If anyone lost the Lakers that game it was one Kobe Bean Bryant.
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago Brown lost the game last night with his boneheaded clock management down 1 with 18 seconds, and he tries to use it for the last shot when OKC had a foul to give. Dumb dumb Dumb Dumb, I remember him losing games for the King while in Cleveland too. The Lakers played as well as they could last night and their coach lost the game for them. On the flipside, OKC didn't play too well, got lucky and won a close one. OKC in 5.

    The elevated communication shown amongst the Lakers roster that Brown had no involvement in, is another indication they don't have much faith in their coach.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago I also believe the Thunder will win the Western Conference Finals in 6 over the Spurs. Also, it seems to me that the Heat match up better with Boston (despite Rondo) than they do with the Pacers. The East seems a bit up fo grabs. If the Heat get past Indiana it would seem that both Miami and Boston will have a fatigue factor to account for. I don't think Bosh will be the last injury during these playoffs that moves the needle in one direction or another and my guess is the young Thunder will be the most impervious to becoming the next injury casualty.
  • majik19 says 1 YEAR ago

    Rahat Huq, on 15 May 2012 - 19:33 PM said:


    . And of course KG vs. Duncan. I just fear that there's too much potential for Boston to get manhandled.


    I would love to see this.
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago

    Lyfestyle, on 15 May 2012 - 21:42 PM said:


    I wouldn't be so quick to count out Miami. If you watched the Boston game last night, the Celtics looked downright old. We're about to get into back-to-back territory (which is insane), and that can only serve to further exhaust ancient teams like Boston. Plus, I don't view Chris Bosh as this tremendously valuable player.

    I still like the Heat to make the Finals.


    Agreed, Boston is having a hard time with Philly already, and what old teams don't need are long series. So far in the Miami/Indiana series even without Bosh Miami seem to be rolling. Regardless of who wins Bos/Phi I think Miami have good odds of making it through. Bosh would help, but even without him I think they've got the ability to reach the Finals. Miami/Phi Miami takes it in 5, Mia/Bos Miami takes it in 6.

    As far as Spurs/Thunder goes, it's the matchup I was hoping for last year in the WCF, but the Spurs couldnt handle the Griz. I think that series will go long, and the longer it goes the more favorable it is for OKC, especially if Harden gets another concussion from MWP and needs a few games to recover. Thunder in 6.
  • Lyfestyle says 1 YEAR ago I wouldn't be so quick to count out Miami. If you watched the Boston game last night, the Celtics looked downright old. We're about to get into back-to-back territory (which is insane), and that can only serve to further exhaust ancient teams like Boston. Plus, I don't view Chris Bosh as this tremendously valuable player.

    I still like the Heat to make the Finals.
  • rockets best fan says 1 YEAR ago right now boston better worry about philly. if they overlook them they might be at home or gone fishing for the finals.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago Now that Bosh is out, I have a feeling it's going to be Boston-San Antonio. I can't see Miami getting past Boston unless Bosh makes a miraculous recovery.

    That will really...suck as I was looking forward to seeing the stars collide in the Finals. Actually, when you think about it, it might not be too bad and has the potential to be an outright classic. Two veteran groups going at it when everyone left them for dead. Rondo vs. Parker. Manu vs. Ray Allen. And of course KG vs. Duncan. I just fear that there's too much potential for Boston to get manhandled.
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago

    blakecouey, on 15 May 2012 - 13:49 PM said:


    I wouldn't count Philly out just yet. They've kept themselces in both games so far and found a way to steal one in Boston, its at least a 6 game aeries, maybe seven. If the spurs can't beat the clips in 4/5 will they have enough gas left for the thunder? I dont think so.


    I hope we can't count Philly out, or even Indy for that matter, I'd love to see a 6ers/Pacers ECF! The Celts and the Heat are just too pompous and cock-sure for my liking... No East team stands a chance at the O'brien though.

    Pops is the reason the Spurs will weather the Thunder storm. (like that?) The way he manages his personnel is why. The Spurs' defensive fortitude comes from their young (mostly) role players, of which they have a plethora. These guys will stay fresh and give Durant and Harden a really tough time. Offensively, Manu is always rested coming off the bench, Duncan never seems to exert much energy in his game (or so it seems), and Parker is a fireball that doesn't burn out. Pops knows his roster better than any other coach and he will leave Vinny and Scotty shaking their heads in disbelief, muttering "how does he do it?" to themselves.

    Brown is why the Lakers won't beat the Thunder.
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago I kind of agree with you Alituro. Now that Bosh won't be available or even 75% for a couple series, I believe it is a two team race between the Thunder and the Spurs which like I wrote above I believe are evenly matched. Even more obvious with Bosh hobbled, the teams who get through each series without injuries have an overwhelming advantage the longer this postseason goes on. The Clips won't make it far due to injuries. The Celtics at best probably get as far as a 7 game series with the Heat in the Eastern confernce finals but not any farther due to their injuries. If the Heat do indeed come out of the East LeBron will be out of gas due the extra time he will get in addition to having to defend West and other bigs against the Celtics. I still like the Thunder but Pop is the best at what he does so if his stable is at full strength I don't count him out. Saying that I still believe that Westbrook wins out against Parker and that is why I like the Thunder, could be a photo finish though....
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago I wouldn't count Philly out just yet. They've kept themselves in both games so far and found a way to steal one in Boston, its at least a 6 game series, maybe seven. If the spurs can't beat the clips in 4/5 will they have enough gas left for the thunder? I dont think so.
  • Alituro says 1 YEAR ago I think a Thunder/Spurs matchup in the conference champs will be the most exciting series this playoffs will have to offer. Nobody left in the East stands a chance against either one, finals will go 5 games max. Not to take anything away from Clips/Grizzzz but these two teams are on another level. In the east I'm pulling for the 76ers simply because I see a team similar to the Rockets but I doubt they get past the Celts. I still favor the Spurs to win it all one last time. Pops will eat DelNegro, Brooks and Spoelstra for lunch.
  • majik19 says 1 YEAR ago I don't want to root for the Clippers just because of Stern's hand in the whole ordeal (were the Hornets really better off? I know no one saw Gordon getting hurt... but still).
    Tired of the Lakers and Celtics. Also tired of the Spurs, but I have a hell of a lot of respect for Pop and Duncan.
    It's fun to root against the Heat.
    So that leaves the Thunder (who I think are the most complete team), the Pacers, and the 76ers. Either the Pacers or the 76ers would make me sick, just because I feel like we're just as talented as those guys - not to mention it would give us false hope for next season.
    Leaves the Thunder. I know this is a predictions column - but I think the Thunder are the best team anyway.
    I actually think the Thunder are more likely to lose to the Spurs than the Heat. The Heat and Thunder are remarkably similar, but the Thunder are more complete as a team. The Spurs, on the other hand, play complete, team basketball, and have been since most of the Thunder were in high school.
  • Stephen says 1 YEAR ago After thinking about it,you meant the teams as they are at full strength,so yeah,worse than Rose Bulls,but the train wreck that was the Magic this season,I'd take the Rockets over them even w/Dwight.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago

    Stephen, on 14 May 2012 - 03:30 AM said:


    The Rockets are better than the Knicks,the Dwight-less Magic and I'd argue better than the Rose-less Bulls.
    I'd like to think the Rockets are better than the Jazz,but the Season proved otherwise.

    Forgot about the Knicks - agreed.
  • Stephen says 1 YEAR ago The Rockets are better than the Knicks,the Dwight-less Magic and I'd argue better than the Rose-less Bulls.
    I'd like to think the Rockets are better than the Jazz,but the Season proved otherwise.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago New post: http://www.red94.net/begins/9616/
  • feelingsupersonic says 1 YEAR ago If Harden, Westbrook and Durant all heat up I don't know if the Spurs have the defense to stop all 3, I see the winner of a Spurs OKC series coming out of the West, it goes to 7, will be influence by an injury or 2 and with the genius of Pop perhaps it is advantage Spurs but who actually wins the Westbrook Parker matchup is key and I lean towards the kid negating the Frenchman so it's back to a draw in my mind...
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago I think you're probably right. All of these other west teams have too many holes.
  • rockets best fan says 1 YEAR ago hate to break it to you guy, but SA is coming out of the west. I don't see anyone in the west who can handle their combo of offense/defense. in the east the heat was destined to win from the begining even if rose was healthy. the bulls still don't have a good enough #2 scoring option on that team. now the real question is whether SA can stop the transition game of the heat?
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago I agree clippers heat would be fun to watch, as would lakers heat. Can't count them out but i dont think the lakers can come out of the west. They're gonna have more difficult games than the first against denver.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago

    Ostrow, on 30 April 2012 - 04:30 AM said:


    Good thing you kept watching

    I left! Very mad at myself.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago Wow. I walked away from my television in disgust at the start of the 4th quarter and went back to studying. I came back 30 minutes later just to check on things and there was 1 minute left and a 3 point game. Unbelievable! Very happy too because it seemed like that series was going to be a sweep.

    Overall impressions right now after the first round of games:
    -Heart goes out to Chicago. Nothing worse than that. Miami is pretty much a lock now to come out of the East. I think the only team that can even stand a chance in hell are the Pacers.
    -Finals matchups, in order of preference:

    1. MIA/LAC
    2. MIA/LAL
    3. MIA/MEM
    4. MIA/SAS

    I don't like watching OKC. Really ugly brand of ball. CP3 vs. the Heat would be heaven. Or, is this the year we finally see Kobe vs. Lebron?
  • Ostrow says 1 YEAR ago Good thing you kept watching
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago I scheduled my entire weekend around this Grizzlies-Clippers matchup and it's a 20 point game right now...

    Boy, the Grizz sure are fun to watch.
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago And after Rondo's ejection and possible suspension looming, The Hawks road just got easier and they have a legitimate chance of winning the series, previously I thought it was a clear cut Boston win.
  • areteejay789 says 1 YEAR ago I think memphis will beat the clips. LA is atrocious on the road, and tony allen will lock down (or slow down more likely) chris paul, and they will lose multiple games in the fourth Q. Memphis are just too deep, and i dont think blake griffin can guard either Z-Bo or Gasol in the low post, so i would say Memphis in 6. And i would switch the results for MIA-NYK and SAS-UTA so miami win in 6 and SAS win in 5, just because SA destroyed utah today despite Utah's huge frontline. And Melo needs at least one insane game that he will win on his own just to make up for that epic stinkbomb.
  • Rahat Huq says 1 YEAR ago Rose's injury is going to cut a huge chunk out of my Eastern Conference viewing. I was planning on catching some Bulls games and was without a doubt going to watch every Bulls-Heat game. Now, I probably won't watch anything from that end until the Finals.
  • blakecouey says 1 YEAR ago For the most part your predictions look pretty good. I have a hard time believing that Memphis can take the Clippers to a game 7, I think the Clips finish it in 6. Miami v NYK is the series I look forward to most, even though I see no way of the Knicks taking this series, and after seeing the first game it could very well be a sweep. If it didn't pain me to watch Dirk/Terry/Kidd Id try to catch a few games of OKC and Dallas, all I can do is hope you're right that its a quick 4-1 series in the Thunder's favor. The only thing that would've given me interest in watching any of those last three series was watching D Rose, but after he tore his ACL I have no reason to waste the time. WCF- OKC v LAC with OKC winning in 5. ECF- MIA v CHI(even without Rose theyre still better than Boston) with Miami sweeping CHI. This would also be the Finals I'd like to see most, so it may be bias!